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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 7:46 pm 
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SamShark wrote:
c69 wrote:
SamShark wrote:
This is my anecdotal interpretation of my Twitter feed not fact, but the exit polls across Europe don't seem to be showing any right wing surge.

Very welcome if true.

Apart from the Brexit Party and Farage...


I suppose again, you could argue it is a repetition of last time when UKIP got the most seats, unless BP smash it and get loads more

Oh I wholly expect a massive protest vote.
And I can understand why


Last edited by c69 on Sun May 26, 2019 7:50 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 7:46 pm 
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SamShark wrote:
c69 wrote:
SamShark wrote:
This is my anecdotal interpretation of my Twitter feed not fact, but the exit polls across Europe don't seem to be showing any right wing surge.

Very welcome if true.

Apart from the Brexit Party and Farage...


I suppose again, you could argue it is a repetition of last time when UKIP got the most seats, unless BP smash it and get loads more


UKIP are the far right vote. Stop this.


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 7:46 pm 
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Still disgusted labour and cons get around 35%.


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 7:47 pm 
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SamShark wrote:
RodneyRegis wrote:
SamShark wrote:
This is my anecdotal interpretation of my Twitter feed not fact, but the exit polls across Europe don't seem to be showing any right wing surge.

Very welcome if true.


Apart from France of course.


Le Pen's mob tipped to get most votes?

Perhaps not a surge, as would this have been the case last time?

It's the same as 2014 I believe?


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 7:48 pm 
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RodneyRegis wrote:
SamShark wrote:
c69 wrote:
SamShark wrote:
This is my anecdotal interpretation of my Twitter feed not fact, but the exit polls across Europe don't seem to be showing any right wing surge.

Very welcome if true.

Apart from the Brexit Party and Farage...


I suppose again, you could argue it is a repetition of last time when UKIP got the most seats, unless BP smash it and get loads more


UKIP are the far right vote. Stop this.


I said right wing surge. Personally I don't use the term "far right" to describe them or BP and if memory serves I don't think I ever have.


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 7:49 pm 
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RodneyRegis wrote:
SamShark wrote:
c69 wrote:
SamShark wrote:
This is my anecdotal interpretation of my Twitter feed not fact, but the exit polls across Europe don't seem to be showing any right wing surge.

Very welcome if true.

Apart from the Brexit Party and Farage...


I suppose again, you could argue it is a repetition of last time when UKIP got the most seats, unless BP smash it and get loads more


UKIP are the far right vote. Stop this.

Who was leader of Ukip for years again?
And now with his "new" party has achieved a similar result?


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 7:51 pm 
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So it looks like it’s all based on previous polling data plus turnout percentage.

Ie. Change UKIP for brexit party and that’s ALL they’ve decided to change when giving a prediction. It means nothing, could be more remain, could be more leave, it’s based on 2014 and 2010 data largely.


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 7:52 pm 
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RodneyRegis wrote:
SamShark wrote:
c69 wrote:
SamShark wrote:
This is my anecdotal interpretation of my Twitter feed not fact, but the exit polls across Europe don't seem to be showing any right wing surge.

Very welcome if true.

Apart from the Brexit Party and Farage...


I suppose again, you could argue it is a repetition of last time when UKIP got the most seats, unless BP smash it and get loads more


UKIP are the far right vote. Stop this.

Really? They are the same party they have always been, Farage just had a spat and left.
UKIP the ERG and the BP are almost indistinguishable its a right wing version of all the leftist factions.


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 8:00 pm 
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Floppykid wrote:
SamShark wrote:
RodneyRegis wrote:
SamShark wrote:
This is my anecdotal interpretation of my Twitter feed not fact, but the exit polls across Europe don't seem to be showing any right wing surge.

Very welcome if true.


Apart from France of course.


Le Pen's mob tipped to get most votes?

Perhaps not a surge, as would this have been the case last time?

It's the same as 2014 I believe?


It's a massive turnout. Le Pen is going to get more votes than Macron did at the last GE.


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 8:01 pm 
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Looking like the FN win in France.


I’m sure that’s someone else’s fault and isn’t happening though.


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 8:01 pm 
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c69 wrote:
RodneyRegis wrote:
SamShark wrote:
c69 wrote:
SamShark wrote:
This is my anecdotal interpretation of my Twitter feed not fact, but the exit polls across Europe don't seem to be showing any right wing surge.

Very welcome if true.

Apart from the Brexit Party and Farage...


I suppose again, you could argue it is a repetition of last time when UKIP got the most seats, unless BP smash it and get loads more


UKIP are the far right vote. Stop this.

Really? They are the same party they have always been, Farage just had a spat and left.
UKIP the ERG and the BP are almost indistinguishable its a right wing version of all the leftist factions.


You clearly don't have a clue what you are talking about m8.


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 8:02 pm 
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bimboman wrote:
Looking like the FN win in France.


I’m sure that’s someone else’s fault and isn’t happening though.

Macron apathy is actually worse than our government though.

Factor that in.


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 8:02 pm 
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Go on then Rodders tell me where the differences are in policy between the groups.
Well when I say policy, clearly tye BP dont have any.


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 8:04 pm 
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RodneyRegis wrote:
c69 wrote:
RodneyRegis wrote:
SamShark wrote:
c69 wrote:
This is my anecdotal interpretation of my Twitter feed not fact, but the exit polls across Europe don't seem to be showing any right wing surge.

Very welcome if true.

Apart from the Brexit Party and Farage..

I suppose again, you could argue it is a repetition of last time when UKIP got the most seats, unless BP smash it and get loads more


UKIP are the far right vote. Stop this.

Really? They are the same party they have always been, Farage just had a spat and left.
UKIP the ERG and the BP are almost indistinguishable its a right wing version of all the leftist factions.


You clearly don't have a clue what you are talking about m8.


Have you seen the author?? :roll:


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 8:04 pm 
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I am more of a poster than an author Os
:lol:


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 8:06 pm 
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c69 wrote:
Go on then Rodders tell me where the differences are in policy between the groups.
Well when I say policy, clearly tye BP dont have any.



Tell,us what the BP manifesto is ?


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 8:09 pm 
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c69 wrote:
Go on then Rodders tell me where the differences are in policy between the groups.
Well when I say policy, clearly tye BP dont have any.


Brexit party/Farage - no deal brexit.

ERG/JRM - no deal brexit.

UKIP/Batten - Islam is a death cult and Muslims need to sign documents renouncing the qur'an.

Sure, EXACTLY the same.

Gove, Fox, Grayling, IDS - FAR RIGHT SCUM


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 8:09 pm 
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Assuming (that is a big assumption) that the predictions are correct than means that Leave (brexit) got 24 and remain (Lib Dem, SNP, Plaid Cymru and Green) got 21.

I am not counting Conservative or Labour as they could be remain/leave depending on whom you talk to.


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 8:11 pm 
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RodneyRegis wrote:
c69 wrote:
Go on then Rodders tell me where the differences are in policy between the groups.
Well when I say policy, clearly tye BP dont have any.


Brexit party/Farage - no deal brexit.

ERG/JRM - no deal brexit.

UKIP/Batten - Islam is a death cult and Muslims need to sign documents renouncing the qur'an.

Sure, EXACTLY the same.

Gove, Fox, Grayling, IDS - FAR RIGHT SCUM

Strange thing to call them the far right.
They are not at all far right :uhoh:


Last edited by c69 on Sun May 26, 2019 8:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 8:13 pm 
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mdaclarke wrote:
Assuming (that is a big assumption) that the predictions are correct than means that Leave (brexit) got 24 and remain (Lib Dem, SNP, Plaid Cymru and Green) got 21.

I am not counting Conservative or Labour as they could be remain/leave depending on whom you talk to.

It’s based on 2014/2010 figures.

Don’t pay attention.

They’ve just substituted UKIP for BP and haven’t factored in labour/cons problems.


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 8:15 pm 
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Wendigo7 wrote:
mdaclarke wrote:
Assuming (that is a big assumption) that the predictions are correct than means that Leave (brexit) got 24 and remain (Lib Dem, SNP, Plaid Cymru and Green) got 21.

I am not counting Conservative or Labour as they could be remain/leave depending on whom you talk to.

It’s based on 2014/2010 figures.

Don’t pay attention.

They’ve just substituted UKIP for BP and haven’t factored in labour/cons problems.


It may be wide of the mark, but I think they put a little more thought into it that substituting UKIP for BP


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 8:20 pm 
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SamShark wrote:
RodneyRegis wrote:
SamShark wrote:
c69 wrote:
SamShark wrote:
This is my anecdotal interpretation of my Twitter feed not fact, but the exit polls across Europe don't seem to be showing any right wing surge.

Very welcome if true.

Apart from the Brexit Party and Farage...


I suppose again, you could argue it is a repetition of last time when UKIP got the most seats, unless BP smash it and get loads more


UKIP are the far right vote. Stop this.


I said right wing surge. Personally I don't use the term "far right" to describe them or BP and if memory serves I don't think I ever have.

:lol:

My bad. I'd just read about Le Pen and thought you were talking about the far right.


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 8:23 pm 
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mdaclarke wrote:
Assuming (that is a big assumption) that the predictions are correct than means that Leave (brexit) got 24 and remain (Lib Dem, SNP, Plaid Cymru and Green) got 21.

I am not counting Conservative or Labour as they could be remain/leave depending on whom you talk to.


This will be the bickering battle ground.

If you really want to be technical you'd count 1 in 4 tories as remainers and 3 in for Labour voters as remainers but I doubt anyone will go that far.

I'll be counting all Labour as remain :lol:


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 8:23 pm 
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It does seem to depend who you want to look at.

Election maps UK have Brexit party getting 33/34 MEPs, or 45-48% of the vote. (Bit bold a prediction for any party to get that high to be frank.)


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 8:24 pm 
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It's not a percentage of the vote - it is done by region.

So even if every single person in the NE voted for the BP, they could only get a certain amount of seats.


Last edited by SamShark on Sun May 26, 2019 8:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 8:25 pm 
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SamShark wrote:
mdaclarke wrote:
Assuming (that is a big assumption) that the predictions are correct than means that Leave (brexit) got 24 and remain (Lib Dem, SNP, Plaid Cymru and Green) got 21.

I am not counting Conservative or Labour as they could be remain/leave depending on whom you talk to.


This will be the bickering battle ground.

If you really want to be technical you'd count 1 in 4 tories as remainers and 3 in for Labour voters as remainers but I doubt anyone will go that far.

I'll be counting all Labour as remain :lol:



Quote:
In the 2016 EU referendum, 148 Labour constituencies voted to leave, 84 to remain.


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 8:26 pm 
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SamShark wrote:
It's not a percentage of the vote - it is done by region.

So even if every single person in the NE voted for the BP, they could only get a certain amount of seats.

Oh wow ok thank you sam. Thought it was based on percentage. My apologies.


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 8:39 pm 
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Tory sources saying they’ve probably got 5 or Just a bit more MEPs. - Beth Rigby.

:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 8:40 pm 
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So 6 will be a triumph :lol:

When are results dropping?


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 8:45 pm 
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Quote:
Labour source says the party has been "smashed" in Islington


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 8:46 pm 
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SamShark wrote:
Quote:
Labour source says the party has been "smashed" in Islington

All part of the Absolute Boy's long game.


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 8:48 pm 
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RodneyRegis wrote:
So 6 will be a triumph :lol:

When are results dropping?

Another source is stating 0-1 MEP.

Not a joke either.


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 8:58 pm 
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bimboman wrote:
c69 wrote:
Go on then Rodders tell me where the differences are in policy between the groups.
Well when I say policy, clearly tye BP dont have any.



Tell,us what the BP manifesto is ?

Hard right


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 9:01 pm 
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SamShark wrote:
mdaclarke wrote:
Assuming (that is a big assumption) that the predictions are correct than means that Leave (brexit) got 24 and remain (Lib Dem, SNP, Plaid Cymru and Green) got 21.

I am not counting Conservative or Labour as they could be remain/leave depending on whom you talk to.


This will be the bickering battle ground.

If you really want to be technical you'd count 1 in 4 tories as remainers and 3 in for Labour voters as remainers but I doubt anyone will go that far.

I'll be counting all Labour as remain :lol:



That is the beauty of Labour they are all things to all me. If you're a remainer then they are remain, if you're a brexiteer then they are brexit. If you don't like their policy they have another one for you.

I'm adding them to Brexit!!! :-)


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 9:01 pm 
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RodneyRegis wrote:

Gove, Fox, Grayling, IDS - FAR RIGHT SCUM


Probably the first time I have agreed with you. You just forgot to mention Farage in there though.


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 9:03 pm 
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Wendigo7 wrote:
It does seem to depend who you want to look at.

Election maps UK have Brexit party getting 33/34 MEPs, or 45-48% of the vote. (Bit bold a prediction for any party to get that high to be frank.)


Will not be anything like that many


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 9:04 pm 
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easyray wrote:
RodneyRegis wrote:

Gove, Fox, Grayling, IDS - FAR RIGHT SCUM


Probably the first time I have agreed with you. You just forgot to mention Farage in there though.


Far right! You hysterical queens.


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 9:06 pm 
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Mick Mannock wrote:
easyray wrote:
RodneyRegis wrote:

Gove, Fox, Grayling, IDS - FAR RIGHT SCUM


Probably the first time I have agreed with you. You just forgot to mention Farage in there though.


Far right! You hysterical queens.

Blame Rodney he posted the shit :lol:


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 9:08 pm 
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c69 wrote:
Mick Mannock wrote:
easyray wrote:
RodneyRegis wrote:

Gove, Fox, Grayling, IDS - FAR RIGHT SCUM


Probably the first time I have agreed with you. You just forgot to mention Farage in there though.


Far right! You hysterical queens.

Blame Rodney he posted the shit :lol:


True. Rodders you screaming plonker


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PostPosted: Sun May 26, 2019 9:09 pm 
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Mick Mannock wrote:
Wendigo7 wrote:
It does seem to depend who you want to look at.

Election maps UK have Brexit party getting 33/34 MEPs, or 45-48% of the vote. (Bit bold a prediction for any party to get that high to be frank.)


Will not be anything like that many

Brexit party rumoured to have achieved 40% in North west.

That includes the remain areas Liverpool and Manchester too.


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