Re: Are we going to solve climate change?
Posted: Wed Oct 10, 2018 4:20 pm
Bring back particulate pollution, and block the sun.
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Mahoney wrote:Perhaps we've found another Great Filter - for intelligent life to advance further than us there has to be both sufficient fossil fuels to power an industrial revolution AND sufficiently small amounts to force a gradual move away from fossil fuels before the climate changes too much. And we're unlucky to be just the wrong side of the filter.
If there were no viable alternative and fossil fuels were simply running out then alternatives which were merely not economically viable, because fossil fuels were cheaper, would become economically viable as scarcity & cost to extract increased the price of fossil fuels, which would in turn lead to economies of scale and improvement in production of the alternatives and so on and so forth. And if even with all that the alternatives were simply not physically able to meet our energy requirements then huge investment would go into finding other alternatives, because the need would be immediate and obvious.zzzz wrote:Mahoney wrote:Perhaps we've found another Great Filter - for intelligent life to advance further than us there has to be both sufficient fossil fuels to power an industrial revolution AND sufficiently small amounts to force a gradual move away from fossil fuels before the climate changes too much. And we're unlucky to be just the wrong side of the filter.
It's got nothing to do with "force". It's about having a viable alternative. Right now, there isn't one.
What they need to do is reverse the direction the wind farms are blowing. Things are getting so warm that they're surely pushing us into the sun. Flip the switch and push us out towards Mars, ya greenies!Uthikoloshe wrote:Dump postBillW wrote:Once we can thermostatically control the sun, I think we'll be well on the way.
What we need to do is just widen the earths orbit.
How do you scrub carbon from the atmosphere?Nolanator wrote: Yep, but the problem of pollutants is still unsolved, which is the issue regarding climate change.
One of the merits of article linked above is that the raw material for synthesising fuels is found in the air, rather than in the ground. You're scrubbing CO2 from the air, converting to fuel, combusting it, and returning it to the air. With fossil fuels it's a non-stop adding CO2 to the atmosphere from where it's trapped in the ground.
It doesn't work that way. Yes - alternatives struggle to be competitive on pricing. But higher oil prices doesn't mean everyone charges off to use alternatives. It means millions of people in energy poverty which impoverishes and kills.Mahoney wrote:If there were no viable alternative and fossil fuels were simply running out then alternatives which were merely not economically viable, because fossil fuels were cheaper, would become economically viable as scarcity & cost to extract increased the price of fossil fuels, which would in turn lead to economies of scale and improvement in production of the alternatives and so on and so forth. And if even with all that the alternatives were simply not physically able to meet our energy requirements then huge investment would go into finding other alternatives, because the need would be immediate and obvious.zzzz wrote:Mahoney wrote:Perhaps we've found another Great Filter - for intelligent life to advance further than us there has to be both sufficient fossil fuels to power an industrial revolution AND sufficiently small amounts to force a gradual move away from fossil fuels before the climate changes too much. And we're unlucky to be just the wrong side of the filter.
It's got nothing to do with "force". It's about having a viable alternative. Right now, there isn't one.
If even then no alternatives were found then at least the steady rise in price of fossil fuels would make the transition to a pre-industrial economy a gradual one.
My basic view is that humans are good at handling gradual change and good at making economic decisions where the costs and benefits are immediately obvious; but are bad at handling sudden change and making economic decisions involving taking cost now to mitigate downsides in the relatively far future. Fossil fuels running out would be the former case, climate change looks to me like the latter.
It's been solved mate. We will however concentrate on ways to alleviate some of it. Like a child digging a moat around his sandcastle as the tide comes in. It will work at first._fatprop wrote:Are we going to solve climate change? Unlikely
But we will work out ways to alleviate some of it
Anonymous. wrote:It's been solved mate. We will however concentrate on ways to alleviate some of it. Like a child digging a moat around his sandcastle as the tide comes in. It will work at first._fatprop wrote:Are we going to solve climate change? Unlikely
But we will work out ways to alleviate some of it
zzzz wrote:It doesn't work that way. Yes - alternatives struggle to be competitive on pricing. But higher oil prices doesn't mean everyone charges off to use alternatives. It means millions of people in energy poverty which impoverishes and kills.Mahoney wrote:If there were no viable alternative and fossil fuels were simply running out then alternatives which were merely not economically viable, because fossil fuels were cheaper, would become economically viable as scarcity & cost to extract increased the price of fossil fuels, which would in turn lead to economies of scale and improvement in production of the alternatives and so on and so forth. And if even with all that the alternatives were simply not physically able to meet our energy requirements then huge investment would go into finding other alternatives, because the need would be immediate and obvious.zzzz wrote:Mahoney wrote:Perhaps we've found another Great Filter - for intelligent life to advance further than us there has to be both sufficient fossil fuels to power an industrial revolution AND sufficiently small amounts to force a gradual move away from fossil fuels before the climate changes too much. And we're unlucky to be just the wrong side of the filter.
It's got nothing to do with "force". It's about having a viable alternative. Right now, there isn't one.
If even then no alternatives were found then at least the steady rise in price of fossil fuels would make the transition to a pre-industrial economy a gradual one.
My basic view is that humans are good at handling gradual change and good at making economic decisions where the costs and benefits are immediately obvious; but are bad at handling sudden change and making economic decisions involving taking cost now to mitigate downsides in the relatively far future. Fossil fuels running out would be the former case, climate change looks to me like the latter.
Not you and I mate. We won't pay the price for our wastefulness. We will be dead by the time the shit hits the fanbimboman wrote:Anonymous. wrote:It's been solved mate. We will however concentrate on ways to alleviate some of it. Like a child digging a moat around his sandcastle as the tide comes in. It will work at first._fatprop wrote:Are we going to solve climate change? Unlikely
But we will work out ways to alleviate some of it
And then we are doomed I tell ya doomed.
Anonymous. wrote:Not you and I mate. We won't pay the price for our wastefulness. We will be dead by the time the shit hits the fanbimboman wrote:Anonymous. wrote:It's been solved mate. We will however concentrate on ways to alleviate some of it. Like a child digging a moat around his sandcastle as the tide comes in. It will work at first._fatprop wrote:Are we going to solve climate change? Unlikely
But we will work out ways to alleviate some of it
And then we are doomed I tell ya doomed.
It's for you to give a shit about your kids and grand kids. If you don't it's not my problembimboman wrote:Anonymous. wrote:Not you and I mate. We won't pay the price for our wastefulness. We will be dead by the time the shit hits the fanbimboman wrote:Anonymous. wrote:It's been solved mate. We will however concentrate on ways to alleviate some of it. Like a child digging a moat around his sandcastle as the tide comes in. It will work at first._fatprop wrote:Are we going to solve climate change? Unlikely
But we will work out ways to alleviate some of it
And then we are doomed I tell ya doomed.
How about my kids, should I buy them a boat n stuff ?
I think the great filter here might be more of a general principle about the way biological systems use resources.Mahoney wrote:Perhaps we've found another Great Filter - for intelligent life to advance further than us there has to be both sufficient fossil fuels to power an industrial revolution AND sufficiently small amounts to force a gradual move away from fossil fuels before the climate changes too much. And we're unlucky to be just the wrong side of the filter.
This. The idea that a middle class person in a westernised democracy can "recycle-their-way" out of impact on the world is an absolute non-starter. The science isn't totally solid, but something like the Ecological Footprint calculator gives a you a good idea as to the issues at hand...simply put, just being a normal person in a developed country means you are using more of the earth than is your 'fair share' (i.e. if you consider that there is a wedge of the planet surface required to produce all the food, materials and energy, and then deposit of all your waste, for you to live your lifestyle, that area would be considerably larger than if you just took every person on earth and equally divided the surface up between all of us).Zakar wrote:If we are, it will be via engineering a solution rather than reduction in consumption.
Don't you think basing the efficiency of the Calvin cycle of one plant species is a poor point when making generalisations about the plant kingdom? For example, why can I not grow a banana plant in the U.K?Diego wrote:Ok, I research this for a living so I'll keep it short. Plants have an optimum temperature point for photosynthesis. Once that point is passed it drops off rapidly due to several interacting cell processes. This is not compensated for by rising CO2.Theflier wrote:How does temperature increase have a massive effect on photosynthesis?Diego wrote:That would be amazing if CO2 rise happened in isolation. Unfortunately temperatures also rise which has a massive negative impact on photosynthesis and so biomass accumulation, yield etc. Climate change is not good, however you spin it.Theflier wrote:And the sum total of all this CO2, the world is becoming more fertile
From my experience, a warm bright summer has always been fantastic for plants.
And CO2 rise =/=climate change
Here's a couple of papers to look at:
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/a ... 011830176X
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26279285
Turbogoat wrote:Thinking about that, we are at 7.7Billion people on the planet right now.comets wrote:Anyone ele just realized that THANOS was right all along?
Click your fingers, and reduce the number to 3.85Billion, and that's like winding the clock all the way back to about 1973.
Is buying our selves another 45 years before we find ourselves in the same situation worth having to wear this again?
Or a combination of both, perhaps?Zakar wrote:If we are, it will be via engineering a solution rather than reduction in consumption.
See my post above. I don't believe there is a means to reduce consumption to a sustainable point while also maintaining the trappings of a 'developed country' lifestyle. What science there is on the subject would tend to back up that assertion.terangi48 wrote:The Five Stages of Climate Change Denial
Stage 1: Deny the Problem Exists
Stage 2: Deny we are the Cause
Stage 3: Deny It's a Problem
Stage 4: Deny we can Solve It
Stage 5: It's too late
Are we wired to this thinking with current style of living, political climate, and the manufacturing and food production practices we follow?
Why do alternatives struggle on pricing and what do you mean there isnt a viable alternative?zzzz wrote:It doesn't work that way. Yes - alternatives struggle to be competitive on pricing. But higher oil prices doesn't mean everyone charges off to use alternatives. It means millions of people in energy poverty which impoverishes and kills.Mahoney wrote:If there were no viable alternative and fossil fuels were simply running out then alternatives which were merely not economically viable, because fossil fuels were cheaper, would become economically viable as scarcity & cost to extract increased the price of fossil fuels, which would in turn lead to economies of scale and improvement in production of the alternatives and so on and so forth. And if even with all that the alternatives were simply not physically able to meet our energy requirements then huge investment would go into finding other alternatives, because the need would be immediate and obvious.zzzz wrote:Mahoney wrote:Perhaps we've found another Great Filter - for intelligent life to advance further than us there has to be both sufficient fossil fuels to power an industrial revolution AND sufficiently small amounts to force a gradual move away from fossil fuels before the climate changes too much. And we're unlucky to be just the wrong side of the filter.
It's got nothing to do with "force". It's about having a viable alternative. Right now, there isn't one.
If even then no alternatives were found then at least the steady rise in price of fossil fuels would make the transition to a pre-industrial economy a gradual one.
My basic view is that humans are good at handling gradual change and good at making economic decisions where the costs and benefits are immediately obvious; but are bad at handling sudden change and making economic decisions involving taking cost now to mitigate downsides in the relatively far future. Fossil fuels running out would be the former case, climate change looks to me like the latter.
terangi48 wrote:The most sensible thing I've heard to date on the issue of climate change is:
Change is required urgently and it is our will/or not, to make that change.
If we were serious about climate change, who on this board would:
1. Be prepared to change their lifestyle if it meant cleaning up the planet? Voluntarily or enforced?
2. Vote for national political policies that were targetted to clean up the planet, even if those policies forced change in current practices.
3. Who currently makes a living in a way that would/should change if the planet was to be cleaned up?
4. Who on the board are planning to trade their current car for: a bike, public transport, a hybrid or EV as their next vehicle?
5. Who would invest in a bank of solar panels ($25,000) that would make them almost self sufficient for power?
No love for Hydrogen?Farva wrote:Im incredibly optimistic for tye engineering. We have the technologies to solve 50% plus of our carbon emmissions.
Also, anyone suggesting current nuclear technology is the solution is mad. Its just not viable financially.
Solar and wind, mixed with pumped storage, displaced by batteries as the technology arrives, is the future.
Yeah, about 5 kilotons up Trump's arse.Brumbie_Steve wrote:No love for Hydrogen?Farva wrote:Im incredibly optimistic for tye engineering. We have the technologies to solve 50% plus of our carbon emmissions.
Also, anyone suggesting current nuclear technology is the solution is mad. Its just not viable financially.
Solar and wind, mixed with pumped storage, displaced by batteries as the technology arrives, is the future.
You are right but so is terangi48. We do know the solution. We are just not prepared to do what it takes.Jeff the Bear wrote:See my post above. I don't believe there is a means to reduce consumption to a sustainable point while also maintaining the trappings of a 'developed country' lifestyle. What science there is on the subject would tend to back up that assertion.terangi48 wrote:The Five Stages of Climate Change Denial
Stage 1: Deny the Problem Exists
Stage 2: Deny we are the Cause
Stage 3: Deny It's a Problem
Stage 4: Deny we can Solve It
Stage 5: It's too late
Are we wired to this thinking with current style of living, political climate, and the manufacturing and food production practices we follow?
That's not a generation technology, it's conversion and storage for redistribution away from central generator sites. The hydrogen economy still requires solar, hydro, wind etc to generate power in the first place.Brumbie_Steve wrote:No love for Hydrogen?Farva wrote:Im incredibly optimistic for tye engineering. We have the technologies to solve 50% plus of our carbon emmissions.
Also, anyone suggesting current nuclear technology is the solution is mad. Its just not viable financially.
Solar and wind, mixed with pumped storage, displaced by batteries as the technology arrives, is the future.
That's clearly a banana. You don't seem to know the difference between nuts and bananas, therefore your opinion is dismissed.terangi48 wrote:Liked this analogy about how to lessen climate change.........
Its a monkey trap. The cunning monkey has found the bottle of nuts and got his fist inside and has a fistful but cannot withdraw from the bottle and as the hunter approaches to whack its head, despite knowing the danger to be mortal refuses to let go the nuts and escape.
Monkey = human nature. Hunter = Mother nature. Monkey trap = lifestyle. Nuts = everything to fight for, eat, desire, need and strive for.
Why?zzzz wrote:Good