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Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:49 pm
by HighKingLeinster
CM11 wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:46 pm
HighKingLeinster wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:43 pm Biden 87k behind in Georgia with 200k left to count, 75k alone in Atlanta. Squeaky bum time
Have they started counting today?
Yeah as gap was 104k earlier. Said they want to complete counting today

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:54 pm
by CM11
HighKingLeinster wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:49 pm
CM11 wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:46 pm
HighKingLeinster wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:43 pm Biden 87k behind in Georgia with 200k left to count, 75k alone in Atlanta. Squeaky bum time
Have they started counting today?
Yeah as gap was 104k earlier. Said they want to complete counting today
:thumbup:

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:59 pm
by MunsterMan!!!!!
CM11 wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:54 pm
HighKingLeinster wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:49 pm
CM11 wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:46 pm
HighKingLeinster wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:43 pm Biden 87k behind in Georgia with 200k left to count, 75k alone in Atlanta. Squeaky bum time
Have they started counting today?
Yeah as gap was 104k earlier. Said they want to complete counting today
:thumbup:
I dont think Biden will win that too much of a gap IMHO

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:00 pm
by ticketlessinseattle
iarmhiman wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:46 pm
HighKingLeinster wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:43 pm Biden 87k behind in Georgia with 200k left to count, 75k alone in Atlanta. Squeaky bum time
This could be a big moment
Jesus, still thats a huge gap with only 200k left ; depends where the other 125k are I guess

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:00 pm
by camroc1
Trump's already called for a recount in Wisconsin.

Looks like Georgia will go Biden and North Carolina Trump.

US Federal judge getting involved in undelivered postal votes in various states including Pennsylvania and Florida. Trump may have to be careful what he wishes for.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:03 pm
by CM11
camroc1 wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:00 pm Trump's already called for a recount in Wisconsin.

Looks like Georgia will go Biden and North Carolina Trump.

US Federal judge getting involved in undelivered postal votes in various states including JoPennsylvania and Florida. Trump may have to be careful what he wishes for.
Link?

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:04 pm
by camroc1
CM11 wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:03 pm
camroc1 wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:00 pm Trump's already called for a recount in Wisconsin.

Looks like Georgia will go Biden and North Carolina Trump.

US Federal judge getting involved in undelivered postal votes in various states including JoPennsylvania and Florida. Trump may have to be careful what he wishes for.
Link?
Live on CNN.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:09 pm
by camroc1
444 cases, 8 deaths.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:13 pm
by ticketlessinseattle
camroc1 wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:04 pm
CM11 wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:03 pm
camroc1 wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:00 pm Trump's already called for a recount in Wisconsin.

Looks like Georgia will go Biden and North Carolina Trump.

US Federal judge getting involved in undelivered postal votes in various states including JoPennsylvania and Florida. Trump may have to be careful what he wishes for.
Link?
Live on CNN.
I'm assuming undelivered in that the voter had completed them but they weren't delivered by Trumps postal service to the counting office ?

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:15 pm
by HighKingLeinster
camroc1 wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:04 pm
CM11 wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:03 pm
camroc1 wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:00 pm Trump's already called for a recount in Wisconsin.

Looks like Georgia will go Biden and North Carolina Trump.

US Federal judge getting involved in undelivered postal votes in various states including JoPennsylvania and Florida. Trump may have to be careful what he wishes for.
Link?
Live on CNN.
Assume its Biden camp challenging florida

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:19 pm
by camroc1
ticketlessinseattle wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:13 pm
camroc1 wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:04 pm
CM11 wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:03 pm
camroc1 wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:00 pm Trump's already called for a recount in Wisconsin.

Looks like Georgia will go Biden and North Carolina Trump.

US Federal judge getting involved in undelivered postal votes in various states including JoPennsylvania and Florida. Trump may have to be careful what he wishes for.
Link?
Live on CNN.
I'm assuming undelivered in that the voter had completed them but they weren't delivered by Trumps postal service to the counting office ?
Yep.

Ignored the Federal judges instruction to deliver them on time.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:25 pm
by MunsterMan!!!!!
What happen if an electorate college doesn't declare, I forget what that is called. Didn't 4 of them not declare for Trump in the last one but he has enough

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:35 pm
by iarmhiman
MunsterMan!!!!! wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:25 pm What happen if an electorate college doesn't declare, I forget what that is called. Didn't 4 of them not declare for Trump in the last one but he has enough
Unfaithful elector

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:44 pm
by CM11
Loads of money just went on Trump. What's happened?

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:44 pm
by MunsterMan!!!!!
iarmhiman wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:35 pm
MunsterMan!!!!! wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:25 pm What happen if an electorate college doesn't declare, I forget what that is called. Didn't 4 of them not declare for Trump in the last one but he has enough
Unfaithful elector
That's the one. What happens in a situation where its 270 vs 268 and 3 don't declare for Biden ?

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:48 pm
by danthefan
CM11 wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:44 pm Loads of money just went on Trump. What's happened?
Where, Betfair?

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:51 pm
by CM11
danthefan wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:48 pm
CM11 wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:44 pm Loads of money just went on Trump. What's happened?
Where, Betfair?
Yep. He's gone from 6 to nearly 3.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 8:04 pm
by Mullet 2
Well Wisconsin just went to Joe

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 8:08 pm
by camroc1
CM11 wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:51 pm
danthefan wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:48 pm
CM11 wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:44 pm Loads of money just went on Trump. What's happened?
Where, Betfair?
Yep. He's gone from 6 to nearly 3.
CNN just called Wisconsin for Biden.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 8:10 pm
by iarmhiman
Just needs 33 more votes

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 8:11 pm
by camroc1
They'll have to send the Marines in to evict Donny:
From the Guardian

Trump campaign files lawsuit to 'halt counting' in Michigan
Donald Trump’s reelection campaign said it had filed a lawsuit to halt the counting of ballots in the swing state of Michigan.

“President Trump’s campaign has not been provided with meaningful access to numerous counting locations to observe the opening of ballots and the counting process, as guaranteed by Michigan law. We have filed suit today in the Michigan Court of Claims to halt counting until meaningful access has been granted,” campaign manager Bill Stepien said in a statement.

“We also demand to review those ballots which were opened and counted while we did not have meaningful access. President Trump is committed to ensuring that all legal votes are counted in Michigan and everywhere else.”

Joe Biden has narrowly pulled ahead in Michigan, giving him the advantage in the key swing state, but many ballots still need to be counted.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 8:11 pm
by paddyor
GA not looking good for Biden. ONly about 200-240k ballots left to count and he's 80k behind.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 8:12 pm
by iarmhiman
Trump must be either coming back in Arizona or the betting is related to the recounts

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 8:13 pm
by CM11
I'd say it was the Michigan lawsuit. Jittered the market but back to 4 now.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 8:16 pm
by paddyor

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 8:17 pm
by camroc1
paddyor wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 8:11 pm GA not looking good for Biden. ONly about 200-240k ballots left to count and he's 80k behind.
Doesn't need it.

Only needs Michigan now.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 8:19 pm
by camroc1
That shows R0 substantially less than 0.5.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 8:20 pm
by Mullet 2
NPHET and the Irish people over performing in getting the virus under control. Well done everyone.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 8:32 pm
by camroc1
Nicked from elsewhere :
The Arizona Republic surveyed county recorders and estimates that 600,000 ballots remain to be counted in Arizona. A full 450,000 of those ballots are in Maricopa County (Phoenix) and break down as follows: 248,000 early ballots (which in Arizona includes both mail-in and in-person votes) that arrived on Monday or Tuesday, 160,000-180,000 mail-in ballots dropped off on Election Day and 29,000 provisional ballots. Maricopa expects to release two batches of results tonight: one at 9 p.m. Eastern and one sometime after 12:30 a.m. Eastern.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2 ... -coverage/

So Arizona likely for Biden.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 8:34 pm
by CM11
camroc1 wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 8:32 pm Nicked from elsewhere :
The Arizona Republic surveyed county recorders and estimates that 600,000 ballots remain to be counted in Arizona. A full 450,000 of those ballots are in Maricopa County (Phoenix) and break down as follows: 248,000 early ballots (which in Arizona includes both mail-in and in-person votes) that arrived on Monday or Tuesday, 160,000-180,000 mail-in ballots dropped off on Election Day and 29,000 provisional ballots. Maricopa expects to release two batches of results tonight: one at 9 p.m. Eastern and one sometime after 12:30 a.m. Eastern.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2 ... -coverage/

So Arizona likely for Biden.
AP have already called Arizona, that explains why.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 8:53 pm
by ticketlessinseattle
CM11 wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 8:34 pm
camroc1 wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 8:32 pm Nicked from elsewhere :
The Arizona Republic surveyed county recorders and estimates that 600,000 ballots remain to be counted in Arizona. A full 450,000 of those ballots are in Maricopa County (Phoenix) and break down as follows: 248,000 early ballots (which in Arizona includes both mail-in and in-person votes) that arrived on Monday or Tuesday, 160,000-180,000 mail-in ballots dropped off on Election Day and 29,000 provisional ballots. Maricopa expects to release two batches of results tonight: one at 9 p.m. Eastern and one sometime after 12:30 a.m. Eastern.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2 ... -coverage/

So Arizona likely for Biden.
AP have already called Arizona, that explains why.
I think Trump was disputing AZ from early on today because he knows he's fcuked if AZ is gone

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 8:56 pm
by ticketlessinseattle
just saw.....Biden has relatives from Mayo, he'll find a way to loose this !

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 8:56 pm
by camroc1
ticketlessinseattle wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 8:53 pm
CM11 wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 8:34 pm
camroc1 wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 8:32 pm Nicked from elsewhere :
The Arizona Republic surveyed county recorders and estimates that 600,000 ballots remain to be counted in Arizona. A full 450,000 of those ballots are in Maricopa County (Phoenix) and break down as follows: 248,000 early ballots (which in Arizona includes both mail-in and in-person votes) that arrived on Monday or Tuesday, 160,000-180,000 mail-in ballots dropped off on Election Day and 29,000 provisional ballots. Maricopa expects to release two batches of results tonight: one at 9 p.m. Eastern and one sometime after 12:30 a.m. Eastern.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2 ... -coverage/

So Arizona likely for Biden.
AP have already called Arizona, that explains why.
I think Trump was disputing AZ from early on today because he knows he's fcuked if AZ is gone
It's why he's claiming both Az, and Nv as Biden will only need Michigan if he has both western states.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 8:57 pm
by Botha Boy
ticketlessinseattle wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 8:56 pm just saw.....Biden has relatives from Mayo, he'll find a way to loose this !
Fourth cousins ... :lol: :lol: :lol:

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:02 pm
by camroc1
If the postal ballot trends continue in PA Biden will take it by about 100k votes. If he takes GA as well Michigan and Wisconsin results won't matter.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:05 pm
by iarmhiman
camroc1 wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:02 pm If the postal ballot trends continue in PA Biden will take it by about 100k votes. If he takes GA as well Michigan and Wisconsin results won't matter.
Unlikely to win GA . Still 70,000 behind and 93% votes counted

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:14 pm
by camroc1
iarmhiman wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:05 pm
camroc1 wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:02 pm If the postal ballot trends continue in PA Biden will take it by about 100k votes. If he takes GA as well Michigan and Wisconsin results won't matter.
Unlikely to win GA . Still 70,000 behind and 93% votes counted
Nearly all from Atlanta and suburbs though, and leaning heavily to Biden.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:17 pm
by sorCrer
He must have it surely?

Michigan has 98% of votes counted and a decent lead for Biden.
Nevada hundreds of outstanding precincts are in blue counties like Clark and Washoe. The red counties have hardly any voters in them.

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:20 pm
by iarmhiman
sorCrer wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:17 pm He must have it surely?

Michigan has 98% of votes counted and a decent lead for Biden.
Nevada hundreds of outstanding precincts are in blue counties like Clark and Washoe. The red counties have hardly any voters in them.
One theory is that the Vegas Latino voters could vote for Trump.

Mind you they would have done that at polling stations and not by postal ballot

Re: Rugby NAMA thread Revisited Rugby

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:21 pm
by themaddog
Botha Boy wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 8:57 pm
ticketlessinseattle wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 8:56 pm just saw.....Biden has relatives from Mayo, he'll find a way to loose this !
Fourth cousins ... :lol: :lol: :lol:
His Mayo family are genuinely called the Blewitts :lol: