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Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Fri Aug 30, 2019 8:19 pm
by Gwenno
We drove over the Beacons to Merthyr Tydfil in it. After crossing the highest point on the A470 on the way home, the 15 or so miles home 'cost' me about 3 miles because of the regenerative braking, the fact that it is almost all down hill. It clearly is so more efficient in terms of pence/mile compared with diesel (roughly 4 for electricity, 13 for diesel). I don't give shit about virtue signaling - I like to have a second car for emergencies, and for my younger son son to use when home, and the fact that I can 'fill the tank' at home is a great bonus. I've always been interested in electric cars, and I'm glad that they are now in reach.

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Fri Aug 30, 2019 8:29 pm
by The Man Without Fear
Leinsterman wrote:Since I've bought it, I've done over 5000 miles.
I've been operating in full EV mode for exactly half those miles.
Combined mpg is currently 56mpg. I was only managing approx 30mpg in my old car so significant savings for my wallet.
What did you get?

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Fri Aug 30, 2019 8:34 pm
by Leinsterman
Merc C350e

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Fri Aug 30, 2019 11:25 pm
by The Man Without Fear
Leinsterman wrote:Merc C350e
Nice, but the charge flap is in a really odd place, back bumper, I seem to recall.

Estate or saloon?

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Fri Aug 30, 2019 11:28 pm
by Leinsterman
Saloon. Yeah it's on the back bumper but I think that's a good spot because it minimises a trailing lead.
Thinking of the new PHEV Grandland X or the Mitsubishi Outlander for the wife's next car.

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Sat Aug 31, 2019 5:44 am
by Rinkals
Gwenno wrote:We drove over the Beacons to Merthyr Tydfil in it. After crossing the highest point on the A470 on the way home, the 15 or so miles home 'cost' me about 3 miles because of the regenerative braking, the fact that it is almost all down hill. It clearly is so more efficient in terms of pence/mile compared with diesel (roughly 4 for electricity, 13 for diesel). I don't give shit about virtue signaling - I like to have a second car for emergencies, and for my younger son son to use when home, and the fact that I can 'fill the tank' at home is a great bonus. I've always been interested in electric cars, and I'm glad that they are now in reach.
That's not the sort of thing that Bimbo wants to read: can't you throw in a couple of negatives in there? maybe that you were overtaken by a bicycle and a couple of sheep?

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Sat Aug 31, 2019 7:05 am
by Gwenno
Rinkals wrote:
Gwenno wrote:We drove over the Beacons to Merthyr Tydfil in it. After crossing the highest point on the A470 on the way home, the 15 or so miles home 'cost' me about 3 miles because of the regenerative braking, the fact that it is almost all down hill. It clearly is so more efficient in terms of pence/mile compared with diesel (roughly 4 for electricity, 13 for diesel). I don't give shit about virtue signaling - I like to have a second car for emergencies, and for my younger son son to use when home, and the fact that I can 'fill the tank' at home is a great bonus. I've always been interested in electric cars, and I'm glad that they are now in reach.
That's not the sort of thing that Bimbo wants to read: can't you throw in a couple of negatives in there? maybe that you were overtaken by a bicycle and a couple of sheep?
We were overtaken by a couple of sheep, but they were driving hybrids.

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Sat Aug 31, 2019 7:49 am
by Leffe
julian wrote:I wonder whether electric cars carbon footprint production matches or is higher than regular fuel cars. If electricity is produced from fossil fuels then is a total snobbery.
I'd say not. Electric cars ensure cleaner air in cities, this is really important.

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Sat Aug 31, 2019 8:25 am
by Gwenno
Leffe wrote:
julian wrote:I wonder whether electric cars carbon footprint production matches or is higher than regular fuel cars. If electricity is produced from fossil fuels then is a total snobbery.
I'd say not. Electric cars ensure cleaner air in cities, this is really important.
Also green electricity production rises every year. The point is, the western world long ago decided to have a system whereby plentiful supplies of energy are delivered directly to our houses, namely electricity, and this means that, for the most part, you haven't got to fill up on the way home, or drive a 10 mile round trip to the nearest garage, you just fill up while you're making the suppper and watching the match. I'm heartened by the fact that there are 50 kwhr batteries available for the little cars now, but we still need more fast charge points around the uk to match the convenience of fossil fuel cars, and the more people that buy electric cars the more worthwhile it will be to set up these points and the cheaper the cars will become.

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Sat Aug 31, 2019 5:28 pm
by booji boy
guy smiley wrote:
booji boy wrote:Colleague at work bought a second hand Nissan Leaf for his wife as their 'run about town' car. I live in a small regional town and it is a long way to other towns so given the limited range of the Leaf it is definitely just for buying groceries, dropping off and picking up kids from school etc. To go any further beyond the towns boundaries you'd definitely need a recharging station somewhere along the journey.

My sister and BiL live in West Melton, about 25km outside Christchurch. Both work in town, they use a second hand Leaf. I'm not sure of the battery size in theirs but over the year or so they've had it it's done everything they need from a car including multiple trips on weekends for shopping, visits etc along with the commute. It's cost them a recharger unit, which was fairly cheap to replace..

oh, and of course being virtue signallers par excellence they're charging it through the household PV array with back up from NZ's hydro powered grid. It's costing sweet f-all.
Yeah my colleague was explaining the maths re fuel cost/consumption of the Leaf vs a petrol car and it's a significant saving over the course of a year.

A few years ago another colleague demo'd a small electric car, can't recall the model, might have been a Leaf. Decided to drive it from Taupo to Mangakino. A 56km journey. Starting with 100% charge he arrived at Mangakino and the battery was down to 51%. So he plugged it in to recharge for the return journey. Since it had used 49% of the charge to get there he charged it up to 60% for the return trip figuring that would be sufficient to get him home. What he didn't realise, and neither did I despite driving the journey many times, is that the return leg is uphill compared to the trip there. Part way home the trip was eating the battery alive and he realised there was no way he was going to make it back. So he had to pull into a farm and beg the farmers wife to let him charge his car while she made him a cup of tea. :lol:

I guess the range has improved a lot since then. 8)

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Thu Oct 24, 2019 9:34 pm
by Geek
Interesting that Dyson canned their planned electric car, stating that it wouldn't be commercially viable. A little worrying for those predicting a major shift away from ICE to motors.

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Thu Oct 24, 2019 9:42 pm
by message #2527204
Saw an article the other day saying that some British guy had invented a new electrolyte for Al-air batteries. Could be a game changer, but stiffly resisted by the motor industry who've invested in li ion tech no doubt.

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Thu Oct 24, 2019 9:44 pm
by merlin the happy pig
Geek wrote:Interesting that Dyson canned their planned electric car, stating that it wouldn't be commercially viable. A little worrying for those predicting a major shift away from ICE to motors.
I think this mostly relates to how difficult it is to be profitable as a car manufacturer rather than the pros/cons of electric power.

It's not a foregone conclusion, but battery prices continue to fall slowly but surely, and battery chemistry continues to improve.

Perhaps the biggest news in this space is the feasibility of batteries that last 1 million miles (1.6 million kms)
https://bigthink.com/technology-innovat ... le-battery.

Longer battery life obviously helps lessen some of the downsides of batteries, i.e. mining, recycling/toxic waste, and replacement cost.

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Thu Oct 24, 2019 9:47 pm
by merlin the happy pig
message #2527204 wrote:Saw an article the other day saying that some British guy had invented a new electrolyte for Al-air batteries. Could be a game changer, but stiffly resisted by the motor industry who've invested in li ion tech no doubt.
Ultimately I think Al-Air or Li-Air is the holy grail.
Li-Air is supposed to be theoretically capable of 10x the energy density of Li-ion, which would be of huge benefit in reducing mass and increasing range/performance of electric vehicles.

At that point some all-electric air travel becomes realistic.

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 2:17 am
by Farva
merlin the happy pig wrote:
message #2527204 wrote:Saw an article the other day saying that some British guy had invented a new electrolyte for Al-air batteries. Could be a game changer, but stiffly resisted by the motor industry who've invested in li ion tech no doubt.
Ultimately I think Al-Air or Li-Air is the holy grail.
Li-Air is supposed to be theoretically capable of 10x the energy density of Li-ion, which would be of huge benefit in reducing mass and increasing range/performance of electric vehicles.

At that point some all-electric air travel becomes realistic.
Just started reading on that. You are right, they get a huge boost in energy density and so ranges go up dramatically, while weight plummets.

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 4:55 am
by Sensible Stephen
merlin the happy pig wrote:
Geek wrote:Interesting that Dyson canned their planned electric car, stating that it wouldn't be commercially viable. A little worrying for those predicting a major shift away from ICE to motors.
I think this mostly relates to how difficult it is to be profitable as a car manufacturer rather than the pros/cons of electric power.

It's not a foregone conclusion, but battery prices continue to fall slowly but surely, and battery chemistry continues to improve.

Perhaps the biggest news in this space is the feasibility of batteries that last 1 million miles (1.6 million kms)
https://bigthink.com/technology-innovat ... le-battery.

Longer battery life obviously helps lessen some of the downsides of batteries, i.e. mining, recycling/toxic waste, and replacement cost.
Probably hinges on a battery break through which from the latest couple of posts here seems like there might just be one around the corner?

Hydrogen seems to be very much in the picture still. For use in cars, but more importantly perhaps, also as a replacement for natural gas. Seems a bit dangerous, but looks like that is the way things are going.

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 7:49 am
by bok_viking
Sensible Stephen wrote:
merlin the happy pig wrote:
Geek wrote:Interesting that Dyson canned their planned electric car, stating that it wouldn't be commercially viable. A little worrying for those predicting a major shift away from ICE to motors.
I think this mostly relates to how difficult it is to be profitable as a car manufacturer rather than the pros/cons of electric power.

It's not a foregone conclusion, but battery prices continue to fall slowly but surely, and battery chemistry continues to improve.

Perhaps the biggest news in this space is the feasibility of batteries that last 1 million miles (1.6 million kms)
https://bigthink.com/technology-innovat ... le-battery.

Longer battery life obviously helps lessen some of the downsides of batteries, i.e. mining, recycling/toxic waste, and replacement cost.
Probably hinges on a battery break through which from the latest couple of posts here seems like there might just be one around the corner?

Hydrogen seems to be very much in the picture still. For use in cars, but more importantly perhaps, also as a replacement for natural gas. Seems a bit dangerous, but looks like that is the way things are going.
I think the whole renewable energy thing would really take off if one of those battery breakthroughs actually get to market. The incremental improvements with current tech is just not enough for the whole industry to take a major step forward. Whether it is electric cars, energy generation, houses running of renewable sources. Everything is waiting for that battery breakthrough.
I hope it happens very soon, a lot of great battery tech never made it through the commercial upscaling process.
Countries like Denmark can already generate more than 50% of their energy consumption from wind, rubbish recycling, etc, so for such countries going fully renewable would happen very fast with the right battery tech. I myself would love to get to the point where i can fully run my house and car of renewable sources. I'm not an ICE devotee so as soon as it is convenient enough for my lifestyle i would jump to electricity.

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 9:31 am
by Yer Man
julian wrote:I wonder whether electric cars carbon footprint production matches or is higher than regular fuel cars. If electricity is produced from fossil fuels then is a total snobbery.
That's an interim stage.
Energy production has been moving from fossil to renewables for years and will continue to do so until it is hugely in the majority (even if it never reaches 100%).
Cleaning up the air in urban areas is a huge benefit regardless.




Al-Air batteries... interesting.
Although I can't see it taking off in 'Murica - sound like an Ay-rab plot :lol:

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 9:37 am
by Leinsterman
Geek wrote:Interesting that Dyson canned their planned electric car, stating that it wouldn't be commercially viable. A little worrying for those predicting a major shift away from ICE to motors.
They would be starting from scratch though. Zero history of manufacturing cars so they would need to invest significantly in plant. It's not as if they could just wake up one morning and start making cars and turn a profit quickly.

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 10:19 am
by bok_viking
Leinsterman wrote:
Geek wrote:Interesting that Dyson canned their planned electric car, stating that it wouldn't be commercially viable. A little worrying for those predicting a major shift away from ICE to motors.
They would be starting from scratch though. Zero history of manufacturing cars so they would need to invest significantly in plant. It's not as if they could just wake up one morning and start making cars and turn a profit quickly.
I think it is quite difficult for a new player to come into the market. Even some existing car manufacturers are struggling to get their foot into the electric market. Specially at this stage where I thing R&D money is a much larger percentage of the company's budget that with traditional cars and the market percentage is very low.

I spend a lot of time in China and even with a rapid rise in purchases in electric vehicles here, the new electric car chinese companies that started up with loads of government backing are folding one after the other. They just cannot sell enough cars to cover the R&D costs required to be competitive against the existing car companies, it is a massive uphill battle for any newbie, no matter how deep your pockets are. I can imagine it is quite difficult for a new guy to get their hands on the top innovative staff required to have a successful crack at it.

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 10:56 am
by Rinkals
message #2527204 wrote:Saw an article the other day saying that some British guy had invented a new electrolyte for Al-air batteries. Could be a game changer, but stiffly resisted by the motor industry who've invested in li ion tech no doubt.
Yes, I think this is the article you are referring to: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7592485/Father-eight-invents-electric-car-battery-drivers-1-500-miles-without-charging-it.html?fbclid=IwAR1ZCNUNFIh2NACTXOS2SeV5dMr-Ti_Vk57f7BWM079h0c7-z-AYrPX1ix0

However, it IS the Daily Mail and you should probably read this before investing too much in the story of the plucky English inventor making a world-changing discovery but having to fight against the dastardly European Car Makers.

https://theness.com/neurologicablog/index.php/aluminum-air-batteries/
But as always, the devil is in the details. What exactly are they talking about? There are lots of red flags in this article, starting with the fact that it is in the Daily Mail, which doesn’t exactly have a good reputation for high quality journalism. Also it makes it seem like this is the invention of one guy, rather than a lab, company, or even industry. That’s not realistic. There is also this:

Few will have heard of Jackson’s extraordinary invention. The reason, he says, is that since he and his company Metalectrique Ltd came up with a prototype a decade ago, he has faced determined opposition from the automobile industry establishment.

Sorry, but this conspiracy theory does not pass the smell test. New battery tech would not threaten the automotive industry, it would be a new option.

In any case, regardless of the sensational reporting, what are the actual facts of the battery itself. The inventor is Trevor Jackson, who claims to have made a breakthrough in aluminum-air (al-air) batteries. This technology is not new, it has been around since the 1960s, and is actually being used in some settings, like the military. This might be better described as a fuel cell than a battery, however. First – it is not rechargable. The energy comes from oxidizing aluminum:

This battery uses the oxidation of aluminum at the anode and the reduction of oxygen at the cathode to form a galvanic cell. In the process the aluminum is completely consumed to produce aluminum hydroxide. The metal air battery has a very attractive energy density because part of the reactants come from the air.

Aluminum is also a light metal, with good energy density. One technical limitation to widespread use of an al-air cell is that the electrolyte solution is very toxic. This is the breakthrough that Jackson claims, that he developed a new electrolyte solution that is so non-toxic you can drink it. He is not revealing his formula, saying it is proprietary, but he claims he has demonstrated his fuel cell to third parties. OK – let’s assume his core claim is true, that he has a new version of the al-air battery with a non-toxic electrolyte. Is this a good option for the next fleet of automobiles?

I think there are good reasons the automotive industry remains skeptical. There are practical considerations here. A Telsa lithium ion battery pack weighs 540 kg (1,200 lbs). Even at five times the energy density, a pack with a 300 mile range would weigh 240 pounds. Since the battery cannot be recharged, it would need to be swapped out. The driver would not be expected to lift a 240 pound battery, or more for longer range vehicles. You could break it up into many 20 pound batteries, or require a station with equipment to lift out the spent battery. Either way, this would require a new infrastructure that is not trivial.

All these spent batteries can be recycled to reclaim the aluminum, but that is an energy-dependent process. Basically you have to put more energy back in than what you got out from the battery. This is another required infrastructure. Requiring new infrastructure is not a deal-killer, if the advantages are worth it, but it is a significant barrier.

The potential advantages are the good energy density, and the fact that aluminum is cheap and abundant. You could use aluminum recycled from cans, for example, to make the batteries. But the non-rechargeable thing is a huge drawback. This would require an entirely new approach to electric vehicles, at the very least delaying adoption. You get a chicken-and-egg problem – will people buy the car before the infrastructure is ready, and who will build the infrastructure until there are enough users on the road? Such situations are frequent, and they can be bootstrapped by early adopters and industry and government investments to boost the infrastructure enough to lure in users. If we decide that this is the best way to go, we can make it happen.

But I am just not seeing the advantages necessary to make such a huge investment in a fairly dedicated infrastructure. Swapping out hundreds of pounds of batteries every few days doesn’t seem practical.

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 11:59 am
by Yer Man
Not quite so promising after all.

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 4:27 pm
by Homer
merlin the happy pig wrote:
Geek wrote:Interesting that Dyson canned their planned electric car, stating that it wouldn't be commercially viable. A little worrying for those predicting a major shift away from ICE to motors.
I think this mostly relates to how difficult it is to be profitable as a car manufacturer rather than the pros/cons of electric power.

It's not a foregone conclusion, but battery prices continue to fall slowly but surely, and battery chemistry continues to improve.

Perhaps the biggest news in this space is the feasibility of batteries that last 1 million miles (1.6 million kms)
https://bigthink.com/technology-innovat ... le-battery.

Longer battery life obviously helps lessen some of the downsides of batteries, i.e. mining, recycling/toxic waste, and replacement cost.
Yep, anyone can make an electric car. Making one that can sell in enough volume and at a price that gives a suitable return on investment is another thing........

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 4:31 pm
by Homer
message #2527204 wrote:Saw an article the other day saying that some British guy had invented a new electrolyte for Al-air batteries. Could be a game changer, but stiffly resisted by the motor industry who've invested in li ion tech no doubt.
The more obvious explanation, based on working in powertrain (including electrified powertrains) development for the last 25 years, is that the technology is some way off being viable for volume production.

I've seen many quite brilliant technologies that have never made it to scale.....

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 4:48 pm
by Fat Albert
Hey folks, don't know if Slow Wing is still about but, despite his time scale prophecies being wildly inaccurate, I thought he/thee might like to know that I now drive an iPace :P

Great car but, achieved range on cold, rainy, nights is more like 150 miles than the rated 250.

Oh and Tesla have still lost $100k on every car they've delivered, thank God for the US tax payer :blush:

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 5:13 pm
by bimboman
Fat Albert wrote:Hey folks, don't know if Slow Wing is still about but, despite his time scale prophecies being wildly inaccurate, I thought he/thee might like to know that I now drive an iPace :P

Great car but, achieved range on cold, rainy, nights is more like 150 miles than the rated 250.

Oh and Tesla have still lost $100k on every car they've delivered, thank God for the US tax payer :blush:

That’s two decent bottles of wine I didn’t get.

Tesla stock has flown in the last day or so, I can’t see it still.

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 5:40 pm
by Leinsterman
An ipace? Very nice. Know someone who got one recently and she absolutely loves it. I still think it looks a bit too "plastic" inside for a car that price. Still though, very nice to drive by all accounts.
Happy driving :thumbup:

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 6:52 pm
by Geek
Homer wrote:
message #2527204 wrote:Saw an article the other day saying that some British guy had invented a new electrolyte for Al-air batteries. Could be a game changer, but stiffly resisted by the motor industry who've invested in li ion tech no doubt.
The more obvious explanation, based on working in powertrain (including electrified powertrains) development for the last 25 years, is that the technology is some way off being viable for volume production.

I've seen many quite brilliant technologies that have never made it to scale.....
Yep, there's been a battery revolution just over the horizon every year for at least the last decade. It's almost like the nuclear fission dream..

In better news for electric cars is the amount of investment the likes of Hyundai and VW say they are going to make over the next 5 years (something like $35b each). VW have said they're going to introduce around 70 new electric models in that time, which is crazy. If we even get half of that it will change the shape of the car market dramatically. In the latest news, Nissan have announced they will only sell EVs and hybrids in Europe from 2022 onwards (which is a bold statement to make).

Now we just need loads more lithium. And loads more electricity generating stations. And a better charging network. Plenty of work to do if the projection of an electric future is to come true.

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 6:56 pm
by bimboman
Geek wrote:
Homer wrote:
message #2527204 wrote:Saw an article the other day saying that some British guy had invented a new electrolyte for Al-air batteries. Could be a game changer, but stiffly resisted by the motor industry who've invested in li ion tech no doubt.
The more obvious explanation, based on working in powertrain (including electrified powertrains) development for the last 25 years, is that the technology is some way off being viable for volume production.

I've seen many quite brilliant technologies that have never made it to scale.....
Yep, there's been a battery revolution just over the horizon every year for at least the last decade. It's almost like the nuclear fission dream..

In better news for electric cars is the amount of investment the likes of Hyundai and VW say they are going to make over the next 5 years (something like $35b each). VW have said they're going to introduce around 70 new electric models in that time, which is crazy. If we even get half of that it will change the shape of the car market dramatically. In the latest news, Nissan have announced they will only sell EVs and hybrids in Europe from 2022 onwards (which is a bold statement to make).

Now we just need loads more lithium. And loads more electricity generating stations. And a better charging network. Plenty of work to do if the projection of an electric future is to come true.

Honda are saying they’ll not be making any combustion only cars from 2022.

Of course if they actually successfully sell, the electricity network will be overwhelmed...

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 7:10 pm
by dinsdale
Geek wrote:
Homer wrote:
message #2527204 wrote:Saw an article the other day saying that some British guy had invented a new electrolyte for Al-air batteries. Could be a game changer, but stiffly resisted by the motor industry who've invested in li ion tech no doubt.
The more obvious explanation, based on working in powertrain (including electrified powertrains) development for the last 25 years, is that the technology is some way off being viable for volume production.

I've seen many quite brilliant technologies that have never made it to scale.....
Yep, there's been a battery revolution just over the horizon every year for at least the last decade. It's almost like the nuclear fission dream..

In better news for electric cars is the amount of investment the likes of Hyundai and VW say they are going to make over the next 5 years (something like $35b each). VW have said they're going to introduce around 70 new electric models in that time, which is crazy. If we even get half of that it will change the shape of the car market dramatically. In the latest news, Nissan have announced they will only sell EVs and hybrids in Europe from 2022 onwards (which is a bold statement to make).

Now we just need loads more lithium. And loads more electricity generating stations. And a better charging network. Plenty of work to do if the projection of an electric future is to come true.
The difference vs fusion is that batteries do actually work and have been improving slowly.

Whether batteries are the best energy storage medium for cars is still up for grabs - maybe fuel cells will work out - however electric motors are definitely the future.

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 7:14 pm
by message #2527204
Geek wrote:
Homer wrote:
message #2527204 wrote:Saw an article the other day saying that some British guy had invented a new electrolyte for Al-air batteries. Could be a game changer, but stiffly resisted by the motor industry who've invested in li ion tech no doubt.
The more obvious explanation, based on working in powertrain (including electrified powertrains) development for the last 25 years, is that the technology is some way off being viable for volume production.

I've seen many quite brilliant technologies that have never made it to scale.....
Yep, there's been a battery revolution just over the horizon every year for at least the last decade. It's almost like the nuclear fission dream..

In better news for electric cars is the amount of investment the likes of Hyundai and VW say they are going to make over the next 5 years (something like $35b each). VW have said they're going to introduce around 70 new electric models in that time, which is crazy. If we even get half of that it will change the shape of the car market dramatically. In the latest news, Nissan have announced they will only sell EVs and hybrids in Europe from 2022 onwards (which is a bold statement to make).

Now we just need loads more lithium. And loads more electricity generating stations. And a better charging network. Plenty of work to do if the projection of an electric future is to come true.
Al-air was always dismissed due to the toxicity of its electrolyte. Aluminium is much more readily available than lithium, and easier to recycle.

It will be pretty difficult to sell an ice vehicle in the EU past 2025

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 7:34 pm
by dinsdale
message #2527204 wrote:
Geek wrote:
Homer wrote:
message #2527204 wrote:Saw an article the other day saying that some British guy had invented a new electrolyte for Al-air batteries. Could be a game changer, but stiffly resisted by the motor industry who've invested in li ion tech no doubt.
The more obvious explanation, based on working in powertrain (including electrified powertrains) development for the last 25 years, is that the technology is some way off being viable for volume production.

I've seen many quite brilliant technologies that have never made it to scale.....
Yep, there's been a battery revolution just over the horizon every year for at least the last decade. It's almost like the nuclear fission dream..

In better news for electric cars is the amount of investment the likes of Hyundai and VW say they are going to make over the next 5 years (something like $35b each). VW have said they're going to introduce around 70 new electric models in that time, which is crazy. If we even get half of that it will change the shape of the car market dramatically. In the latest news, Nissan have announced they will only sell EVs and hybrids in Europe from 2022 onwards (which is a bold statement to make).

Now we just need loads more lithium. And loads more electricity generating stations. And a better charging network. Plenty of work to do if the projection of an electric future is to come true.
Al-air was always dismissed due to the toxicity of its electrolyte. Aluminium is much more readily available than lithium, and easier to recycle.

It will be pretty difficult to sell an ice vehicle in the EU past 2025
As was pointed out further up the thread, Al-Air batteries are non rechargeable which rules them out for most private use cases. Maybe suitable for buses etc. where there's a depot who can swap the batteries regularly.

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 7:37 pm
by bimboman
guy smiley wrote:
Geek wrote:
Now we just need loads more lithium. And loads more electricity generating stations. And a better charging network. Plenty of work to do if the projection of an electric future is to come true.
Every building has the potential to be a small scale power station through pv arrays. The city of Adelaide has a trial underway connecting something like 20 000 houses to a virtual network and managing the power generated by their panels as a small scale smart grid, which includes the use of domestic batteries. Expand that simple idea into wider use across metro areas and you are on the way to providing a chunk of the demand.

The batteries have to work then as the issue with electric car demand is it’s night time demand.

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 8:29 pm
by Geek
dinsdale wrote:
Geek wrote:
Homer wrote:
message #2527204 wrote:Saw an article the other day saying that some British guy had invented a new electrolyte for Al-air batteries. Could be a game changer, but stiffly resisted by the motor industry who've invested in li ion tech no doubt.
The more obvious explanation, based on working in powertrain (including electrified powertrains) development for the last 25 years, is that the technology is some way off being viable for volume production.

I've seen many quite brilliant technologies that have never made it to scale.....
Yep, there's been a battery revolution just over the horizon every year for at least the last decade. It's almost like the nuclear fission dream..

In better news for electric cars is the amount of investment the likes of Hyundai and VW say they are going to make over the next 5 years (something like $35b each). VW have said they're going to introduce around 70 new electric models in that time, which is crazy. If we even get half of that it will change the shape of the car market dramatically. In the latest news, Nissan have announced they will only sell EVs and hybrids in Europe from 2022 onwards (which is a bold statement to make).

Now we just need loads more lithium. And loads more electricity generating stations. And a better charging network. Plenty of work to do if the projection of an electric future is to come true.
The difference vs fusion is that batteries do actually work and have been improving slowly.

Whether batteries are the best energy storage medium for cars is still up for grabs - maybe fuel cells will work out - however electric motors are definitely the future.
I agree to an extent, however the comparison to fission is with the expectation of a major change (in spite of all evidence to the contrary). Batteries have been slowly improving at a very steady rate for nearly 100 years. And yet, there is still an expectation amongst those who have just dipped into battery tech that they have uncovered the game-changer which is going to make a dramatic improvement. It seems unlikely.

Fuel cells are also not the newest tech now. My old uni (University of Birmingham) has had fuel cell cars running round campus for nearly 15 years now. Hydrogen fuel cells themselves are nearly 200 years old. Eventually, it may start to take off, but the biggest challenge (I think) is with the storage of hydrogen in large quantities.

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2019 8:30 pm
by Geek
guy smiley wrote:
Geek wrote:
Now we just need loads more lithium. And loads more electricity generating stations. And a better charging network. Plenty of work to do if the projection of an electric future is to come true.
Every building has the potential to be a small scale power station through pv arrays. The city of Adelaide has a trial underway connecting something like 20 000 houses to a virtual network and managing the power generated by their panels as a small scale smart grid, which includes the use of domestic batteries. Expand that simple idea into wider use across metro areas and you are on the way to providing a chunk of the demand.
I'd love that to work over in the UK. I fear the efficiency of PV cells is very low at the low light levels we typically get over here. Hence why most renewables here are going in the direction of wind and biomass.

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Thu Jan 02, 2020 9:12 am
by kiweez
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/arti ... d=12295775

Power play: Government bolsters green fleet, almost half of all ministerial cars now an EV
Jason Walls is a political reporter for the New Zealand Herald

The Government is promising to ditch diesel-powered ministerial cars and is immediately purchasing another six new electric SUVs for the fleet.

The new vehicles will mean that roughly 40 per cent of the 72-vehicle ministerial Crown fleet is either fully electric, or a plug-in hybrid electric vehicle. That's up from 2 per cent when the current Government took over in 2017.

As well as the new six vehicles, the Government is promising to replace the remaining diesel-powered cars with a greener option over the next two years. The cost of the new SUVs - as well as the replacements of the rest of the fleet - has not been released.

The move follows a surge in the number of Kiwis buying electric vehicles. According to figures from the Ministry of Transport, there are now more than 18,000 EVs on New Zealand's roads.

One of them is driven by National leader Simon Bridges, who made the switch in 2016 when he was Transport Minister.

The number of electric vehicles in New Zealand has been increasing rapidly. In 2016, there were just 2380 EV cars on the road, compared with almost 6000 in 2017 and 11,000 in 2018. The most popular EV is the Nissan Leaf and the majority of EVs are registered in Auckland, according to the data.

The Minister Responsible for Ministerial Services, Chris Hipkins, told the Herald that electric vehicles (EVs) offer potentially massive benefits to both the environment and the Government's back pocket.

"Low emission, environmentally sustainable, fit for purpose transport is an important priority for the Government," he said.

"We are playing a leadership role and intend to transition the full Crown car fleet to emissions-free vehicles by 2025/26."

Hipkins said that a transition over this period allows time for the electric market to grow. It also would help ensure taxpayers get value for money.

The Government also planned to establish more EV infrastructure including, such charging stations, over the coming years.

"In the meantime, we expect the new electric-powered vehicles to be used for urban trips within the main centres," Hipkins said.

Earlier this year, the Government unveiled a feebate scheme to encourage people to buy greener vehicles. The Government announced it would slash the price of imported electric and hybrid vehicles by up to $8000. But it is also planning to slap a new fee of up to $3000 on the import of vehicles with the highest greenhouse gas emissions.

"Most Kiwis want to buy a car that's good for the environment, but tell us the upfront cost and limited choice makes it a challenge," Associate Transport Minister Julie Anne Genter said at the time.

But a cabinet paper looking into the scheme revealed a plan which would have put an extra up to $2000 in the back pocket of Kiwis buying electric cars was scrapped by the Government as it was considered to be "poor value for money".

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Thu Jan 02, 2020 9:49 am
by carlos_c
Can people stop saying "energy production" when they mean electricity... In UK majority of houses use gas for cooking and heating and vehicles use petrol/diesel........ Its going to take a lot a hell of a lot more wind farms to replace that energy requirement.

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Thu Jan 02, 2020 10:50 am
by Gwenno
carlos_c wrote:Can people stop saying "energy production" when they mean electricity... In UK majority of houses use gas for cooking and heating and vehicles use petrol/diesel........ Its going to take a lot a hell of a lot more wind farms to replace that energy requirement.
Nuclear power will be needed too.

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Thu Jan 02, 2020 11:34 am
by Homer
Geek wrote:
Homer wrote:
message #2527204 wrote:Saw an article the other day saying that some British guy had invented a new electrolyte for Al-air batteries. Could be a game changer, but stiffly resisted by the motor industry who've invested in li ion tech no doubt.
The more obvious explanation, based on working in powertrain (including electrified powertrains) development for the last 25 years, is that the technology is some way off being viable for volume production.

I've seen many quite brilliant technologies that have never made it to scale.....
Yep, there's been a battery revolution just over the horizon every year for at least the last decade. It's almost like the nuclear fission dream..

In better news for electric cars is the amount of investment the likes of Hyundai and VW say they are going to make over the next 5 years (something like $35b each). VW have said they're going to introduce around 70 new electric models in that time, which is crazy. If we even get half of that it will change the shape of the car market dramatically. In the latest news, Nissan have announced they will only sell EVs and hybrids in Europe from 2022 onwards (which is a bold statement to make).

Now we just need loads more lithium. And loads more electricity generating stations. And a better charging network. Plenty of work to do if the projection of an electric future is to come true.
It's not that bold. EU emissions regulations (and the consumer flight away from diesel) means all OEMS have a fight to bring down their CO2 (or get hit with massive fines). The most palatable is 'electrification', which includes mild-hybrids, hybrids, plug-in hybrids and BEVs. In terms of volume most will not actually be BEVs, as they are still too expensive for most consumers and many people still have concerns about range and access to charging.

Re: RIP the internal combustion engine!

Posted: Thu Jan 02, 2020 11:36 am
by Homer
bimboman wrote:
Geek wrote:
Homer wrote:
message #2527204 wrote:Saw an article the other day saying that some British guy had invented a new electrolyte for Al-air batteries. Could be a game changer, but stiffly resisted by the motor industry who've invested in li ion tech no doubt.
The more obvious explanation, based on working in powertrain (including electrified powertrains) development for the last 25 years, is that the technology is some way off being viable for volume production.

I've seen many quite brilliant technologies that have never made it to scale.....
Yep, there's been a battery revolution just over the horizon every year for at least the last decade. It's almost like the nuclear fission dream..

In better news for electric cars is the amount of investment the likes of Hyundai and VW say they are going to make over the next 5 years (something like $35b each). VW have said they're going to introduce around 70 new electric models in that time, which is crazy. If we even get half of that it will change the shape of the car market dramatically. In the latest news, Nissan have announced they will only sell EVs and hybrids in Europe from 2022 onwards (which is a bold statement to make).

Now we just need loads more lithium. And loads more electricity generating stations. And a better charging network. Plenty of work to do if the projection of an electric future is to come true.

Honda are saying they’ll not be making any combustion only cars from 2022.

Of course if they actually successfully sell, the electricity network will be overwhelmed...
Your missing the fact that most of those vehicle will never be plugged in.....