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Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 10:39 am
by sturginho
Silver wrote:
piquant wrote:
Silver wrote:
sewa wrote:
Margin_Walker wrote: And a free GIANT map of Britain tomorrow!
What an utterly disgraceful front page. The judges are required to be independent for obvious reasons. If this an indication of the education levels of the average Brit then its no wonder even poorly educated immigrants can run rings around them
what rubbish. Judges should not be beyond criticism. Esp when they interfere in this way. The EU is an attempt to destroy UK democracy. The people have clearly voted to say no more to this process and they want out. These judges want to hinder the will of the voters. So whats going on?
When did the people vote to say they wanted UK law and the administration of them by UK courts removed? It does rather feel like someone should have mentioned this
I don't think anyone who interferes in a political process in this way should be beyond criticism. If they have got it right then fine. Stand up and defend their decision. But don't allow judges to hide behind their position. As if they are all knowing gods who never are influenced by their political preferences. Or other considerations.
They have

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 10:42 am
by sewa
sturginho wrote:
Silver wrote:
I don't think anyone who interferes in a political process in this way should be beyond criticism. If they have got it right then fine. Stand up and defend their decision. But don't allow judges to hide behind their position. As if they are all knowing gods who never are influenced by their political preferences. Or other considerations.
They have
They have published the rationale for their decision in full for everyone to dissect, Silver too knows this but is just trolling. Best ignore the moron

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 10:43 am
by kagamusha
Silver wrote:
piquant wrote:
Silver wrote:
sewa wrote:
Margin_Walker wrote: And a free GIANT map of Britain tomorrow!
What an utterly disgraceful front page. The judges are required to be independent for obvious reasons. If this an indication of the education levels of the average Brit then its no wonder even poorly educated immigrants can run rings around them
what rubbish. Judges should not be beyond criticism. Esp when they interfere in this way. The EU is an attempt to destroy UK democracy. The people have clearly voted to say no more to this process and they want out. These judges want to hinder the will of the voters. So whats going on?
When did the people vote to say they wanted UK law and the administration of them by UK courts removed? It does rather feel like someone should have mentioned this
I don't think anyone who interferes in a political process in this way should be beyond criticism. If they have got it right then fine. Stand up and defend their decision. But don't allow judges to hide behind their position. As if they are all knowing gods who never are influenced by their political preferences. Or other considerations.
You really are thick...this is the way UK democracy works.

Doesn't interfere with the political process just decides which rules apply to that process.

Brexit is still on but has be done in a constitutional and legal manner.

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 10:43 am
by piquant
Silver wrote:
piquant wrote:
Silver wrote:
sewa wrote:
Margin_Walker wrote: And a free GIANT map of Britain tomorrow!
What an utterly disgraceful front page. The judges are required to be independent for obvious reasons. If this an indication of the education levels of the average Brit then its no wonder even poorly educated immigrants can run rings around them
what rubbish. Judges should not be beyond criticism. Esp when they interfere in this way. The EU is an attempt to destroy UK democracy. The people have clearly voted to say no more to this process and they want out. These judges want to hinder the will of the voters. So whats going on?
When did the people vote to say they wanted UK law and the administration of them by UK courts removed? It does rather feel like someone should have mentioned this
I don't think anyone who interferes in a political process in this way should be beyond criticism. If they have got it right then fine. Stand up and defend their decision. But don't allow judges to hide behind their position. As if they are all knowing gods who never are influenced by their political preferences. Or other considerations.
What further safeguards do you want?

We had 3 of our most senior judges vote on this (does anyone know how the vote went?) and the vetting to reach the level they have is extreme.

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 10:43 am
by theo
sewa wrote:
Silver wrote:
sewa wrote:
Margin_Walker wrote: And a free GIANT map of Britain tomorrow!
What an utterly disgraceful front page. The judges are required to be independent for obvious reasons. If this an indication of the education levels of the average Brit then its no wonder even poorly educated immigrants can run rings around them
what rubbish. Judges should not be beyond criticism. Esp when they interfere in this way.
They made a judgement based upon their interpretation of the law. Its not X factor you clown, popular opinion is not their job
Well said

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 10:52 am
by sewa
Either way its pretty clear they can continue with Brexit, either by winning an appeal or introducing some subsequent legislation. The only question is do they really honestly want to

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 10:56 am
by Chuckles1188
Jeremy Corbyn is leader of the Labour Party, and Her Majesty's Opposition. Just thought I would remind people in case his impressive disappearing act had led anyone to outright forget that he exists

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 10:57 am
by Mahoney
Dai another day wrote:From what i can gather the Judges were by no means independent.
They have demonstrated their independence from the executive by finding against it. That's the very definition of an independent judiciary.
Dai another day wrote:This is a great stain on British democracy.
It is a victory for British democracy. It demonstrates that:
* the judiciary are independent of the executive
* the UK operates under the rule of law, the guarantor of all freedoms
* the executive is subject to parliament

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 10:58 am
by Dai another day
The BRemoaners don't quite understand the scale of this. This is an outright attack on the will of the British people.

The British people elect personnel to represent us as members of parliament. Their job is to make tough decisions.

But when they give the British people a referendum...they are giving the power back to the people. The people chose to leave and it will be a great injustice if we don't get what we wanted - a hard Brexit.

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 10:59 am
by theo
Chuckles1188 wrote:Jeremy Corbyn is leader of the Labour Party, and Her Majesty's Opposition. Just thought I would remind people in case his impressive disappearing act had led anyone to outright forget that he exists
I'm sure his spokesperson made some announcement yesterday, on his behalf, during his afternoon nap.

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 11:00 am
by DragsterDriver
Chuckles1188 wrote:Jeremy Corbyn is leader of the Labour Party, and Her Majesty's Opposition. Just thought I would remind people in case his impressive disappearing act had led anyone to outright forget that he exists
I hope when the lib dems team up with some parts of labour they can form a credible opposition- the current situation is unbelieveable.

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 11:01 am
by Chuckles1188
theo wrote:
Chuckles1188 wrote:Jeremy Corbyn is leader of the Labour Party, and Her Majesty's Opposition. Just thought I would remind people in case his impressive disappearing act had led anyone to outright forget that he exists
I'm sure his spokesperson made some announcement yesterday, on his behalf, during his afternoon nap.
Image

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 11:02 am
by blindcider
Dai another day wrote:The BRemoaners don't quite understand the scale of this. This is an outright attack on the will of the British people.

The British people elect personnel to represent us as members of parliament. Their job is to make tough decisions.

But when they give the British people a referendum...they are giving the power back to the people. The people chose to leave and it will be a great injustice if we don't get what we wanted - a hard Brexit.
Hard or soft Brexit wasn't an option, you spoofer.

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 11:03 am
by Chuckles1188
DragsterDriver wrote:
Chuckles1188 wrote:Jeremy Corbyn is leader of the Labour Party, and Her Majesty's Opposition. Just thought I would remind people in case his impressive disappearing act had led anyone to outright forget that he exists
I hope when the lib dems team up with some parts of labour they can form a credible opposition- the current situation is unbelieveable.
Even Corbyn's most ardent critics have ruled that out - to most of its members Labour is at least as much a social group as a political party, which means they can't countenance leaving Labour even as they find themselves at loggerheads with the political stance of the leadership.

What I would like to see is a realignment of politics so that there is a credible and rational centre-left party making its case. What it seems is instead going to happen is the centre-left gets abandoned entirely while the hard left engages in a baby-eating contest as they wither away into irrelevance, and the centre-right devotes all its energy to avoid being devoured by the hard right. Incredibly depressing.

At least President Trump will be funny.

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 11:14 am
by Chuckles1188
Meanwhile, relevant to the discussion about the print media earlier:

http://tomdlondon.blogspot.co.uk/2013/1 ... l?spref=tw
Lord Justice Leveson referred in his report to the privileged position that the press hold in our public debate. He said that they "wield a powerful megaphone". Unsurprisingly, the press have used their powerful megaphone in the service of the interests of the men who are their effective owners.

It matters for those concerned with our democracy that 52.2% of our "free press" is controlled by just two billionaires and 77.8% is controlled by six billionaires.

The freedom the press enjoys is very much freedom for the rich and powerful. As Isaiah Berlin warned, liberty for the wolves means death to the lambs. Some regulation of the press is needed in order to protect the interests of those that are not rich and powerful.

The Press Gazette has published the results of the National Readership Survey. I have used these results - for both print and online - to draw up tables with readerships and information about owners and political orientation.

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 11:17 am
by theo
Dai another day wrote:The BRemoaners don't quite understand the scale of this. This is an outright attack on the will of the British people.

The British people elect personnel to represent us as members of parliament. Their job is to make tough decisions.

But when they give the British people a referendum...they are giving the power back to the people. The people chose to leave and it will be a great injustice if we don't get what we wanted - a hard Brexit.
:lol: you joker.

Even the Government has to comply to the rule of law. That is what the judges decided on. They didn't decide to overturn the referendum result. Thy decided that in order to repeal an Act the Government had to have the consent of Parliament. Which is proper and correct and in line with our constitution.

The MPs will still vote to leave but this way there is a proper discussion on what we want from the process....which was not on the ballot paper.

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 11:18 am
by piquant
Dai another day wrote:The BRemoaners don't quite understand the scale of this. This is an outright attack on the will of the British people.

The British people elect personnel to represent us as members of parliament. Their job is to make tough decisions.

But when they give the British people a referendum...they are giving the power back to the people. The people chose to leave and it will be a great injustice if we don't get what we wanted - a hard Brexit.

There's no way of knowing if people voted for a hard brexit, that's a personal preference for some but nothing there's a mandate for, just as there's no mandate for a soft brexit in fairness, there is only a mandate to leave the EU

And the referendum could possibly given power to the people, but in practice was simply a consultation and thus there's no actual requirement to act on it. Though any parliament would be fools to ignore there's an instruction from the electorate along the lines that have been given.

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 11:18 am
by La soule
Chuckles1188 wrote:Meanwhile, relevant to the discussion about the print media earlier:

http://tomdlondon.blogspot.co.uk/2013/1 ... l?spref=tw
Lord Justice Leveson referred in his report to the privileged position that the press hold in our public debate. He said that they "wield a powerful megaphone". Unsurprisingly, the press have used their powerful megaphone in the service of the interests of the men who are their effective owners.

It matters for those concerned with our democracy that 52.2% of our "free press" is controlled by just two billionaires and 77.8% is controlled by six billionaires.

The freedom the press enjoys is very much freedom for the rich and powerful. As Isaiah Berlin warned, liberty for the wolves means death to the lambs. Some regulation of the press is needed in order to protect the interests of those that are not rich and powerful.

The Press Gazette has published the results of the National Readership Survey. I have used these results - for both print and online - to draw up tables with readerships and information about owners and political orientation.
:thumbup:

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 11:21 am
by Chuckles1188
What's weird about the "we need regulation of the press" argument is that it seems to me that we already have laws which are designed to prevent this kind of dominance through competition law. I can't claim to be a legal expert, but is it really the case that there is no way to use competition law to prevent the concentration of so much political power in such a small group of people? Or are regulators simply too scared of reprisals?

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 11:23 am
by croyals
Mail a disgrace. Judges did their job and both sides are overreacting to the verdict.

I see a potential win-win as I'm fairly sure the Commons will pass Art. 50 and the Lords wont, which may finally be the catalyst for getting rid of the Lords.

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 11:25 am
by Dai another day
croyals wrote:getting rid of the Lords.
I think we can call agree on that.

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 11:26 am
by Chuckles1188
I think it's a terrible idea, or at least I am deeply concerned about the prospect of what might replace it. Most of all if the answer turns out to be "nothing"

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 11:29 am
by piquant
croyals wrote:Mail a disgrace. Judges did their job and both sides are overreacting to the verdict.

I see a potential win-win as I'm fairly sure the Commons will pass Art. 50 and the Lords wont, which may finally be the catalyst for getting rid of the Lords.
There's no way the govt wouldn't force this through. I suppose it's possible the Lords might want to send it back for some hoped for revisions, but I can't see them standing in the way of the referendum. And actually there's nothing that worrying about a review chamber sending a bill back to be considered again by the primary house, that's intended to be part of how our democracy works.

I do think we're long overdue a reform of the Lords, but I wouldn't want to simply scrap the review chamber (though you mayn't have meant exactly that). This is an area Blair has a lot to answer for when he had such a majority and ignored important stuff like this to go after such as fox hunting

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 11:32 am
by Hellraiser
Dai another day wrote:The BRemoaners don't quite understand the scale of this. This is an outright attack on the will of the British people.

The British people elect personnel to represent us as members of parliament. Their job is to make tough decisions.

But when they give the British people a referendum...they are giving the power back to the people. The people chose to leave and it will be a great injustice if we don't get what we wanted - a hard Brexit.

You honestly haven't got a clue, do you.

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 11:32 am
by MungoMan
Chuckles1188 wrote:What's weird about the "we need regulation of the press" argument is that it seems to me that we already have laws which are designed to prevent this kind of dominance through competition law. I can't claim to be a legal expert, but is it really the case that there is no way to use competition law to prevent the concentration of so much political power in such a small group of people?
Depends on the type and scope of competition law in a country.

It may deal mainly or entirely with natural monopolies and regulate to prevent a natural monopoly dampening competition in upstream or downstream markets. Clearly not something immediately applicable to newspapers, etc.

It may deal mainly or entirely with natural monopolies and regulate to prevent exercise of the monopolist's market power leading to economic inefficiencies. Ditto re newspapers etc, except as regards prices for placing ads and suchlike.

Or it may simply focus on and break up natural monopolies because fúck you.

The last-mentioned has a bit to be said for it.

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 11:33 am
by Chuckles1188
Hellraiser wrote:
Dai another day wrote:The BRemoaners don't quite understand the scale of this. This is an outright attack on the will of the British people.

The British people elect personnel to represent us as members of parliament. Their job is to make tough decisions.

But when they give the British people a referendum...they are giving the power back to the people. The people chose to leave and it will be a great injustice if we don't get what we wanted - a hard Brexit.

You honestly haven't got a clue, do you.
He hasn't the faintest hint of a scooby

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 11:35 am
by Chuckles1188
MungoMan wrote:
Chuckles1188 wrote:What's weird about the "we need regulation of the press" argument is that it seems to me that we already have laws which are designed to prevent this kind of dominance through competition law. I can't claim to be a legal expert, but is it really the case that there is no way to use competition law to prevent the concentration of so much political power in such a small group of people?
Depends on the type and scope of competition law in a country.

It may deal mainly or entirely with natural monopolies and regulate to prevent a natural monopoly dampening competition in upstream or downstream markets. Clearly not something immediately applicable to newspapers, etc.

It may deal mainly or entirely with natural monopolies and regulate to prevent exercise of the monopolist's market power leading to economic inefficiencies. Ditto re newspapers etc, except as regards prices for placing ads and suchlike.

Or it may simply focus on and break up natural monopolies because fúck you.

The last-mentioned has a bit to be said for it.
Having done a bit of light reading it appears to be the case (and I am open to correction by someone more informed) that UK competition law does a bit of all of them, including seeking to avoid concentrating market share too heavily in a single corporation. The idea that individuals could be exempt from this as long as they are not incorporated, while entirely believable, seems to me like a colossal oversight

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 11:37 am
by Hellraiser
I'm reminded of that scene between Roper and More in A Man For All Seasons:
Roper: So now you'd give the Devil benefit of law!
More: Yes. What would you do? Cut a great road through the law to get after the Devil?
Roper: I'd cut down every law in England to do that!
More: Oh? And when the last law was down, and the Devil turned round on you — where would you hide, Roper, the laws all being flat? This country's planted thick with laws from coast to coast — man's laws, not God's — and if you cut them down — and you're just the man to do it — d'you really think you could stand upright in the winds that would blow then? Yes, I'd give the Devil benefit of law, for my own safety's sake.

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 11:38 am
by Chuckles1188
Hellraiser wrote:I'm reminded of that scene between Roper and More in A Man For All Seasons:
Roper: So now you'd give the Devil benefit of law!
More: Yes. What would you do? Cut a great road through the law to get after the Devil?
Roper: I'd cut down every law in England to do that!
More: Oh? And when the last law was down, and the Devil turned round on you — where would you hide, Roper, the laws all being flat? This country's planted thick with laws from coast to coast — man's laws, not God's — and if you cut them down — and you're just the man to do it — d'you really think you could stand upright in the winds that would blow then? Yes, I'd give the Devil benefit of law, for my own safety's sake.
Is that aimed at me or the loons like Dai wanting Parliament to be cut out of the loop on the decision?

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 11:39 am
by Hellraiser
Chuckles1188 wrote:
Hellraiser wrote:I'm reminded of that scene between Roper and More in A Man For All Seasons:
Roper: So now you'd give the Devil benefit of law!
More: Yes. What would you do? Cut a great road through the law to get after the Devil?
Roper: I'd cut down every law in England to do that!
More: Oh? And when the last law was down, and the Devil turned round on you — where would you hide, Roper, the laws all being flat? This country's planted thick with laws from coast to coast — man's laws, not God's — and if you cut them down — and you're just the man to do it — d'you really think you could stand upright in the winds that would blow then? Yes, I'd give the Devil benefit of law, for my own safety's sake.
Is that aimed at me or the loons like Dai wanting Parliament to be cut out of the loop on the decision?

Dai, Silver, the Heil, etc.

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 11:39 am
by msp.
Dai another day wrote:Lords
Depends what we replace it with.. Not sure if we need another lot of elected individuals.. An institution that is not subject to X factor public opinion has it advantages.

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 11:40 am
by Chuckles1188
msp. wrote:
Dai another day wrote:Lords
Depends what we replace it with.. Not sure if we need another lot of elected individuals.. An institution that is not subject to X factor public opinion has it advantages.
Hear hear

Hellraiser :thumbup:

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 11:42 am
by MungoMan
Hellraiser wrote:I'm reminded of that scene between Roper and More in A Man For All Seasons:
Roper: So now you'd give the Devil benefit of law!
More: Yes. What would you do? Cut a great road through the law to get after the Devil?
Roper: I'd cut down every law in England to do that!
More: Oh? And when the last law was down, and the Devil turned round on you — where would you hide, Roper, the laws all being flat? This country's planted thick with laws from coast to coast — man's laws, not God's — and if you cut them down — and you're just the man to do it — d'you really think you could stand upright in the winds that would blow then? Yes, I'd give the Devil benefit of law, for my own safety's sake.
Feck me. Did that for high school English about mumblemumble decades back!

I particularly recall: 'And when the last law was down, and the Devil turned round on you — where would you hide ...?'

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 12:03 pm
by The Sun God
Hellraiser wrote:I'm reminded of that scene between Roper and More in A Man For All Seasons:
Roper: So now you'd give the Devil benefit of law!
More: Yes. What would you do? Cut a great road through the law to get after the Devil?
Roper: I'd cut down every law in England to do that!
More: Oh? And when the last law was down, and the Devil turned round on you — where would you hide, Roper, the laws all being flat? This country's planted thick with laws from coast to coast — man's laws, not God's — and if you cut them down — and you're just the man to do it — d'you really think you could stand upright in the winds that would blow then? Yes, I'd give the Devil benefit of law, for my own safety's sake.
Wow.....that is powerful stuff. They don't do plays/screenplays like that anymore.

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 12:08 pm
by sturginho
The Sun God wrote:
Hellraiser wrote:I'm reminded of that scene between Roper and More in A Man For All Seasons:
Roper: So now you'd give the Devil benefit of law!
More: Yes. What would you do? Cut a great road through the law to get after the Devil?
Roper: I'd cut down every law in England to do that!
More: Oh? And when the last law was down, and the Devil turned round on you — where would you hide, Roper, the laws all being flat? This country's planted thick with laws from coast to coast — man's laws, not God's — and if you cut them down — and you're just the man to do it — d'you really think you could stand upright in the winds that would blow then? Yes, I'd give the Devil benefit of law, for my own safety's sake.
Wow.....that is powerful stuff. They don't do plays/screenplays like that anymore.
:thumbup: :thumbup:

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 12:13 pm
by MorseCode
The anti-judges thing is a real good example of the whole "perception = reality" phenomenon. You can try to point out to people who are angry that all they did was affirm the sovereignty of the parliament until you are blue in the face, but it wont matter. People believe that they have done something anti-Brexit, and they're already mad, and they won't look into it any further. People they like (May, Farage, The Sun, Mail, Telegraph) are shouting at the judges and so they will shout at them too.

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 12:16 pm
by Oceanbreeze
I find it weird that the court want parliament to invoke Article 50 when Parliament voted to give the people the decision in the first place through the refrendum.

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 12:21 pm
by sturginho
Oceanbreeze wrote:I find it weird that the court want parliament to invoke Article 50 when Parliament voted to give the people the decision in the first place through the refrendum.
The judges have simply affirmed that the correct process for triggering art 50 is via parliament. Just because "the people" have decided, doesn't mean that Andy from King's Lynn or Dave from Colchester can rock up in Brussels and declare that they have triggered art. 50

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 12:24 pm
by Chuckles1188
http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolic ... ign=buffer
Hard Brexit? Only if it’s free

A new survey shows most Britons are not willing to pursue hard Brexit if it will cost them personally. Thus far, the economic indicators post-Brexit don’t look bad. Consumer spending and investment are holding up well, despite a lower pound. But if the going gets tough, there is a two-thirds majority willing to accept current levels of EU migration to retain access to the single market.

The leading motivation for Leave voters was reducing immigration while Remain voters prioritised the economy. This hasn’t changed. According to my YouGov/Birkbeck/Policy Exchange survey data, two-thirds of British people want less immigration, including 47 percent of Remainers and over 91 percent of Leavers.

Hard Brexit is a good way to bring numbers down. However, some suggest that when Theresa May triggers Article 50, the EU will drive a hard bargain, inflicting pain on the British economy. With economists claiming entry to the single market is worth 4 percent of GDP by 2030, I asked how much the average Briton is willing to sacrifice to reduce European immigration in the event the doomsayers are right. The final deal between Britain and the EU over leaving will hinge on how much economic pain, in the form of reduced market access, Britain is prepared to absorb to restrict European immigration.

The survey, carried out by the polling firm YouGov, asked a sample of over 1500 people the following question: “Roughly 185,000 more people entered Britain last year from the EU than went the other way. Imagine there was a cost to reduce the inflow. How much would you be willing to pay to reduce the number of Europeans entering Britain?” The options ranged from “pay nothing” for no reduction to paying 5 percent of personal income to reduce numbers to zero. Each percent of income foregone reduced the influx by 35,000. The results are shown in figure 1.

Image

Among those surveyed, and excluding those who didn’t know, 62 percent said they were unwilling to pay anything to reduce numbers, and would accept current levels of European immigration.

Image

As figure 2 shows, even among those who said they voted to leave the European Union, 30 percent reported they would prefer the current inflow of 185,000 to paying any of their income to cut the inflow. In other words, there is a significant ‘soft’ component within the Leave vote.

On the other hand, there is a considerable core of Brexit voters willing to tighten their belts to reduce migration: over a third of Leave voters indicated they would contribute 5 percent of their income to cut European migration to zero. More than half of Brexiteers are willing to pay at least 3 percent of their income to reduce European net migration from the current 185,000 to under 80,000. The average person who voted Conservative in the 2015 General Election is willing to stump up 2.5 percent of their pay packet to reduce European immigration to half its current level.

This means that if the costs of Brexit mount in line with pessimistic predictions, most British people favour a deal that preserves market access even if this results in only limited reductions in European immigration. May’s Conservative voters will put up with more pain, but not if it costs more than 2 percent of GDP. This suggests a deal between Theresa May and her EU interlocutors based on significant market access in exchange for limited migration controls may be acceptable to the 45 per cent of voters who currently back her party. It certainly will pass muster with a majority of the electorate.

If the economy continues to hold steady, the question is moot and hard Brexit remains a strong option. But if pain is on the way after Article 50, Middle Britain will be inclined to prefer soft over hard Brexit.

Re: OFFICIAL EU/UK referendum thread

Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 12:35 pm
by I like haggis
Chuckles1188 wrote:What's weird about the "we need regulation of the press" argument is that it seems to me that we already have laws which are designed to prevent this kind of dominance through competition law. I can't claim to be a legal expert, but is it really the case that there is no way to use competition law to prevent the concentration of so much political power in such a small group of people? Or are regulators simply too scared of reprisals?
Competition Law isn't about stopping someone owing the majority of the market share, it's about stopping them behave in a certain way pricing ways when they do. So you could have someone owning 80% of the market share and as long as they aren't trying to rip of consumers it's ok. I really doubt any of the newspapers are breaching any competition law because they're reasonable and consistent with pricing.