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PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)
http://forum.planetrugby.com/viewtopic.php?f=3&t=88683
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Author:  ragyboy [ Sat Feb 09, 2019 7:34 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

And interestingly when you look back to the 'Wisdom of the Crowd' averages (once you had 'weighted them to eradicate Zappa mad predictions) that game was spot on.

Author:  waguser [ Sat Feb 09, 2019 7:47 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

ragyboy wrote:
And interestingly when you look back to the 'Wisdom of the Crowd' averages (once you had 'weighted them to eradicate Zappa mad predictions) that game was spot on.


Zappa was giving comedy predictions

With all the hilarity of a.Finance DBA

Author:  Enzedder [ Sat Feb 09, 2019 9:16 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

Useless blurry Leekists. :x :x :x

Author:  nuffsaid [ Sat Feb 09, 2019 10:36 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

Enzedder wrote:
Useless blurry Leekists. :x :x :x


Quite :x

I was doing fine v. Crazy Islander after the Scot/Ire match - but he nailed the Wales margin :x
I met Biggar, once. Don’t think we bonded. Don’t know whether he’s best mates with CI, or anything and I’m not suggesting anything untoward, of course. CI is obviously damn good at this so I’d like to say well played :x

Author:  Clive [ Sun Feb 10, 2019 2:18 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

Enzedder wrote:
Useless blurry Leekists. :x :x :x

The 10 changes should have given you a clue.

Author:  DeDoc [ Sun Feb 10, 2019 8:06 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

Updated pool tables after this round - 8 no-shows, resulting in walkovers

Name ________________ Played ____ Pts
Code:
Pool 1
======
ragyboy __________________ 2 _________ 8
clydecloggie _____________ 2 _________ 4
waguser __________________ 2 _________ 4
FullbackAce ______________ 2 _________ 4
Puma _____________________ 2 _________ 4
easyray __________________ 1 _________ 0

Pool 2
======
brokerGobroke ____________ 2 _________ 8
clementinfrance __________ 2 _________ 8
Woddy ____________________ 2 _________ 4
slick ____________________ 2 _________ 4
Jeff the Bear ____________ 2 _________ 0
ZappaMan _________________ 2 _________ 0

Pool 3
======
Will Tell ________________ 2 _________ 8
Zakar ____________________ 2 _________ 8
cubby boi ________________ 1 _________ 4
Mr Jonno _________________ 2 _________ 4
Caley_Red ________________ 1 _________ 0
quarter2four _____________ 1 _________ 0

Pool 4
======
nuffsaid _________________ 2 _________ 8
CrazyIslander ____________ 2 _________ 4
Akkerman _________________ 2 _________ 4
Winnie ___________________ 1 _________ 4
rageagainstthemachine ____ 2 _________ 4
EverReady ________________ 2 _________ 0

Pool 5
======
tcc_dc ___________________ 2 _________ 8
CM11 _____________________ 2 _________ 4
Captain Average __________ 1 _________ 4
myselfandmydog ___________ 1 _________ 4
Trostan __________________ 2 _________ 0
Conspicuous ______________ 1 _________ 0

Pool 6
======
Diego ____________________ 2 _________ 8
Enzedder _________________ 2 _________ 8
Hong Kong ________________ 2 _________ 4
alliswell ________________ 1 _________ 4
iarmhiman ________________ 2 _________ 0

Author:  DeDoc [ Sun Feb 10, 2019 8:11 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

Master League Table, updated for week 2.

England game had a much bigger margin than generally expected - nobody got closer than 20 points away from the actual margin
As a result quite a few people took a bit of a hit at the top of the table. There were a few notable climbers, including ragyboy - who called the Scotland-Ireland game exactly and got closer than anyone else on the England-France. With his MoM double on Peter O'Mahony and Johnny May, he can feel justifiably pleased with his weekends work!

Name ____________ Predictions ____ MAE ___ Score
Code:
Will Tell________________ 6 ______ 8 _________ 195
Zakar____________________ 6 ______ 8.2 _______ 160
brokerGobroke____________ 6 ______ 9 _________ 135
ragyboy__________________ 6 ______ 9.7 _______ 93
Diego____________________ 6 ______ 10.3 ______ 85
clementinfrance__________ 6 ______ 10.8 ______ 59
CrazyIslander____________ 6 ______ 10.8 ______ 56
Akkerman_________________ 6 ______ 12.7 ______ 54
Trostan__________________ 6 ______ 12.3 ______ 52
nuffsaid_________________ 6 ______ 12.5 ______ 48
Winnie___________________ 3 ______ 11.7 ______ 47
CM11_____________________ 6 ______ 12.3 ______ 46
Enzedder_________________ 6 ______ 12.2 ______ 44
clydecloggie_____________ 6 ______ 13 ________ 37
Caley_Red________________ 3 ______ 13 ________ 31
waguser__________________ 6 ______ 13.8 ______ 30
FullbackAce______________ 6 ______ 12.5 ______ 30
Jeff the Bear____________ 6 ______ 14.2 ______ 29
Puma_____________________ 6 ______ 13.2 ______ 28
iarmhiman________________ 6 ______ 15.3 ______ 25
rageagainstthemachine____ 6 ______ 14.8 ______ 24
tcc_dc___________________ 6 ______ 12.2 ______ 18
Hong Kong________________ 6 ______ 13.2 ______ 16
easyray__________________ 3 ______ 15.7 ______ 15
Woddy____________________ 6 ______ 11.7 ______ 14
cubby boi________________ 3 ______ 6.7 _______ 12
quarter2four_____________ 3 ______ 11.3 ______ 7
alliswell________________ 3 ______ 11.3 ______ 7
Conspicuous______________ 3 ______ 11 ________ 3
Captain Average__________ 3 ______ 9.3 _______ 3
ZappaMan_________________ 6 ______ 34.7 ______ 0
slick____________________ 6 ______ 19.5 ______ 0
Mr Jonno_________________ 6 ______ 23.8 ______ 0
EverReady________________ 6 ______ 26.7 ______ 0
myselfandmydog___________ 3 ______ 9.7 _______ 0

Author:  DeDoc [ Sun Feb 10, 2019 8:13 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

Next rounds fixtures:

Round _ Pool ____________ Matchup
Code:
3   Pool 1   Puma _____________________ clydecloggie
3   Pool 1   easyray __________________ ragyboy
3   Pool 1   FullbackAce ______________ waguser
3   Pool 2   clementinfrance __________ slick
3   Pool 2   Jeff the Bear ____________ Woddy
3   Pool 2   brokerGobroke ____________ ZappaMan
3   Pool 3   quarter2four _____________ Caley_Red
3   Pool 3   cubby boi ________________ Will Tell
3   Pool 3   Zakar ____________________ Mr Jonno
3   Pool 4   CrazyIslander ____________ rageagainstthemachine
3   Pool 4   Akkerman _________________ nuffsaid
3   Pool 4   Winnie ___________________ EverReady
3   Pool 5   tcc_dc ___________________ myselfandmydog
3   Pool 5   CM11 _____________________ Captain Average
3   Pool 5   Trostan __________________ Conspicuous
3   Pool 6   Hong Kong ________________ Diego
3   Pool 6   Enzedder _________________ alliswell
3   Pool 6    _________________________ iarmhiman

Author:  EverReady [ Sun Feb 10, 2019 10:31 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

Keeping in the groove so am going with the time the matches are on at

France 14:15 Scotland
Wales 16:45 England
Italy 15:00 Ireland

Scotland by 1
England by 29
Italy by 15

Suck on that JP McManus

Author:  MrJonno [ Sun Feb 10, 2019 11:12 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

A major flaw in this is that it doesn't make any allowance for the fact that my predictions so far have all be correct, it is just that the teams keep fking up.

Author:  EverReady [ Sun Feb 10, 2019 11:35 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

MrJonno wrote:
A major flaw in this is that it doesn't make any allowance for the fact that my predictions so far have all be correct, it is just that the teams keep fking up.


England should have won by 70 only they are lazy and shite. This is bound to be my best round though I regret of not thinking of the oul time scores before. Here Doc can mine be redone as I was distracted when this started

Author:  Caley_Red [ Mon Feb 11, 2019 3:00 am ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

Scotland by 8
England by 9
Ireland by 22

Author:  Zakar [ Mon Feb 11, 2019 4:13 am ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

As expected, my superior rugby knowledge has been confirmed

Author:  Woddy [ Mon Feb 11, 2019 3:11 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

Am away next week, so Round 3 prediction in early to make sure I don't forget:

Scotland by 8
England by 5
Ireland by 15

Author:  nuffsaid [ Mon Feb 11, 2019 3:12 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

France by 8

England by 9

Ireland by 18

Almost certainly.

Author:  ZappaMan [ Mon Feb 11, 2019 3:18 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

France by 7
Wales by 11
Italy by 4

Author:  slick [ Mon Feb 11, 2019 3:19 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

Quite a crash and burn for me this week. England are just confirmed as plum.

Scotland by 12
England by 15
Ireland by 38

Author:  MrJonno [ Mon Feb 11, 2019 3:26 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

Ireland 40
Wales 3
France 10

Author:  CrazyIslander [ Mon Feb 11, 2019 11:53 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

nuffsaid wrote:
Enzedder wrote:
Useless blurry Leekists. :x :x :x


Quite :x

I was doing fine v. Crazy Islander after the Scot/Ire match - but he nailed the Wales margin :x
I met Biggar, once. Don’t think we bonded. Don’t know whether he’s best mates with CI, or anything and I’m not suggesting anything untoward, of course. CI is obviously damn good at this so I’d like to say well played :x

Reading this I thought I won but you did. Well done.

Author:  nuffsaid [ Tue Feb 12, 2019 9:56 am ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

CrazyIslander wrote:
nuffsaid wrote:
Enzedder wrote:
Useless blurry Leekists. :x :x :x


Quite :x

I was doing fine v. Crazy Islander after the Scot/Ire match - but he nailed the Wales margin :x
I met Biggar, once. Don’t think we bonded. Don’t know whether he’s best mates with CI, or anything and I’m not suggesting anything untoward, of course. CI is obviously damn good at this so I’d like to say well played :x

Reading this I thought I won but you did. Well done.


Thanks. It must have been close. :thumbup:

Author:  DeDoc [ Tue Feb 12, 2019 10:07 am ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

nuffsaid wrote:
CrazyIslander wrote:
nuffsaid wrote:
Enzedder wrote:
Useless blurry Leekists. :x :x :x


Quite :x

I was doing fine v. Crazy Islander after the Scot/Ire match - but he nailed the Wales margin :x
I met Biggar, once. Don’t think we bonded. Don’t know whether he’s best mates with CI, or anything and I’m not suggesting anything untoward, of course. CI is obviously damn good at this so I’d like to say well played :x

Reading this I thought I won but you did. Well done.


Thanks. It must have been close. :thumbup:


Total error of 36 versus total error of 43 over the 3 games in this round

Author:  nuffsaid [ Tue Feb 12, 2019 12:26 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

DeDoc wrote:
nuffsaid wrote:
CrazyIslander wrote:
nuffsaid wrote:
Enzedder wrote:
Useless blurry Leekists. :x :x :x


Quite :x

I was doing fine v. Crazy Islander after the Scot/Ire match - but he nailed the Wales margin :x
I met Biggar, once. Don’t think we bonded. Don’t know whether he’s best mates with CI, or anything and I’m not suggesting anything untoward, of course. CI is obviously damn good at this so I’d like to say well played :x

Reading this I thought I won but you did. Well done.


Thanks. It must have been close. :thumbup:


Total error of 36 versus total error of 43 over the 3 games in this round


Thanks DeDoc. I’m enjoying this and all in a good cause. Great idea :thumbup:

Author:  Will Tell [ Fri Feb 15, 2019 7:00 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

Looking good.

Will be back with the spreads once the teams are announced, but Ire, Fra & Eng, in the bag.
Ta, Barry

Author:  FullbackAce [ Fri Feb 15, 2019 8:54 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

Scotland +15
England +7
Ireland +21

Author:  Akkerman [ Wed Feb 20, 2019 11:32 am ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

Fra by 2
Eng by 14
Ire by 9

Author:  brokerGObroke [ Wed Feb 20, 2019 11:42 am ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

France by 10
England by 10
Ireland by 16

Author:  CM11 [ Wed Feb 20, 2019 5:56 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

Scotland by 3
Wales by 3
Ireland by 25

All in!

Author:  DeDoc [ Wed Feb 20, 2019 6:18 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

General 'wisdom of the crowd' predictions (weighted by past performance) so far based on this weeks entrants are:

France by 0.6
England by 8.3
Ireland by 17.4

unweighted we have Scotland by 2.2, England by 7.4 and Ireland by 16.9

Bookies have France by 6, England by 3 and Ireland by 28

Author:  Zakar [ Wed Feb 20, 2019 8:11 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

France by 3
England by 5
Ireland by 20

Author:  tcc_dc [ Wed Feb 20, 2019 10:19 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

France by 15
Wales by 2
Ireland by 23

Author:  clydecloggie [ Thu Feb 21, 2019 9:07 am ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

It's Puma time, children.

France by 4.
England by 11.
Ireland by 21.

Author:  CrazyIslander [ Thu Feb 21, 2019 10:58 am ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

Scotland 10
England 10
Ireland 15

Author:  Trostan [ Thu Feb 21, 2019 11:00 am ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

England by 7
Ireland by 24
France by 6

Author:  Puma [ Thu Feb 21, 2019 3:11 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

Rd. 3

FRA by 4
ENG by 7
IRE by 30

Author:  Puma [ Thu Feb 21, 2019 3:15 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

clydecloggie wrote:
It's Puma time, children.

France by 4.
England by 11.
Ireland by 21.


Didn't see these predictions before making mine...

DeDoc, how will you handle ties ? 'Cause there's already one incoming here.

Author:  Will Tell [ Thu Feb 21, 2019 4:34 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

France by 8
Eng by 6
Ire by 24

Now, if you don't want to be countin, the fingers that you aven't got, remember who's given you these spreads.

Ta, Barry

Author:  DeDoc [ Thu Feb 21, 2019 5:25 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

Puma wrote:
clydecloggie wrote:
It's Puma time, children.

France by 4.
England by 11.
Ireland by 21.


Didn't see these predictions before making mine...

DeDoc, how will you handle ties ? 'Cause there's already one incoming here.


Hi Puma

Tie on an individual fixture doesn't matter - the pool head-to-heads are based on the total error over three fixtures. If that is tied, then 2 points each. In any case the pool-based stuff is just for fun in this case, the master league table is based on all predictions and that decides which (players) charity gets the donation.

Author:  myselfandmydog [ Thu Feb 21, 2019 7:19 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

Sorry I missed the last round!

Scotland by 10
Wales by 3
Ireland by 21

Author:  Puma [ Fri Feb 22, 2019 12:06 am ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

DeDoc wrote:
Puma wrote:
clydecloggie wrote:
It's Puma time, children.

France by 4.
England by 11.
Ireland by 21.


Didn't see these predictions before making mine...

DeDoc, how will you handle ties ? 'Cause there's already one incoming here.


Hi Puma

Tie on an individual fixture doesn't matter - the pool head-to-heads are based on the total error over three fixtures. If that is tied, then 2 points each. In any case the pool-based stuff is just for fun in this case, the master league table is based on all predictions and that decides which (players) charity gets the donation.


:thumbup: :thumbup:

Author:  Hong Kong [ Fri Feb 22, 2019 1:23 am ]
Post subject:  Re: PR 6N prediction competition with prizes (for charity)

Scotland by 6
England by 9
Ireland by 39

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