Flyin Ryan wrote:
You are way more optimistic on a vaccine than I am
Flyin Ryan wrote:
Saint wrote:The trouble is that the money simply isn't there outside of F1 either in direct pay or endorsement. F1 is where it's at, and unless/until it changes there's no reason for someone who thinks he'll make it to go elsewhere.
At best, we're going to have a very bad recession. At worst, a depression on the level of the 1930s. I'm willing to bet any amount of money auto racing is changing. And this is for an international global travel-based series where we have travel restrictions from one country to another and the best-case scenario for a vaccine is 18 months from now and minimum 1 million dead globally once all the excess desths from countries lying about their number of cases are considered.
Have a nice day.
Edit: Sainz to Ferrari, Ricciardo to McLaren per Autosport.
All true (except the vaccine, part, best case is actual a proven vaccine with production starting THIS Septemeber), and yet all irrelevent to the discussion. The really big money is in F1. The really big money will stay in F1. The overall differential between F1 and ANY other series will remain, unless F1 goes and imploads, and despite scare stories, that's not currently on the cards.
At minimum F1 could run as a European based series for a season and still have much larger global TV rights than any other series.
. You must work in politics.
It could easily become sportscar racing in the matter of 2 to 3 years as far as the finances of running it where you have one or 2 superteams and then you're on to the gentlemen. In what is going to be a very bad economic climate it's dependent on massive subsidies from carmakers when no one has been buying cars the past couple months, governments when international tourism has at the moment died and long-term will certainly decline, and corporate sponsorship which good luck keeping that at current levels. We know what happens in auto racing when the money disappears: Lance Stroll and Nicolas Latifi move up the field.
I think in the short term while funding levels may decrease, they won't stop. And next seasons cars are this seasons cars as it is now that they've pushed the rule changes, so cost cutting is effectively built in already.
Re the vaccine, one is already being tested just up the road from here and from everything I've read the expectations are very high - the technology behind it is proven, tested, and know to be safe, the animal testing has been very effective even when exposed to very high levels of COVID19, and the biggest challenge they're actually forseeing is that under lockdown it will be difficult to show that it's actually effective in humans unless they break ethics rules and deliberately expose people. Assuming they can prove it works in humans, and not just Rhesus Monkeys, they're expecting to be ready for industrial scale production by September, and a number of the big pharmas are already prepping for that.