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Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 10:47 am
by fishooks15
danthefan wrote:
Duff Paddy wrote:I’m fairly certain that No will win. If it’s this close in the polls at this stage then the hidden No voters will probably swing it.
It's heading that way alright by the looks of things.

As far as I can tell it would be an unprecedented swing if it was to pass, considering the polls. 11/4 with PP though if you fancy it.

Just want to whole thing to be over with at this stage. Never seen so many posters for any ref/election

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 10:56 am
by Duff Paddy
camroc1 wrote:
Duff Paddy wrote:
CM11 wrote:
Duff Paddy wrote:
CM11 wrote:Interesting to read an argument from a Catholic bishop that life doesn't begin at conception. Will find the link later.
What the fudge would a bishop know about it
My point was that he gave a religious argument that it doesn't.
Does anyone seriously still listen to what these guys say
Irish Roman Catholics, I'd have thought.
Get real cammy

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 10:58 am
by Gavin Duffy
40% of the population still go to mass every week or summit.

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 11:03 am
by sewa
Mullet 2 wrote:
james garner wrote:The directors are listed as Sean & Tom Ascough

https://www.solocheck.ie/Irish-Company/ ... tee-424940

anyone interested can check out more about these guys here

http://ionawatch.tumblr.com/post/736465 ... f-the-iona
You know they're good when people start playing them rather than the ball
You honestly think they are good? First person I have ever heard say anything positive about them

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 11:32 am
by Duff Paddy
Gavin Duffy wrote:40% of the population still go to mass every week or summit.
Nah

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 11:34 am
by Gavin Duffy
Duff Paddy wrote:
Gavin Duffy wrote:40% of the population still go to mass every week or summit.
Nah
Dublin isn't Ireland, laddie.

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 12:04 pm
by etherman
Gavin Duffy wrote:40% of the population still go to mass every week or summit.
:lol:

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 12:20 pm
by CM11
Bullettyme wrote:And if it's a No will the government fall? I hope whatever the outcome we don't see the nasty backbiting we saw over in the UK following Brexit, idiots talking about a re-referendum.

EDIT: I'd say it would be best to stop, reflect, give it a few more years and get the campaign up again.
Not really comparable to Brexit though.

And of course there'll be another one if it fails. Just not instantly.

The number who've said they'd vote no has been pretty consistent across all polls. I'd be surprised at this stage if no won. Yes needs less than a third of undecided. No needs around 70/75% of them.

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 12:25 pm
by etherman
I fear No will knick it.

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 12:26 pm
by Bullettyme
CM11 wrote:
Bullettyme wrote:And if it's a No will the government fall? I hope whatever the outcome we don't see the nasty backbiting we saw over in the UK following Brexit, idiots talking about a re-referendum.

EDIT: I'd say it would be best to stop, reflect, give it a few more years and get the campaign up again.
Not really comparable to Brexit though.

And of course there'll be another one if it fails. Just not instantly.

The number who've said they'd vote no has been pretty consistent across all polls. I'd be surprised at this stage if no won. Yes needs less than a third of undecided. No needs around 70/75% of them.
I'm not comparing it to brexit, rather the reaction (Trump as well).

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 12:50 pm
by anonymous_joe
Diego wrote:I still think it's weird how much airtime they get given how few people actually belong to it.
They're great at being the default voice of the Irish authoritarian Catholic tradition. RTÉ at al have always rigidly interpreted balanced coverage as equating to 50/50 in terms of airtime.

Its why fringe groups come out of the woodwork to oppose referenda.

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 3:27 pm
by Uncle Fester
etherman wrote:I fear No will knick it.
Think that's pretty certain now from the poll today. Shame on the IT for misrepresenting the result.

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 3:30 pm
by Uncle Fester
Didn't really happen in marriage equality referendum but in divorce referendum, all the undecideds eventually translated into no votes.

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 3:34 pm
by Liathroidigloine
Uncle Fester wrote:Didn't really happen in marriage equality referendum but in divorce referendum, all the undecideds eventually translated into no votes.
If the urban young vote are out then it will be about 54 Yes 46 No

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 3:45 pm
by Leinsterman
So two Ascoughs are listed as being part of the Iona Institute. Quite an uncommon name. Wonder if there's a link to Katie Ascough.

Anyway, the Iona Institute is a vile piece of work. "Traditional values" espoused by them - so long as you're the right colour and hetro.

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 3:50 pm
by Charger21
Leinsterman wrote:So two Ascoughs are listed as being part of the Iona Institute. Quite an uncommon name. Wonder if there's a link to Katie Ascough.

Anyway, the Iona Institute is a vile piece of work. "Traditional values" espoused by them - so long as you're the right colour and hetro.
Tom is her father, i believe.

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 3:59 pm
by danthefan
This stuff with John Waters and Eamonn Dunphy is something else :lol:

Waters stormed off Dunphy's podcast, told him to fudge off and that he was a bollocks, etc etc.

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 4:46 pm
by Larry Murphy
It's amazing, this referendum really is driving some people over the edge :lol:

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 4:49 pm
by Gavin Duffy
Waters is a full mentaller tbf.

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 4:57 pm
by Uncle Fester
Larry Murphy wrote:It's amazing, this referendum really is driving some people over the edge :lol:
Re Waters that happened a long long time ago.

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 5:01 pm
by Flametop
Do we really believe that the tide has turned back to the no vote?

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 5:05 pm
by CM11
Flametop wrote:Do we really believe that the tide has turned back to the no vote?
I doubt it has turned. It all comes down to how the undecided, which makes up nearly a quarter of the poll, are/were going to vote. It's been roughly 60/40 excluding undecided, from the start, I think.

Unfortunately I think we haven't seen the most extreme campaigning from both sides yet. Next week will be unbearable. Do there have to stop campaigning before the vote or is that just political parties? What about outside polling stations?

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 5:14 pm
by Liathroidigloine
CM11 wrote:
Flametop wrote:Do we really believe that the tide has turned back to the no vote?
I doubt it has turned. It all comes down to how the undecided, which makes up nearly a quarter of the poll, are/were going to vote. It's been roughly 60/40 excluding undecided, from the start, I think.

Unfortunately I think we haven't seen the most extreme campaigning from both sides yet. Next week will be unbearable. Do there have to stop campaigning before the vote or is that just political parties? What about outside polling stations?
Neither side can canvass within a certain distance (think it's 50m) of a polling station. That didn't prevent it happening in the last referendum.

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 5:24 pm
by CM11
Liathroidigloine wrote:
CM11 wrote:
Flametop wrote:Do we really believe that the tide has turned back to the no vote?
I doubt it has turned. It all comes down to how the undecided, which makes up nearly a quarter of the poll, are/were going to vote. It's been roughly 60/40 excluding undecided, from the start, I think.

Unfortunately I think we haven't seen the most extreme campaigning from both sides yet. Next week will be unbearable. Do there have to stop campaigning before the vote or is that just political parties? What about outside polling stations?
Neither side can canvass within a certain distance (think it's 50m) of a polling station. That didn't prevent it happening in the last referendum.
Must be hard to police, easier to punish a political party.

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 5:25 pm
by Mullet 2
sewa wrote:
Mullet 2 wrote:
james garner wrote:The directors are listed as Sean & Tom Ascough

https://www.solocheck.ie/Irish-Company/ ... tee-424940

anyone interested can check out more about these guys here

http://ionawatch.tumblr.com/post/736465 ... f-the-iona
You know they're good when people start playing them rather than the ball
You honestly think they are good? First person I have ever heard say anything positive about them
Your opinions would not lead me to believe you have a very diverse group of friends.

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 5:44 pm
by Mullet 2
Saw a tweet saying no referendum has passed with between 54-59 percent in the polls

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 5:48 pm
by Flametop
CM11 wrote:
Flametop wrote:Do we really believe that the tide has turned back to the no vote?
I doubt it has turned. It all comes down to how the undecided, which makes up nearly a quarter of the poll, are/were going to vote. It's been roughly 60/40 excluding undecided, from the start, I think.

Unfortunately I think we haven't seen the most extreme campaigning from both sides yet. Next week will be unbearable. Do there have to stop campaigning before the vote or is that just political parties? What about outside polling stations?
I think that there will be quite a few people who can’t make up their mind and as such, will not vote.
There is a bit of effort to go to a polling station and if you’re not sure, I’m guessing some will think it’s easier just to do nothing. Historically, we are pretty good at that.

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 5:52 pm
by etherman
I haven't watched any debates on this really. What's the best thing to tune into over the next week for a ding dong?

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 6:08 pm
by CM11
Mullet 2 wrote:Saw a tweet saying no referendum has passed with between 54-59 percent in the polls
What poll? As in when? Any in the run up or the final one?

Which I presume we haven't had yet.

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 6:33 pm
by CM11
Ah f**k, Geldof has gotten involved.

https://m.independent.ie/irish-news/abo ... 13771.html

That's that then. :(

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 6:43 pm
by etherman
CM11 wrote:Ah f**k, Geldof has gotten involved.

https://m.independent.ie/irish-news/abo ... 13771.html

That's that then. :(
"Give us your fùcking foetus'!"

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 7:22 pm
by HighKingLeinster
Thankfully i am travelling with work all next week so won't have to deal with the remaining shitshow. Wont be here to vote though

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 7:25 pm
by sewa
Mullet 2 wrote:
sewa wrote:
Mullet 2 wrote:
james garner wrote:The directors are listed as Sean & Tom Ascough

https://www.solocheck.ie/Irish-Company/ ... tee-424940

anyone interested can check out more about these guys here

http://ionawatch.tumblr.com/post/736465 ... f-the-iona
You know they're good when people start playing them rather than the ball
You honestly think they are good? First person I have ever heard say anything positive about them
Your opinions would not lead me to believe you have a very diverse group of friends.
Most of mates, are well educated scientists and engineers. Religion is very low in the thinking classes

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 7:37 pm
by Leinsterman
You're a similar background to myself Area and I'd say all my mates have the same opinion.
Funnily enough, it wasn't that long ago when engineering was an Opus Dei cesspit.

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 8:35 pm
by Conservative Eddie
Leinsterman wrote:You're a similar background to myself Area and I'd say all my mates have the same opinion.
Funnily enough, it wasn't that long ago when engineering was an Opus Dei cesspit.
Both Ascough brothers are engineers.

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 8:38 pm
by james garner
Watching the Claire Byrne debate from the other night, only just startedthe no side getting a lot of applause.


Maria Steen is very effective, not surprised to hear she was a barrister

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 9:55 pm
by Mullet 2
Tax exiles don't do morals I suppose, do they Sewa.

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Fri May 18, 2018 1:19 am
by J Man
This thread is an abortion.

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Fri May 18, 2018 8:36 am
by normilet
https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/it-w ... -1.3499179
My colleague is there, alone in the operating theatre. All is clean. Organised. A sanitised façade, once again. She raises her head, smiles sadly and asks : ‘Do you want to see her?’ I answer with a very weak ‘yes’ and move forward . . .”

This quote comes from a poignant testimonial on conservative website objectiondelaconscience.org. It’s by a nurse who had just accompanied a couple through the termination of their Down Syndrome child and relates a daily occurrence in French hospitals.

There is no anger, no judgment in her tone, just immense sadness at the couple’s loss, and at the baby’s death. If they’d followed their hearts, they said, they’d have kept her, but they must be reasonable . . . In 2014, 1,959 unborn babies were diagnosed with Down Syndrome, and 1552 of those were aborted by surgical abortion, which can legally be performed right up to birth.

Abortions happen relentlessly, on average 580 times a day, every day of the year, every year. In 2016, there were 211,900 abortions, for 785,000 births. Bluntly put, one in five babies are aborted. The National Institute for Demographic Studies reports that 33 per cent of women in France have recourse to abortion once in their lifetime, 9.5 per cent twice in their lifetime, and 4.1 per cent have 3 abortions. The 18-25 year olds are the most affected (90,000 in 2012). Abortion is a sad, repetitive and violent reality. It is so first of all for French women.

Psychological damage
In 2012, Prof Israël Nisand, who is now president of France’s National College of Gynaecologists and Obstetricians, and a proponent of access to abortion, unambiguously stated that abortion caused psychological damage to women who had recourse to it. The matter became a national scandal, because the official truth is that abortion does not bear long-lasting consequences. The French government website on abortion (ivg.gouv.fr) states that the only pain is physical, during and shortly after the procedure. And yet, a simple Google or YouTube search will show hundreds of messages left by women mentally distressed after their abortions. Beyond the anecdotal evidence, the majority of serious medical studies show significant mental health issues after an abortion. One study (Coleman, 2011), sampled 877,181 women, of whom 163,831 had an abortion. The author concluded that women having had abortions had an 81 per cent increased risk of mental health troubles.

No public discourse or debate is possible in France about abortion. Since 1993, it is a criminal offence to try to dissuade a woman from having an abortion. In February 2017, the offence was extended to providing information, including online, which could have the same effect of convincing a woman to keep her baby. This applies to teachers, healthcare workers, media, to everyone. For the French government, providing online information on abortion, but also on pregnancy, on carrying a baby to term, on accessing social and financial services to support expectant mothers and after the birth, is considered misleading to women.

Conscientious objection
The Irish Government is proposing abortion on demand at least up to 12 weeks, and that is exactly what we have in France. It will not take long before the sad French reality will come to these shores. One in three women will have an abortion in their lifetime. Teenage girls and young women will be most affected. Mothers will take their daughters, sometimes forcing them, to have abortions. Secretaries in GP practices will see women coming in at the early stages of pregnancy, and leaving the premises having taken pills for a medically induced abortion. Doctors, nurses, midwives and pharmacists and other hospital workers will struggle to keep their right to conscientious objection, as it is the case in France.

It is harder and harder to find doctors willing to perform surgical abortions at a later stage in the pregnancy. The enthusiasm of the early days has worn off
The debate is not about maternal healthcare in Ireland, do not be fooled. It is an ideological question: do you really want abortion on demand at least up to 12 weeks? Do you really want to give carte blanche to your Government for abortions up to 6 months’ gestation? Legalising abortion will inevitably and inexorably create a general malaise in Irish society, at every level, in every family, between neighbours, in medical facilities, everywhere.

In France, since 2016, midwives are entitled to prescribe abortive pills to women up to five weeks’ gestation. Why this move? Because it is harder and harder to find doctors willing to perform surgical abortions at a later stage in the pregnancy. The enthusiasm of the early days has worn off, the abortion militants have retired, and the younger generations of doctors would rather save lives than end them. But the fabric of French society is altered forever. We are not allowed to talk about abortion, we are told lies about abortion, and one in five pregnancies is terminated. Unlike French people, you have a voice. On May 25th, think about the harsh reality of abortion in France when you exercise your right to vote.

Dr Bénédicte Sage-Fuller lectures at the School of Law in University College Cork

Re: Repealing the 8th

Posted: Fri May 18, 2018 10:18 am
by Conspicuous
According to the Irish times the No aide enjoyed an 8% swing in their favour in the last 10 days of polling for the Marraige Equality referendum . If that’s repeated the outcome will go right to the wire .