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Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 5:18 pm
by camroc1
Mullet 2 wrote:The main driver for keeping our rates higher than the EU average is lack of competition.

And that isn't changing anytime soon given the regulations we now have in place.
It's our legal system which stops banks foreclosing, forcing the banks to carry relatively high bad debts.

So far as interest rates are concerned, why do you want to fix ?

Do you want certainty of payment ?, that is you know you can afford that payment now and want to lock it in, rather than trying to make a few bob on interest rate movements?

If so, lock, and just ignore rate movements whilst you're fixed.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 5:19 pm
by Mullet 2
You missed my edit Cam

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 5:23 pm
by danthefan
KBC announced rate cuts today. Quite a significant one on their 5 year fixed, about half a percent.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 5:36 pm
by Duff Paddy
danthefan wrote:KBC announced rate cuts today. Quite a significant one on their 5 year fixed, about half a percent.
What are they at now? Ulster bank are offering 2.3% to fix for 2 years that is really good considering the standard variable rate is a whopping 4.3%

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 5:44 pm
by Onelostbear
MunsterMan!!!!! wrote:
anonymous_joe wrote:
MunsterMan!!!!! wrote:
Duff Paddy wrote:The new Setanta insurance loading comes in today - at a time when car insurance is creeping up to crazy levels again.

I won't claim to understand the insurance industry but how the fark can this keep happening? Its total bullshit. Is it because the government set a precedence and now have to back any others that fail. What is stopping people just setting up a company to fail, run with the cash and get baled out?
The fact that they'd likely go to prison and/or be bankrupted.

Institutional creditors who've been duped would hunt down a dodgy insurer to the ends of the earth.

That lad from the AA was doing a hit job on lawyers the other morning on Pat Kenny and had to admit that the insurance industry refusing to share information to new entrants might be an issue in Ireland.

Long story short is that the barriers to entry here are insane, and the insurance industry is quite content with that. Further to that, the Central Bank is 100% on their side. Prior to the Dáíl investigation into premia, the Central Bank had said it had nothing to do with the insurance industry itself. Meanwhile, whilst the Central Bank was praising them, the EU has started investigating their massive anti-competitive prices.

The real issue is that they can no longer make easy money from investing their capital in the property market and haven't come to terms with that yet. That fueled a massive price war between them all over a decade ago that was one of the many factors which led to Quinn collapsing.
Cheers AJ

I've always wondering why in the EU, why we, in Ireland, don't have access to more than a few underwriters.

Re the bold from the Central Bank 2016 figures

Of the 24 motor insurance companies, nine are incorporated in Ireland and prudentially regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland; four are incorporated in the UK and have branches in Ireland and the remaining eleven provide insurance in Ireland on a Freedom of Services basis.

So the majority of irish motor insurance are not regulated in Ireland and if a company was willing to do so it could enter the irish market.

Setanta was a new entrant to the irish insurance market and tried to get a lot of business on it books quickly by selling cheap insurance and got burnt. As it was not regulated in Ireland but gibraltar or some such place it was not required to hold the same reserves and we all get left hold the can for the unsettled claims.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 5:58 pm
by Duff Paddy
camroc1 wrote:
Mullet 2 wrote:The main driver for keeping our rates higher than the EU average is lack of competition.

And that isn't changing anytime soon given the regulations we now have in place.
It's our legal system which stops banks foreclosing, forcing the banks to carry relatively high bad debts.

So far as interest rates are concerned, why do you want to fix ?

Do you want certainty of payment ?, that is you know you can afford that payment now and want to lock it in, rather than trying to make a few bob on interest rate movements?

If so, lock, and just ignore rate movements whilst you're fixed.
That’s a lot of money to be paying for the luxury of knowing the repayment won’t change!

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 6:04 pm
by camroc1
Duff Paddy wrote:
camroc1 wrote:
Mullet 2 wrote:The main driver for keeping our rates higher than the EU average is lack of competition.

And that isn't changing anytime soon given the regulations we now have in place.
It's our legal system which stops banks foreclosing, forcing the banks to carry relatively high bad debts.

So far as interest rates are concerned, why do you want to fix ?

Do you want certainty of payment ?, that is you know you can afford that payment now and want to lock it in, rather than trying to make a few bob on interest rate movements?

If so, lock, and just ignore rate movements whilst you're fixed.
That’s a lot of money to be paying for the luxury of knowing the repayment won’t change!
Well, then don't fix !

You've got to remember that for about three quarters of the time I held a mortgage, rates were over 10%.

Another piece of free advice, if rates drop, don't lower the amount you pay, pay off principal instead.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 6:26 pm
by Duff Paddy
It’s not that straight forward cammy. It’s the length of the fixed rate that I’m asking about. What factors do people think will prevail. It looks like there’ll be a short term interest rate war between the Irish banks. Add in the pressure from the lefties for Irish banks to fall into line with European banks. Longer term the base rate looks certain to rise. It’s a question of timing - I’ll split some of it off to variable of short term fixed to allow me to pay off lump sums if I have them.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 6:51 pm
by camroc1
Duff Paddy wrote:It’s not that straight forward cammy. It’s the length of the fixed rate that I’m asking about. What factors do people think will prevail. It looks like there’ll be a short term interest rate war between the Irish banks. Add in the pressure from the lefties for Irish banks to fall into line with European banks. Longer term the base rate looks certain to rise. It’s a question of timing - I’ll split some of it off to variable of short term fixed to allow me to pay off lump sums if I have them.

If the UK fall out of the EU watch interest rates rise.

If Russia increases its 'war' in Ukraine, watch interest rates rise.

If Trump thrashes the US, watch interest rates rise.

If Trump ramps up to na world trade war, watch interest rates rise.

But then I'm an engineer, and make decisions based on the balance of probabilities, and not a spiv, who makes money out of interest rate changes.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 6:59 pm
by Rumham
camroc1 wrote:I don't know whether it's apocraphyl or not, but I've heard that there are only tree or four enormous factories in the far east that actually make TVs these days and they just suit and badge them as specced by the big consumer goods companies.
Fairly standard production operating procedure. Local shite out the right, Grohe toilet out the left.

You be shocked at who makes clothes for who and where. And what you pay for, particularly with accessories like belts and sunglasses. it is all the same Gucci or no name brand shit you buy on the way to Croke Park.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 7:09 pm
by anonymous_joe
Setanta Insurance were Maltese, I think.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 7:11 pm
by Duff Paddy
camroc1 wrote:
Duff Paddy wrote:It’s not that straight forward cammy. It’s the length of the fixed rate that I’m asking about. What factors do people think will prevail. It looks like there’ll be a short term interest rate war between the Irish banks. Add in the pressure from the lefties for Irish banks to fall into line with European banks. Longer term the base rate looks certain to rise. It’s a question of timing - I’ll split some of it off to variable of short term fixed to allow me to pay off lump sums if I have them.

If the UK fall out of the EU watch interest rates rise.

If Russia increases its 'war' in Ukraine, watch interest rates rise.

If Trump thrashes the US, watch interest rates rise.

If Trump ramps up to na world trade war, watch interest rates rise.

But then I'm an engineer, and make decisions based on the balance of probabilities, and not a spiv, who makes money out of interest rate changes.
:lol: yes I feel so dirty for wanting to minimise the amount of money I give the bank

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 8:18 pm
by alliswell
Why can't I get decent couscous in tesco anymore? Seems all they have is gluten free sandy shite

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 8:25 pm
by camroc1
alliswell wrote:Why can't I get decent couscous in tesco anymore? Seems all they have is gluten free sandy shite
Try Lidl or Aldi.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 8:27 pm
by Macsimus
Duff Paddy wrote:Lads can we talk about mortgage rates - thinking of fixing for five years, risky?
If you switch to BOI you can get a 3% 5 year fixed and 3% of the mortgage amount in cashback. 2% up front and an extra 1% after 5 years so long as you have / open a current account with them. Pretty hard to beat. Works out better than UB's 2.6% 4 year fixed which is the next best imo. They're ripping off anyone who stays on their standard variable, but you can always fix or switch again in 5 years if that's still the case. Anyone staying on those kind of high SVR's only has themselves to blame.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 8:27 pm
by Leinsterman
Anyone interested in a quick win investment?
Easy idea - buy a container and then fill it full of canned food and hide it across the pond. We'll make a fortune selling the contents next April.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 8:32 pm
by camroc1
Leinsterman wrote:Anyone interested in a quick win investment?
Easy idea - buy a container and then fill it full of canned food and hide it across the pond. We'll make a fortune selling the contents next April.
Bitcoin and gold only, as sterling will be worth fúck all then ?

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 8:48 pm
by alliswell
camroc1 wrote:
alliswell wrote:Why can't I get decent couscous in tesco anymore? Seems all they have is gluten free sandy shite
Try Lidl or Aldi.
I get my food delivered so I probably won't bother because it's just couscous but I am curious

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 9:11 pm
by Duff Paddy
Thanks maximus

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 9:48 pm
by ticketlessinseattle
Macsimus wrote:
Duff Paddy wrote:Lads can we talk about mortgage rates - thinking of fixing for five years, risky?
If you switch to BOI you can get a 3% 5 year fixed and 3% of the mortgage amount in cashback. 2% up front and an extra 1% after 5 years so long as you have / open a current account with them. Pretty hard to beat. Works out better than UB's 2.6% 4 year fixed which is the next best imo. They're ripping off anyone who stays on their standard variable, but you can always fix or switch again in 5 years if that's still the case. Anyone staying on those kind of high SVR's only has themselves to blame.
same deal by BOI on 10 year fixed for 3.3%...signed up for it. happy days..theyre really pushing fixed rates no brainer, rates are only going one way

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 9:56 pm
by Duff Paddy
ticketlessinseattle wrote:
Macsimus wrote:
Duff Paddy wrote:Lads can we talk about mortgage rates - thinking of fixing for five years, risky?
If you switch to BOI you can get a 3% 5 year fixed and 3% of the mortgage amount in cashback. 2% up front and an extra 1% after 5 years so long as you have / open a current account with them. Pretty hard to beat. Works out better than UB's 2.6% 4 year fixed which is the next best imo. They're ripping off anyone who stays on their standard variable, but you can always fix or switch again in 5 years if that's still the case. Anyone staying on those kind of high SVR's only has themselves to blame.
same deal by BOI on 10 year fixed for 3.3%...signed up for it. happy days..theyre really pushing fixed rates no brainer, rates are only going one way
Well they’re going down at the moment - ulster bank and kbc have both dropped their rates

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 9:57 pm
by paddyor
camroc1 wrote:
Duff Paddy wrote:It’s not that straight forward cammy. It’s the length of the fixed rate that I’m asking about. What factors do people think will prevail. It looks like there’ll be a short term interest rate war between the Irish banks. Add in the pressure from the lefties for Irish banks to fall into line with European banks. Longer term the base rate looks certain to rise. It’s a question of timing - I’ll split some of it off to variable of short term fixed to allow me to pay off lump sums if I have them.

If the UK fall out of the EU watch interest rates rise.

If Russia increases its 'war' in Ukraine, watch interest rates rise.

If Trump thrashes the US, watch interest rates rise.

If Trump ramps up to na world trade war, watch interest rates rise.

But then I'm an engineer, and make decisions based on the balance of probabilities, and not a spiv, who makes money out of interest rate changes.
It's not at all clear to me that interest rates would rise in most of those scenarios.

If Trump trashes the US economy then increasing interest rates would increase the streght of the € which might not be the best bet.

IF the eurozone economy growth continues rates will rise.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 10:03 pm
by danthefan
paddyor wrote:
camroc1 wrote:
Duff Paddy wrote:It’s not that straight forward cammy. It’s the length of the fixed rate that I’m asking about. What factors do people think will prevail. It looks like there’ll be a short term interest rate war between the Irish banks. Add in the pressure from the lefties for Irish banks to fall into line with European banks. Longer term the base rate looks certain to rise. It’s a question of timing - I’ll split some of it off to variable of short term fixed to allow me to pay off lump sums if I have them.

If the UK fall out of the EU watch interest rates rise.

If Russia increases its 'war' in Ukraine, watch interest rates rise.

If Trump thrashes the US, watch interest rates rise.

If Trump ramps up to na world trade war, watch interest rates rise.

But then I'm an engineer, and make decisions based on the balance of probabilities, and not a spiv, who makes money out of interest rate changes.
It's not at all clear to me that interest rates would rise in most of those scenarios.

If Trump trashes the US economy then increasing interest rates would increase the streght of the € which might not be the best bet.

IF the eurozone economy growth continues rates will rise.
It's not clear to anyone what'll happen, you'd need a crystal ball to know. My inclination would be to fix for a longer term anyway even though the rates are higher. 3.3% for 10 years mentioned above, would jump at that.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 10:09 pm
by Duff Paddy
3.3% is a high rate - makes a difference of a 150-200euro odd a month on a decent sized mortgage versus Ulster bank 2.3% for 2 years then shop around to fix again would save you some cash.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 10:14 pm
by Leinsterman
ticketlessinseattle wrote:
Macsimus wrote:
Duff Paddy wrote:Lads can we talk about mortgage rates - thinking of fixing for five years, risky?
If you switch to BOI you can get a 3% 5 year fixed and 3% of the mortgage amount in cashback. 2% up front and an extra 1% after 5 years so long as you have / open a current account with them. Pretty hard to beat. Works out better than UB's 2.6% 4 year fixed which is the next best imo. They're ripping off anyone who stays on their standard variable, but you can always fix or switch again in 5 years if that's still the case. Anyone staying on those kind of high SVR's only has themselves to blame.
same deal by BOI on 10 year fixed for 3.3%...signed up for it. happy days..theyre really pushing fixed rates no brainer, rates are only going one way
BOI have obviously dropped the 10yr rate since March. I was offered a 10yr rate with them but it was 3.6%.
They offered 3% for 1, 2, 3 or 5yr rates so went fixed for 5yrs.
I'd been on 3.65% for the last two years since we moved house and went with BOI for the move.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 10:42 pm
by Macsimus
Duff Paddy wrote:3.3% is a high rate - makes a difference of a 150-200euro odd a month on a decent sized mortgage versus Ulster bank 2.3% for 2 years then shop around to fix again would save you some cash.
Once you take the cashback into account rate the effective rate would be a good bit lower than 3.3%. But yeah, I prefer to spread that cashback out over the shorter 5 year period at 3% which would work out a much better effective rate and give the opportunity to go shopping around again in 5 yrs. You could of course do this with their 2 or 3 year fixed as well, but the 5 year gives a nice balance of security and value.

Edit: Though obviously if you take the 2 or 3 yr fixed and decide to switch after less than 5 yrs then you only get the initial 2% cashback and forego the extra 1% that comes after the 5th year.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 10:53 pm
by paddyor
danthefan wrote:
paddyor wrote: It's not at all clear to me that interest rates would rise in most of those scenarios.

If Trump trashes the US economy then increasing interest rates would increase the streght of the € which might not be the best bet.

IF the eurozone economy growth continues rates will rise.
It's not clear to anyone what'll happen, you'd need a crystal ball to know. My inclination would be to fix for a longer term anyway even though the rates are higher. 3.3% for 10 years mentioned above, would jump at that.
Yeah typically interest rates(the base rate) rise when there's inflation which has been predicted as heading for runaway levels for some time by certain observers. My point was that I'm sure any of the things cammy listed would lead to inflation/higher growth.

I've no idea what's going internally with mortgage rates.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Jul 18, 2018 12:20 am
by ticketlessinseattle
Duff Paddy wrote:3.3% is a high rate - makes a difference of a 150-200euro odd a month on a decent sized mortgage versus Ulster bank 2.3% for 2 years then shop around to fix again would save you some cash.
obviously I'm guessing that in 5 to 10 years time rates will be a lot higher than 3.3%

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Jul 18, 2018 12:22 am
by nardol
Forecast is for rates to increase only a bit over the next 3 years.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Jul 18, 2018 1:32 am
by rfurlong
Forecasts are like foreskins ..... it’s only when you peel them back that you see how ludicrous looking their foundations actually are

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Jul 18, 2018 1:37 am
by nardol
Bond purchases in the millions / billions are based on those forecasts. It would take a serious shock to change them. The ECB have even come out and said it themselves. It's more policy than forecast tbh.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Jul 18, 2018 6:57 am
by danthefan
Duff Paddy wrote:3.3% is a high rate - makes a difference of a 150-200euro odd a month on a decent sized mortgage versus Ulster bank 2.3% for 2 years then shop around to fix again would save you some cash.
What are you even asking for here? You seem to disagree with everyone who replies no matter what their answer is. You obviously know best.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Jul 18, 2018 8:36 am
by Duff Paddy
danthefan wrote:
Duff Paddy wrote:3.3% is a high rate - makes a difference of a 150-200euro odd a month on a decent sized mortgage versus Ulster bank 2.3% for 2 years then shop around to fix again would save you some cash.
What are you even asking for here? You seem to disagree with everyone who replies no matter what their answer is. You obviously know best.
I’m talking out the options - I am interested to hear the counter arguments from people like Maximus who know what they’re talking about, and also interested to see what other posters have done. Now fudge off.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Jul 18, 2018 8:55 am
by camroc1
Duff Paddy wrote:
danthefan wrote:
Duff Paddy wrote:3.3% is a high rate - makes a difference of a 150-200euro odd a month on a decent sized mortgage versus Ulster bank 2.3% for 2 years then shop around to fix again would save you some cash.
What are you even asking for here? You seem to disagree with everyone who replies no matter what their answer is. You obviously know best.
I’m talking out the options - I am interested to hear the counter arguments from people like Maximus who know what they’re talking about, and also interested to see what other posters have done. Now fudge off.
Does Macsimus have a large mansion fronting onto Lake Geneva, and a villa in Villefranche ? (No offence Max). Because unless you actually make money out of your forecasts yo0ur opinion is like anyone elses.

What I would say is that banks rarely lose.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Jul 18, 2018 9:04 am
by Duff Paddy
camroc1 wrote:
Duff Paddy wrote:
danthefan wrote:
Duff Paddy wrote:3.3% is a high rate - makes a difference of a 150-200euro odd a month on a decent sized mortgage versus Ulster bank 2.3% for 2 years then shop around to fix again would save you some cash.
What are you even asking for here? You seem to disagree with everyone who replies no matter what their answer is. You obviously know best.
I’m talking out the options - I am interested to hear the counter arguments from people like Maximus who know what they’re talking about, and also interested to see what other posters have done. Now fudge off.
Does Macsimus have a large mansion fronting onto Lake Geneva, and a villa in Villefranche ? (No offence Max). Because unless you actually make money out of your forecasts yo0ur opinion is like anyone elses.

What I would say is that banks rarely lose.
What utter nonsense - there are many strategies to save money and time on the mortgage you initially signed up for. Maximus used to work in mortgages so yes I am interested to hear his opinion, unlike your bizarre opinion on this matter.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Jul 18, 2018 9:05 am
by The Sun God
ticketlessinseattle wrote:
Duff Paddy wrote:3.3% is a high rate - makes a difference of a 150-200euro odd a month on a decent sized mortgage versus Ulster bank 2.3% for 2 years then shop around to fix again would save you some cash.
obviously I'm guessing that in 5 to 10 years time rates will be a lot higher than 3.3%
10yr Interest Rate Swap at the moment has a mid point of 0.86%. This is where a bank will hedge its exposure to you while you lock in at 3.3%. Maybe you can see why they are pushing it. 3yr interest rates are still negative so it will take some economic jolt for the market to move 'a lot higher' in the medium term.
KBC are offering 2.5% fixed for 5 years if you really want to lock in.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Jul 18, 2018 9:20 am
by CM11
camroc1 wrote:
Duff Paddy wrote:
danthefan wrote:
Duff Paddy wrote:3.3% is a high rate - makes a difference of a 150-200euro odd a month on a decent sized mortgage versus Ulster bank 2.3% for 2 years then shop around to fix again would save you some cash.
What are you even asking for here? You seem to disagree with everyone who replies no matter what their answer is. You obviously know best.
I’m talking out the options - I am interested to hear the counter arguments from people like Maximus who know what they’re talking about, and also interested to see what other posters have done. Now fudge off.
Does Macsimus have a large mansion fronting onto Lake Geneva, and a villa in Villefranche ? (No offence Max). Because unless you actually make money out of your forecasts yo0ur opinion is like anyone elses.

What I would say is that banks rarely lose.
I think this is an archaic viewpoint cam, especially in light of what we've specifically seen in Ireland over the last 10 years.

There are a hugh amount of people 'winning', I would have thought, on trackers at the moment, for example.

While the economy is more stable, I don't think you can use previous metrics to easily forecast future outcomes.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Jul 18, 2018 9:51 am
by paddyor
camroc1 wrote:
Duff Paddy wrote:
danthefan wrote:
Duff Paddy wrote:3.3% is a high rate - makes a difference of a 150-200euro odd a month on a decent sized mortgage versus Ulster bank 2.3% for 2 years then shop around to fix again would save you some cash.
What are you even asking for here? You seem to disagree with everyone who replies no matter what their answer is. You obviously know best.
I’m talking out the options - I am interested to hear the counter arguments from people like Maximus who know what they’re talking about, and also interested to see what other posters have done. Now fudge off.
Does Macsimus have a large mansion fronting onto Lake Geneva, and a villa in Villefranche ? (No offence Max). Because unless you actually make money out of your forecasts yo0ur opinion is like anyone elses.

What I would say is that banks rarely lose.
Coming up on about 10 years now cam!

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Jul 18, 2018 10:05 am
by The Sun God
CM11 wrote:
camroc1 wrote:
Duff Paddy wrote:
danthefan wrote:
Duff Paddy wrote:3.3% is a high rate - makes a difference of a 150-200euro odd a month on a decent sized mortgage versus Ulster bank 2.3% for 2 years then shop around to fix again would save you some cash.
What are you even asking for here? You seem to disagree with everyone who replies no matter what their answer is. You obviously know best.
I’m talking out the options - I am interested to hear the counter arguments from people like Maximus who know what they’re talking about, and also interested to see what other posters have done. Now fudge off.
Does Macsimus have a large mansion fronting onto Lake Geneva, and a villa in Villefranche ? (No offence Max). Because unless you actually make money out of your forecasts yo0ur opinion is like anyone elses.

What I would say is that banks rarely lose.
I think this is an archaic viewpoint cam, especially in light of what we've specifically seen in Ireland over the last 10 years.

There are a hugh amount of people 'winning', I would have thought, on trackers at the moment, for example.

While the economy is more stable, I don't think you can use previous metrics to easily forecast future outcomes.
There is an entire technical analysis industry populated with 20something quant Phd's out there that might disagree with you.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Jul 18, 2018 10:31 am
by danthefan
Duff Paddy wrote:
danthefan wrote:
Duff Paddy wrote:3.3% is a high rate - makes a difference of a 150-200euro odd a month on a decent sized mortgage versus Ulster bank 2.3% for 2 years then shop around to fix again would save you some cash.
What are you even asking for here? You seem to disagree with everyone who replies no matter what their answer is. You obviously know best.
I’m talking out the options - I am interested to hear the counter arguments from people like Maximus who know what they’re talking about, and also interested to see what other posters have done. Now fudge off.
The best option is 5 years with BOI though they aren't doing LTI exceptions anymore this year. Now go fudge yourself too.