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Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Wed May 22, 2019 7:59 am
by Saint
ForzaIt wrote:
Saint wrote:
ForzaIt wrote:What also amazes me is that the Boeing share price is bumbling along as if nothing has happened.
Because ultimately this will have little impact on the Boeing P&L

The only way this will impact Boeing is if the MAX doesn't get recertified at all. Then Boeing's in a pickle

What about the billions in compensation it will have to pay out plus a protracted legal process with all the associated press?

Surely the airlines that bought the Max will also be seeking compensation for loss of earnings/reputation etc?

Lawyers gonna have a field day.
For Boeing, that's pocket change. It might have a short term impact but nothing in the long term.


On the other hand, if the MAX doesn't recertify then they're in real trouble - you would be talking about trillions directly, not to mention knock on cashflow implications for all their other programmes and future development plans. That's where the real risk lies, but investors know it's an incredibly small risk and don't expect it to come about

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Thu May 23, 2019 7:48 am
by TheFrog
Saint wrote:
ForzaIt wrote:What also amazes me is that the Boeing share price is bumbling along as if nothing has happened.
Because ultimately this will have little impact on the Boeing P&L

The only way this will impact Boeing is if the MAX doesn't get recertified at all. Then Boeing's in a pickle
Trump's Air Force will take care of that. No subsidies for Boeing, just a very big and loyal customer to make up for the losses.

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Thu May 23, 2019 9:37 am
by sewa
ForzaIt wrote:What also amazes me is that the Boeing share price is bumbling along as if nothing has happened.
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/21/boeing- ... crash.html

I don't get the logic, it was only a bird strike? Everyone still died like

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Thu May 23, 2019 9:49 am
by Rinkals
sewa wrote:
ForzaIt wrote:What also amazes me is that the Boeing share price is bumbling along as if nothing has happened.
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/21/boeing- ... crash.html

I don't get the logic, it was only a bird strike? Everyone still died like
Yes, but you can't sue the bird.

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Thu May 23, 2019 10:11 am
by Yer Man
TheFrog wrote:
Saint wrote:
ForzaIt wrote:What also amazes me is that the Boeing share price is bumbling along as if nothing has happened.
Because ultimately this will have little impact on the Boeing P&L

The only way this will impact Boeing is if the MAX doesn't get recertified at all. Then Boeing's in a pickle
Trump's Air Force will take care of that. No subsidies for Boeing, just a very big and loyal customer to make up for the losses.
This.
And not just Trump.

US Government has Boeing's back.


I think it's just about the only industry where there is ONE American company in a competitive world market.
Anywhere else, either there are multiple American companies, or the solo American so dominant the competition doesn't matter.

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Thu May 23, 2019 10:17 am
by ForzaIt
sewa wrote:
ForzaIt wrote:What also amazes me is that the Boeing share price is bumbling along as if nothing has happened.
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/21/boeing- ... crash.html

I don't get the logic, it was only a bird strike? Everyone still died like


Sounds to me like it was a stool pigeon.

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Tue Jun 04, 2019 12:55 am
by Brumbieman
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-06-03/ ... s/11174710


fudge getting on that plane ever again...

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Tue Jun 04, 2019 3:06 am
by nicebutdim
camroc1 wrote:
fishfoodie wrote:
Saint wrote:It turns out the Boeing MAX simulators didn't accurately represent an MCAS failure should one occur. Not directly relevant to either crash as simulator time wasn't required, nor even available outside of Seattle, but it speaks to the nature of what was effectively a coverup
It does speak volumes to Boeings commitment to quality control !!

Why not just bung on a copy of MS Flight Simulator, & pretend that, if people can land something on that; they can land a MAX in Hong Kong during a Typhoon :roll:

The first rule of any software modeling; is to compare the accuracy of the results of the model, to a wide variety of real datasets, (not exclusively using the same data you derived the model from), to determine the actual validity of the model !
The entire project was sales and marketing driven, rather than engineering.

The executive team should have had enough engineering experience to counter this, but I don't know how many engineers afre in the Beoing executive team any more.
The undercover reporting on the Dreamliner was very disturbing but obviously didnt cause enough ripples in the mainstream. Seems though the chickens have finally come home to roost with the MAX. Boeing seems to be a rotten apple these days having killed the traditional engineering first ethos. Funny hearing the CEO proclaim that the public should trust them to fix problems because they know how..... this is the same management that gutted the culture that underpinned "if its not Boeing I am not going".

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Tue Jun 04, 2019 2:39 pm
by free_safety
ForzaIt wrote:What also amazes me is that the Boeing share price is bumbling along as if nothing has happened.
When it comes to passenger planes, Airlines don't have much choice. So Boeing will be just fine. Plus Boeing is still propped up financially by the US govt. They still have their inflated defense department contracts.

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Tue Jun 04, 2019 7:07 pm
by The Optimist
Russian low-cost airline Pobeda tells passengers not to switch seats on their flights because it complicates identifying victims in crashes, says tjournal.ru

Авиакомпания «Победа» объяснила запрет пассажирам меняться местами последующим опознанием при катастрофах

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Tue Jun 04, 2019 8:08 pm
by Sandstorm
The Optimist wrote:
Russian low-cost airline Pobeda tells passengers not to switch seats on their flights because it complicates identifying victims in crashes, says tjournal.ru

Авиакомпания «Победа» объяснила запрет пассажирам меняться местами последующим опознанием при катастрофах
Maybe they should give DNA before takeoff. :uhoh:

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Tue Jun 04, 2019 10:52 pm
by Saint
Brumbieman wrote:https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-06-03/ ... s/11174710


fudge getting on that plane ever again...
You've completely misunderstood the takeaway of this story (although to be fair so have the press). This is actually q story of the FAA doing it's job. In any machine as complex as an aircraft it's inevitable that so.ewhere in the supply chain defects will occur from time to ti.r. The truck is identifying and fixing them in a time6manner, which I thus vase yet have. Note also that a failure of this component would not be fatal in any shape or form, hence the 7 day allowance given to identify and fix things.

This is the system working as it should.

Doesn't change the fact that they screwed up MCAS right and proper

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Wed Jun 05, 2019 9:10 am
by sewa
Saint wrote:
Brumbieman wrote:https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-06-03/ ... s/11174710


fudge getting on that plane ever again...
You've completely misunderstood the takeaway of this story (although to be fair so have the press). This is actually q story of the FAA doing it's job. In any machine as complex as an aircraft it's inevitable that so.ewhere in the supply chain defects will occur from time to ti.r. The truck is identifying and fixing them in a time6manner, which I thus vase yet have. Note also that a failure of this component would not be fatal in any shape or form, hence the 7 day allowance given to identify and fix things.

This is the system working as it should.

Doesn't change the fact that they screwed up MCAS right and proper
Jesus, your typing is worse than an FAA inspector. You have missed the point, this is propaganda by Boeing, trying to look like they care again

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Wed Jun 05, 2019 10:48 am
by TheFrog
What I still fail to understand is how they could come up with an automated system relying on a single input when redundancy is the basis of aerospace design... It is as if the MCAS had been designed by an undergrade intern...

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Wed Jun 05, 2019 11:00 am
by Sandstorm
TheFrog wrote:What I still fail to understand is how they could come up with an automated system relying on a single input when redundancy is the basis of aerospace design... It is as if the MCAS had been designed by an undergrade intern...
They rushed it to market. (Hopefully) some grizzly old-school engineer in the basement possibly highlighted the lack of redundancy, but was shut-down at board level.

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Wed Jun 05, 2019 11:00 am
by Sandstorm
.

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Wed Jun 05, 2019 11:06 am
by blindcider
TheFrog wrote:What I still fail to understand is how they could come up with an automated system relying on a single input when redundancy is the basis of aerospace design... It is as if the MCAS had been designed by an undergrade intern...
It seems like they didn't deem it a critical system in terms of COF requiring redundancy

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Thu Jun 06, 2019 6:08 am
by The Optimist
Boeing 787 - Flying time bombs

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rvkEpstd9os

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Thu Jun 06, 2019 10:21 am
by sewa
blindcider wrote:
TheFrog wrote:What I still fail to understand is how they could come up with an automated system relying on a single input when redundancy is the basis of aerospace design... It is as if the MCAS had been designed by an undergrade intern...
It seems like they didn't deem it a critical system in terms of COF requiring redundancy
Because they do not understand basic engineering. There is nothing more critical than staying in the air. By the way I flew in a 737 800 to Porto, no issues.

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Thu Jun 06, 2019 11:25 am
by blindcider
sewa wrote:
blindcider wrote:
TheFrog wrote:What I still fail to understand is how they could come up with an automated system relying on a single input when redundancy is the basis of aerospace design... It is as if the MCAS had been designed by an undergrade intern...
It seems like they didn't deem it a critical system in terms of COF requiring redundancy
Because they do not understand basic engineering. There is nothing more critical than staying in the air. By the way I flew in a 737 800 to Porto, no issues.
Yes Sewa, Boeing does not understand basic engineering. Do you ever make any statements that are not moronic in the extreme?

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Thu Jun 06, 2019 12:06 pm
by Rinkals
blindcider wrote:
sewa wrote:
blindcider wrote:
TheFrog wrote:What I still fail to understand is how they could come up with an automated system relying on a single input when redundancy is the basis of aerospace design... It is as if the MCAS had been designed by an undergrade intern...
It seems like they didn't deem it a critical system in terms of COF requiring redundancy
Because they do not understand basic engineering. There is nothing more critical than staying in the air. By the way I flew in a 737 800 to Porto, no issues.
Yes Sewa, Boeing does not understand basic engineering. Do you ever make any statements that are not moronic in the extreme?
I think most of us understood that he was referring to board and management personnel rather than engineering staff.

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Thu Jun 06, 2019 12:40 pm
by camroc1
Rinkals wrote:
blindcider wrote:
sewa wrote:
blindcider wrote:
TheFrog wrote:What I still fail to understand is how they could come up with an automated system relying on a single input when redundancy is the basis of aerospace design... It is as if the MCAS had been designed by an undergrade intern...
It seems like they didn't deem it a critical system in terms of COF requiring redundancy
Because they do not understand basic engineering. There is nothing more critical than staying in the air. By the way I flew in a 737 800 to Porto, no issues.
Yes Sewa, Boeing does not understand basic engineering. Do you ever make any statements that are not moronic in the extreme?
I think most of us understood that he was referring to board and management personnel rather than engineering staff.
It has been reported that the executive level at Boeing has been hollowed out of engineers in favour of marketing/sales/general management over the past 15 years or so. It could be as simple as not understanding the risks involved in the decisions they were making.

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Thu Jun 06, 2019 12:46 pm
by sewa
It's all about the money Cammy. Why listen to stupid engineers

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Thu Jun 06, 2019 12:49 pm
by kiap
camroc1 wrote:It has been reported that the executive level at Boeing has been hollowed out of engineers in favour of marketing/sales/general management over the past 15 years or so. It could be as simple as not understanding the risks involved in the decisions they were making.
Criminal corporate gr€€d

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Sat Jun 15, 2019 6:14 pm
by Glaston
More problems with Boeing.

Safety worries about the 787 Dreamliner now.


"Airline pilots have voiced fears over the safety of a fleet of Boeing aircraft after a crucial fire-fighting system has been found to have the potential to malfunction.
Boeing has issued an alert to airlines using its flagship B787 Dreamliner, warning that the switch used to extinguish an engine fire has failed in a “small number” of instances. The switch also severs the fuel supply and the hydraulic fluid to prevent flames spreading."

https://www.theguardian.com/business/20 ... fety-fears

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Sat Jun 15, 2019 6:52 pm
by fishfoodie
Glaston wrote:More problems with Boeing.

Safety worries about the 787 Dreamliner now.


"Airline pilots have voiced fears over the safety of a fleet of Boeing aircraft after a crucial fire-fighting system has been found to have the potential to malfunction.
Boeing has issued an alert to airlines using its flagship B787 Dreamliner, warning that the switch used to extinguish an engine fire has failed in a “small number” of instances. The switch also severs the fuel supply and the hydraulic fluid to prevent flames spreading."

https://www.theguardian.com/business/20 ... fety-fears
wait & see; we'll get a stream of these; now that Boeing has had a sit down with it's engineering teams; & lawyers, & now they're going to have to start trying to retrospectively install quality in aircraft they've already sold !

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Sat Jun 15, 2019 6:58 pm
by Yer Man
Jaysus!

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Sat Jun 15, 2019 7:12 pm
by sewa
fishfoodie wrote:
Glaston wrote:More problems with Boeing.

Safety worries about the 787 Dreamliner now.


"Airline pilots have voiced fears over the safety of a fleet of Boeing aircraft after a crucial fire-fighting system has been found to have the potential to malfunction.
Boeing has issued an alert to airlines using its flagship B787 Dreamliner, warning that the switch used to extinguish an engine fire has failed in a “small number” of instances. The switch also severs the fuel supply and the hydraulic fluid to prevent flames spreading."

https://www.theguardian.com/business/20 ... fety-fears
wait & see; we'll get a stream of these; now that Boeing has had a sit down with it's engineering teams; & lawyers, & now they're going to have to start trying to retrospectively install quality in aircraft they've already sold !
I flew on a 737 to and from Porto. While there are issues and I critical of the shortcuts I think that is over egging the pudding. They are still an outstanding company and people will continue to use their planes

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Sat Jun 15, 2019 7:33 pm
by A5D5E5
sewa wrote:Because they do not understand basic engineering.
sewa wrote:They are still an outstanding company
How many contradictory things can you believe before breakfast?

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Sat Jun 15, 2019 7:39 pm
by sewa
A5D5E5 wrote:
sewa wrote:Because they do not understand basic engineering.
sewa wrote:They are still an outstanding company
How many contradictory things can you believe before breakfast?
I am free to criticise them for these failings without saying I'd never fly Boeing again. Maybe the difference is lost on you.

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Sat Jun 15, 2019 7:47 pm
by A5D5E5
sewa wrote:
A5D5E5 wrote:
sewa wrote:Because they do not understand basic engineering.
sewa wrote:They are still an outstanding company
How many contradictory things can you believe before breakfast?
I am free to criticise them for these failings without saying I'd never fly Boeing again. Maybe the difference is lost on you.


You are very generous with your definition of "outstanding company" if the threshold is below a basic understanding of engineering.


Presumably you also think that thalidomide is an outstanding treatment for morning sickness, young earth creationists are outstanding thinkers and the Hindenburg is an outstanding way to fly.

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Wed Jun 19, 2019 9:41 am
by sewa
Thalidomide is back on the market with the toxic isomer separated. Its used for people in late stage cancer and aids. Anyhow Willie Walsh has just placed a massive order for 737's including 737 maxes. Says he has every confidence in Boeing, might just be the turning point, I suppose we have yet to see will most people board maxes though or will panic set in

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Wed Jun 19, 2019 12:24 pm
by Demilich
sewa wrote:Thalidomide is back on the market with the toxic isomer separated. Its used for people in late stage cancer and aids.
Oooooh we might get a Fliddy sequel? I didn't think he could be improved, but cancer AND AIDS...? It might just work.

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Wed Jun 19, 2019 1:35 pm
by TheFrog
So IAG gives Boeing a life line committing to the purchase of 200 B737 Max, when they operate a massive fleet of A320.

Is there a link with BA signing with Boeing for the maintenance of its 200 strong A320 fleet?

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Wed Jun 19, 2019 3:11 pm
by Saint
TheFrog wrote:So IAG gives Boeing a life line committing to the purchase of 200 B737 Max, when they operate a massive fleet of A320.

Is there a link with BA signing with Boeing for the maintenance of its 200 strong A320 fleet?
This is just a Letter of Intent - it's the ultimate in cancellable orders, and ultimately I wouldn't be surprised to see it convert into 77X and 787 somewhere down the line (if not just be cancelled altogether). I also wonder just how big a discount was offered and guaranteed against any possible future order of ANYTHING, in return for something like this to be announced and shore up the share price.

Also completely overshadows IAGs order for 14 321XLRs, which will be used for US single aisle routes out of Dublin.

After doing some more digging, it seems that BAs share of these would be intended for Gatwick - so very much the low cost tourist end of BA operations. High value business operations out of Heathrow won't be risked by this. That would be consistent with the other target airlines for these planes - LEVEL, and Vueling.

EDIT - worth also noting that as of IAGs last annual report (December), IAG had confirmed orders of 92 A32xneo and options on a further 128, all to be delivered by 2023. How much do you want to bet that Willie Walsh is already on the phone to Toulouse - lower the price or we'll cancel and take the Boeing planes instead?

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Wed Jun 19, 2019 3:26 pm
by Yer Man
Saint wrote:
TheFrog wrote:So IAG gives Boeing a life line committing to the purchase of 200 B737 Max, when they operate a massive fleet of A320.

Is there a link with BA signing with Boeing for the maintenance of its 200 strong A320 fleet?
This is just a Letter of Intent - it's the ultimate in cancellable orders, and ultimately I wouldn't be surprised to see it convert into 77X and 787 somewhere down the line (if not just be cancelled altogether). I also wonder just how big a discount was offered and guaranteed against any possible future order of ANYTHING, in return for something like this to be announced and shore up the share price.

Also completely overshadows IAGs order for 14 321XLRs, which will be used for US single aisle routes out of Dublin.

After doing some more digging, it seems that BAs share of these would be intended for Gatwick - so very much the low cost tourist end of BA operations. High value business operations out of Heathrow won't be risked by this. That would be consistent with the other target airlines for these planes - LEVEL, and Vueling.

EDIT - worth also noting that as of IAGs last annual report (December), IAG had confirmed orders of 92 A32xneo and options on a further 128, all to be delivered by 2023. How much do you want to bet that Willie Walsh is already on the phone to Toulouse - lower the price or we'll cancel and take the Boeing planes instead?
Didn't they just get awarded a $6.5B contract by the US Government for Military planes last week?

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Wed Jun 19, 2019 6:58 pm
by Saint
Yer Man wrote:
Saint wrote:
TheFrog wrote:So IAG gives Boeing a life line committing to the purchase of 200 B737 Max, when they operate a massive fleet of A320.

Is there a link with BA signing with Boeing for the maintenance of its 200 strong A320 fleet?
This is just a Letter of Intent - it's the ultimate in cancellable orders, and ultimately I wouldn't be surprised to see it convert into 77X and 787 somewhere down the line (if not just be cancelled altogether). I also wonder just how big a discount was offered and guaranteed against any possible future order of ANYTHING, in return for something like this to be announced and shore up the share price.

Also completely overshadows IAGs order for 14 321XLRs, which will be used for US single aisle routes out of Dublin.

After doing some more digging, it seems that BAs share of these would be intended for Gatwick - so very much the low cost tourist end of BA operations. High value business operations out of Heathrow won't be risked by this. That would be consistent with the other target airlines for these planes - LEVEL, and Vueling.

EDIT - worth also noting that as of IAGs last annual report (December), IAG had confirmed orders of 92 A32xneo and options on a further 128, all to be delivered by 2023. How much do you want to bet that Willie Walsh is already on the phone to Toulouse - lower the price or we'll cancel and take the Boeing planes instead?
Didn't they just get awarded a $6.5B contract by the US Government for Military planes last week?
So, analysts reckon that even after discount this LOI is worth nearly double that - and the point would be that it opens the way for other airlines to resume placing orders. The share price ticked up a couple of points on this announcement

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Wed Jun 19, 2019 7:09 pm
by DOB
UEARFC wrote:Didn't O'Leary place a huge order for new Boeings in the wake of 9/11 when airline shares were in freefall?
Iirc, yes, and then proceeded to only take up the orders at a slow pace even after Boeing had returned to full manufacturing capacity. “About those 60 planes you agreed to buy from us...” “Yeah, we only need 5 of them right now. Just hold off on the rest. Still the same price, right? Right. Thanks.”

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Mon Jun 24, 2019 10:41 pm
by Saint
Boeing running out of storage space for the 737 Max production line

Image

Re: Ethiopian Plane Crash

Posted: Tue Jun 25, 2019 3:43 am
by jambanja
TUI

As in yeah right...not getting on that thing