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Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Wed Dec 26, 2018 1:16 pm
by Anonymous 1
bimboman Mon Feb 05, 2018 wrote:
sorCrer wrote:
bimboman wrote:My point is you'll need USD or a currency equivalent .... You don't view your self as having lost money in the last week, but in your eventual plan of being long BTC you have, the book value has halved in any real trading terms you've lost money.
The largest part (+80%) of my portfolio was bought at $350 - $600. The price of Bitcoin on this date one year ago was $1017. I bought the bulk of my XRP holdings at 0.06c

Great, you are missing my point, if you sold all of it at $17,000 and bought them back today you'd have made a big profit. You seem to miss that traditional investments have their returns measuresd periodically against a new set price , if you don't do that performance isn't correctly measured.

As I've said to you before if you've a few million in coins sell some and buy real,world stuff with it.
He would have made a big profit if he had just sold them. Buying them back as it was falling like a stone would have just been silly.

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Wed Dec 26, 2018 1:18 pm
by sorCrer
derriz wrote:That's bollox - the potential was obvious and the number of applications was exploding - every week there new exciting websites. I distinctly remember showing a non-techy friend some web sites on Mosaic running on an monochrome X-terminal in 93 and he was blown away - I had to drag him away from IMDB. E-comerce applications existed long before 99 - I put a small bookshop online in 95 using PerlCGI, a close friend single-handedly wrote the first nationally successful recruitment/jobs website which launched in late 95. 10 years after Mosaic would bring us to 2003/2004 - there were almost a billion web/internet users globally at that stage. How many people have crypto accounts or use applications based on crypto/DL 10 years after bitcoin was launched?

Same year as Ebay and Amazon started. I was working for ECNet in the late 90's developing e-commerce solutions and had been building websites since 94. I've done that ever since. The internet was incomparable to what it is today.
derriz wrote:Fear :lol: - unlike you (I suspect), I've actually been involved in building a smart contract/DL application (for the energy markets). An no, I'm not just attacking BTC or even crytocurrencies generally - I'm attacking the whole idea that crypto DL technology has a great future. Tech fads come and go, this one will die soon also.
I've written a currently non-commercial smart contract application specifically around contractual control of sim swapping. I'm looking for funding to drive that. I have written many e-commerce applications including some driving worldwide aviation sites.

Maybe it will die, after all this has been predicted many times going back to 2010 (https://99bitcoins.com/bitcoin-obituaries/).

However, you don't need to be bitter next time just chase and monetize a fad more aggressively. :lol:

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Wed Dec 26, 2018 1:26 pm
by sorCrer
Anonymous. wrote:He would have made a big profit if he had just sold them. Buying them back as it was falling like a stone would have just been silly.
The thing is I didn't need to. I have no heirs and worse, very little desire for large vanity purchases although I will spend more that I should sometimes on food & drink.

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Wed Dec 26, 2018 1:27 pm
by Rinkals
derriz wrote:
Rinkals wrote:
derriz wrote:
Rinkals wrote:
Anonymous. wrote:I hope Bitcoin will one day work properly as a currency. I think it will probably be about 1 Bitcoin to the dollar
That's obviously an observation rooted in a deep and profound understanding of economics in general and crypto-currencies in particular.

:roll:
What area of economics could help in valuing BTC? Assuming you're not a chartist (tarrot card reader)?

No underlying economic supply/demand (given it's uselessness for payments) and no future cashflows (unlike cash, bonds, equities, etc.) and the ability to fork/launch new "coins" anytime mean it's only intrinsic scarcity is the novelty of being early - there's no possible scarcity of cryptocoins. It's intrinsically worthless except as a curio.
:lol:

Sorry, but that is impossibly stupid.

Of course it's not worthless; It is used in financial transactions. You can exchange it for dollars. You can use it to buy stuff. Saying that it's worthless makes Annon's vapid comment seem extremely deep.
So that's what an opinion "rooted in a deep and profound understanding of economics in general and crypto-currencies in particular" looks like in your mind? :lol: It only seems stupid to you because of your own ignorance of economic pricing models.

So where can you spend BTC - what can you buy with BTC? How much business is conducted using BTC as the exchange mechanism? How do you earn a return on a BTC holding? What prevents the limitless invention of cryptocurrencies and what is intrisically (you seemed to have overlooked this word) valuable about BTC which doesn't apply to the millions of alt-shitcoins?
I was being facetious and I seem to have made an error in expecting you to be able to understand that.

I don't hold any crypto-currency myself (as I have already said) and I have no idea what business is conducted in the various crypto, but I very much doubt that it is solely a sort of investment hedge as you seem to imply.

I'm sure that Sauce can give you the details you require, but even if it is not currently a major transactional currency, there is no reason why you cannot use it as such, and I would expect it to gain usage as time goes on.

Claiming that it's "worthless" is pretty obviously not accurate.

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Wed Dec 26, 2018 1:32 pm
by sewa
As us Irish found out during our property crash ten years ago something is only worth what anyone else is at that point in time willing to pay for it. And that is when it comes to something that has some intrinsic value, the land, materials etc. If people lose faith in bitcoin it will be pretty much worthless. No one sensible would buy them just because they love the tech

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Wed Dec 26, 2018 1:37 pm
by ManInTheBar
"Money" is (or should be) a representation of a store of value being the difference between what things cost and that things can be sold for.

By comparison with 'conventional' currencies BTC does a very poor job at this currently owing to its volatility.

There is no reason why BTC should not become an effective and stable store of value EXCEPT that existing currencies do that as well as any mechanism can.

If the best that can be said of BTC (or any other crypto) is that it could, one day, be as usable and stable as the $ then I am afraid it is not worth the effort.

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Wed Dec 26, 2018 1:37 pm
by Rinkals
sewa wrote:As us Irish found out during our property crash ten years ago something is only worth what anyone else is at that point in time willing to pay for it. And that is when it comes to something that has some intrinsic value, the land, materials etc. If people lose faith in bitcoin it will be pretty much worthless. No one sensible would buy them just because they love the tech
You could say exactly the same thing about national currencies.

If you want to take it that far, then the value of a five pound note is bound to the value of a small rectangle of paper.

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Wed Dec 26, 2018 1:44 pm
by Anonymous 1
sorCrer wrote:
Anonymous. wrote:He would have made a big profit if he had just sold them. Buying them back as it was falling like a stone would have just been silly.
The thing is I didn't need to. I have no heirs and worse, very little desire for large vanity purchases although I will spend more that I should sometimes on food & drink.
I know you are in it for the tech and as it falls from $17k to currently $3.7k you had no need to sell The same will be true when it falls to $1k.

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Wed Dec 26, 2018 1:55 pm
by sewa
Rinkals wrote:
sewa wrote:As us Irish found out during our property crash ten years ago something is only worth what anyone else is at that point in time willing to pay for it. And that is when it comes to something that has some intrinsic value, the land, materials etc. If people lose faith in bitcoin it will be pretty much worthless. No one sensible would buy them just because they love the tech
You could say exactly the same thing about national currencies.

If you want to take it that far, then the value of a five pound note is bound to the value of a small rectangle of paper.
In the developed economies of the world a national currency falling like bitcoin is unheard of. Even the Uk pound rarely drops more than 20% in a year

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Wed Dec 26, 2018 2:20 pm
by sorCrer
sewa wrote:
Rinkals wrote:
sewa wrote:As us Irish found out during our property crash ten years ago something is only worth what anyone else is at that point in time willing to pay for it. And that is when it comes to something that has some intrinsic value, the land, materials etc. If people lose faith in bitcoin it will be pretty much worthless. No one sensible would buy them just because they love the tech
You could say exactly the same thing about national currencies.

If you want to take it that far, then the value of a five pound note is bound to the value of a small rectangle of paper.
In the developed economies of the world a national currency falling like bitcoin is unheard of. Even the Uk pound rarely drops more than 20% in a year
My personal opinion is that it's a new form of 'currency' which will assist in driving the 4th Industrial Revolution. Yes it is extremely volatile and technically difficult for some to understand. Unlike derriz, I don't think it's a fad and regardless it has value in the education of monetary systems and stock exchanges.

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Wed Dec 26, 2018 3:13 pm
by ManInTheBar
Faith is a POWERFUL thing

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Wed Dec 26, 2018 3:23 pm
by derriz
sorCrer wrote:
derriz wrote:That's bollox - the potential was obvious and the number of applications was exploding - every week there new exciting websites. I distinctly remember showing a non-techy friend some web sites on Mosaic running on an monochrome X-terminal in 93 and he was blown away - I had to drag him away from IMDB. E-comerce applications existed long before 99 - I put a small bookshop online in 95 using PerlCGI, a close friend single-handedly wrote the first nationally successful recruitment/jobs website which launched in late 95. 10 years after Mosaic would bring us to 2003/2004 - there were almost a billion web/internet users globally at that stage. How many people have crypto accounts or use applications based on crypto/DL 10 years after bitcoin was launched?

Same year as Ebay and Amazon started. I was working for ECNet in the late 90's developing e-commerce solutions and had been building websites since 94. I've done that ever since. The internet was incomparable to what it is today.
derriz wrote:Fear :lol: - unlike you (I suspect), I've actually been involved in building a smart contract/DL application (for the energy markets). An no, I'm not just attacking BTC or even crytocurrencies generally - I'm attacking the whole idea that crypto DL technology has a great future. Tech fads come and go, this one will die soon also.
I've written a currently non-commercial smart contract application specifically around contractual control of sim swapping. I'm looking for funding to drive that. I have written many e-commerce applications including some driving worldwide aviation sites.

Maybe it will die, after all this has been predicted many times going back to 2010 (https://99bitcoins.com/bitcoin-obituaries/).

However, you don't need to be bitter next time just chase and monetize a fad more aggressively. :lol:
Interesting, what did you build it on? Solidity or one of the non-proofofwork "enterprise" platforms like corda?

Not bitter - I'm still have a (small) equity stake in a DL/SC start-up so I guess dissing DL tech is not really in my interest. I've thought about it from many angles - not just technical - and just can't bring myself to believe that this tech has any future.

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Mon Feb 04, 2019 9:00 pm
by paddyor

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Mon Feb 04, 2019 10:51 pm
by A5D5E5
paddyor wrote:This is obviously a scam

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... on-problem
Stories like this just make cryptocurrencies look like a tax on the credulous.

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Tue Feb 05, 2019 12:09 am
by goeagles
A5D5E5 wrote:
paddyor wrote:This is obviously a scam

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... on-problem
Stories like this just make cryptocurrencies look like a tax on the credulous.
Certainly leaving any amount on an exchange, particularly an unaudited exchange, is idiotic. One of the things about Bitcoin, though, is that it is very easy to prove solvency. You don't even need an auditor to do so:

Image

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2019 6:32 pm
by Leinster in London
I'll just drop this here.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-43485572
Researchers in Germany have found hundreds of links to child sexual abuse imagery on Bitcoin's blockchain.

This could make using the blockchain, a digital ledger of crypto-currency transactions, illegal.

The study, from RWTH Aachen University, also said other files on the blockchain may violate copyright and privacy laws.

Researchers said they had found eight files with sexual content. And three of these contained content "objectionable for almost all jurisdictions".

Two of these between them listed more than 200 links to child sexual abuse imagery, the study said.

And if records of the files were stored on users' computers, they may be in violation of the law.

Garrick Hileman, a crypto-currency expert at Cambridge University, said the issue of illegal content had been "discussed and known about for awhile."

Pruning, or altering parts of the blockchain ledger, would allow users to rid their local copies of illegal content, he said, but was likely to be too technical for most Bitcoin users.

"There are big barriers anytime you need to make modifications," Mr Hileman said.

But he added that although maintaining a complete record of the blockchain was more secure than an altered copy, "many would argue that it's not that important".

Related Topics

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2019 6:38 pm
by sorCrer
Leinster in London wrote:I'll just drop this here.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-43485572
Researchers in Germany have found hundreds of links to child sexual abuse imagery on Bitcoin's blockchain.

This could make using the blockchain, a digital ledger of crypto-currency transactions, illegal.

The study, from RWTH Aachen University, also said other files on the blockchain may violate copyright and privacy laws.

Researchers said they had found eight files with sexual content. And three of these contained content "objectionable for almost all jurisdictions".

Two of these between them listed more than 200 links to child sexual abuse imagery, the study said.

And if records of the files were stored on users' computers, they may be in violation of the law.

Garrick Hileman, a crypto-currency expert at Cambridge University, said the issue of illegal content had been "discussed and known about for awhile."

Pruning, or altering parts of the blockchain ledger, would allow users to rid their local copies of illegal content, he said, but was likely to be too technical for most Bitcoin users.

"There are big barriers anytime you need to make modifications," Mr Hileman said.

But he added that although maintaining a complete record of the blockchain was more secure than an altered copy, "many would argue that it's not that important".

Related Topics

Seriously?

https://www.dailydot.com/business/bitco ... tion-code/

Note the date.

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2019 6:55 pm
by Anonymous 1
Anonymous. wrote:
sorCrer wrote:
Anonymous. wrote:He would have made a big profit if he had just sold them. Buying them back as it was falling like a stone would have just been silly.
The thing is I didn't need to. I have no heirs and worse, very little desire for large vanity purchases although I will spend more that I should sometimes on food & drink.
I know you are in it for the tech and as it falls from $17k to currently $3.7k you had no need to sell The same will be true when it falls to $1k.
Currently $3,366

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2019 6:56 pm
by Bowens
I don’t think TranceNRG made any money on it :(

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2019 7:57 pm
by Leinster in London
sorCrer wrote:
Leinster in London wrote:I'll just drop this here.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-43485572
Researchers in Germany have found hundreds of links to child sexual abuse imagery on Bitcoin's blockchain.

This could make using the blockchain, a digital ledger of crypto-currency transactions, illegal.

The study, from RWTH Aachen University, also said other files on the blockchain may violate copyright and privacy laws.

Researchers said they had found eight files with sexual content. And three of these contained content "objectionable for almost all jurisdictions".

Two of these between them listed more than 200 links to child sexual abuse imagery, the study said.

And if records of the files were stored on users' computers, they may be in violation of the law.

Garrick Hileman, a crypto-currency expert at Cambridge University, said the issue of illegal content had been "discussed and known about for awhile."

Pruning, or altering parts of the blockchain ledger, would allow users to rid their local copies of illegal content, he said, but was likely to be too technical for most Bitcoin users.

"There are big barriers anytime you need to make modifications," Mr Hileman said.

But he added that although maintaining a complete record of the blockchain was more secure than an altered copy, "many would argue that it's not that important".

Related Topics

Seriously?

https://www.dailydot.com/business/bitco ... tion-code/

Note the date.
OK, date noted.

So six years later rather than removing shit, and making it more difficult it seems the opposite has happened.
I have no idea what the bit below means, but it does appear to be 2019 news.
One key feature of the block chain is that information added to it cannot be changed without significant effort.

In January, the amount of data that could be added to the BSV block chain was increased significantly.

Before that, people could generally add only short chunks of text or web links to the block chain.

But now it is possible to add full images in an encoded format.

Payment system Money Button said its service had been used to post the illegal images on the BSV block chain in early February.

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Thu Feb 07, 2019 2:22 am
by KiwiFlyer
BSV is a fork of bitcoin. The fork is unrelated to bitcoin and not supported by the vast majority of the bitcoin community.

BSV has increased their block limit (i.e. the total amount of information that can be stored in each block of the chain) to ridiculous sizes, which would (if it was widely used) make it impossible for most people to run their own nodes and independently validate the block chain. Because nobody is actually using it, all this extra space is free to use, and so people can use it to send transactions containing large pictures for no cost.

Meanwhile the current bitcoin consensus is for small blocks to maintain decentralisation, and to instead develop scaling solutions in second layers and side chains built on top of bitcoin.
So six years later rather than removing shit


One of the fundamental points of bitcoin is that, without consensus, no transactions can be censored or undone by any government or organisation, no matter what they are intended for. There is no right or wrong in bitcoin, all transactions are equally valid as long as they follow the consensus rules.

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Thu Feb 14, 2019 10:55 am
by Azlan Roar
It now costs more to make bitcoin than the cryptocurrency is worth according to an analysis by JP Morgan Chase, published in NS

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Thu Feb 14, 2019 1:43 pm
by etherman
ukjim wrote:I mined crypto for about 5 years or so and made some decent pocket money out of it.

Even with solar panels and batteries covering a good deal of production cost its now not worth it unless you have free electricity.
How does this actually work? I have no clue. You have a bank of PCs running 24/7 Im guessing and they do what exactly?

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Thu Feb 14, 2019 4:49 pm
by goeagles
Azlan Roar wrote:It now costs more to make bitcoin than the cryptocurrency is worth according to an analysis by JP Morgan Chase, published in NS

It might cost more than $3500 in most places, but Bitcoin mining has been remarkably efficient at finding the cheapest unused power sources. Also, the price has been around this level for a couple months. I doubt people are going to mine at a loss for months. When those with higher mining costs end up having to stop mining, the difficulty adjustment goes down and it costs less to mine.

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Thu Feb 14, 2019 5:34 pm
by ManInTheBar
goeagles wrote:
Azlan Roar wrote:It now costs more to make bitcoin than the cryptocurrency is worth according to an analysis by JP Morgan Chase, published in NS

It might cost more than $3500 in most places, but Bitcoin mining has been remarkably efficient at finding the cheapest unused power sources. Also, the price has been around this level for a couple months. I doubt people are going to mine at a loss for months. When those with higher mining costs end up having to stop mining, the difficulty adjustment goes down and it costs less to mine.
Strikes me that this is a marginal activity and that the power, computing tech and ingenuity of the users could be better harnessed into almost any other productive activity

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Thu Feb 14, 2019 7:06 pm
by sorCrer
goeagles wrote:
Azlan Roar wrote:It now costs more to make bitcoin than the cryptocurrency is worth according to an analysis by JP Morgan Chase, published in NS

It might cost more than $3500 in most places, but Bitcoin mining has been remarkably efficient at finding the cheapest unused power sources. Also, the price has been around this level for a couple months. I doubt people are going to mine at a loss for months. When those with higher mining costs end up having to stop mining, the difficulty adjustment goes down and it costs less to mine.
I see the US national debt surpassed $22 Trillion on the 12th. Quite staggering. https://treasurydirect.gov/NP/debt/current

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Thu Feb 14, 2019 7:11 pm
by Yourmother
goeagles wrote:
Azlan Roar wrote:It now costs more to make bitcoin than the cryptocurrency is worth according to an analysis by JP Morgan Chase, published in NS

It might cost more than $3500 in most places, but Bitcoin mining has been remarkably efficient at finding the cheapest unused power sources. Also, the price has been around this level for a couple months. I doubt people are going to mine at a loss for months. When those with higher mining costs end up having to stop mining, the difficulty adjustment goes down and it costs less to mine.
What a staggering waste of resources.

In a world where we try to build tech to do things more efficiently, use less resource, and waste less energy, I present to you bitcoin.

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Thu Feb 14, 2019 8:36 pm
by goeagles
Yourmother wrote:
goeagles wrote:
Azlan Roar wrote:It now costs more to make bitcoin than the cryptocurrency is worth according to an analysis by JP Morgan Chase, published in NS

It might cost more than $3500 in most places, but Bitcoin mining has been remarkably efficient at finding the cheapest unused power sources. Also, the price has been around this level for a couple months. I doubt people are going to mine at a loss for months. When those with higher mining costs end up having to stop mining, the difficulty adjustment goes down and it costs less to mine.
What a staggering waste of resources.

In a world where we try to build tech to do things more efficiently, use less resource, and waste less energy, I present to you bitcoin.
First, quite a bit of the energy used to mine Bitcoin comes from places with unused renewable energy, like hydro in Sichuan province, that would otherwise be wasted. But beyond that, just because you think Bitcoin is a waste of resources does not make it so. I happen to think, at the very least, it's an important hedge against a) the hyper-surveillance that will come with a cashless society, b) increasingly experimental monetary policy either being implemented (QE) or proposed (MMT) in developed nations and c) living under an authoritarian regime.

Edit to add that Bitcoin could be more efficient but you basically have to trade security/vulnerability for efficiency. If you think of Bitcoin as a base settlement layer with other layers built on top of it, you want it to be very secure. Then you let layer 2 solutions like Lightning increase efficiency, without sacrificing anything on the base layer.

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Thu Feb 14, 2019 9:09 pm
by goeagles
sorCrer wrote:
goeagles wrote:
Azlan Roar wrote:It now costs more to make bitcoin than the cryptocurrency is worth according to an analysis by JP Morgan Chase, published in NS

It might cost more than $3500 in most places, but Bitcoin mining has been remarkably efficient at finding the cheapest unused power sources. Also, the price has been around this level for a couple months. I doubt people are going to mine at a loss for months. When those with higher mining costs end up having to stop mining, the difficulty adjustment goes down and it costs less to mine.
I see the US national debt surpassed $22 Trillion on the 12th. Quite staggering. https://treasurydirect.gov/NP/debt/current
It's only going to continue to go up. We've got MMT people that seem to be in the ascendancy on the left in the US and the GOP has long given up the ghost of being the party of fiscal responsibility. I'm very glad we have a hedge against this in the form of Bitcoin.

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Thu Feb 14, 2019 9:14 pm
by Yourmother
goeagles wrote:
Yourmother wrote:
goeagles wrote:
Azlan Roar wrote:It now costs more to make bitcoin than the cryptocurrency is worth according to an analysis by JP Morgan Chase, published in NS

It might cost more than $3500 in most places, but Bitcoin mining has been remarkably efficient at finding the cheapest unused power sources. Also, the price has been around this level for a couple months. I doubt people are going to mine at a loss for months. When those with higher mining costs end up having to stop mining, the difficulty adjustment goes down and it costs less to mine.
What a staggering waste of resources.

In a world where we try to build tech to do things more efficiently, use less resource, and waste less energy, I present to you bitcoin.
First, quite a bit of the energy used to mine Bitcoin comes from places with unused renewable energy, like hydro in Sichuan province, that would otherwise be wasted. But beyond that, just because you think Bitcoin is a waste of resources does not make it so. I happen to think, at the very least, it's an important hedge against a) the hyper-surveillance that will come with a cashless society, b) increasingly experimental monetary policy either being implemented (QE) or proposed (MMT) in developed nations and c) living under an authoritarian regime.

Edit to add that Bitcoin could be more efficient but you basically have to trade security/vulnerability for efficiency. If you think of Bitcoin as a base settlement layer with other layers built on top of it, you want it to be very secure. Then you let layer 2 solutions like Lightning increase efficiency, without sacrificing anything on the base layer.
Lightning just adds a bodge on top of the horrible inefficiency of bitcoin, and then loses the security.

And speaking of security, simple open source code shared can lead to massive fraud, as has occurred.

But in the bitcoin world there is no recourse.

It’s a complete mess.

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Thu Feb 14, 2019 9:15 pm
by bimboman
First, quite a bit of the energy used to mine Bitcoin comes from places with unused renewable energy, like hydro in Sichuan province, that would otherwise be wasted. But beyond that, just because you think Bitcoin is a waste of resources does not make it so. I happen to think, at the very least, it's an important hedge against a) the hyper-surveillance that will come with a cashless society, b) increasingly experimental monetary policy either being implemented (QE) or proposed (MMT) in developed nations and c) l
And you think that the authorities will let challenges go unmonitored ?

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Thu Feb 14, 2019 10:05 pm
by goeagles
Yourmother wrote:
goeagles wrote:
Yourmother wrote:
goeagles wrote:
Azlan Roar wrote:It now costs more to make bitcoin than the cryptocurrency is worth according to an analysis by JP Morgan Chase, published in NS

It might cost more than $3500 in most places, but Bitcoin mining has been remarkably efficient at finding the cheapest unused power sources. Also, the price has been around this level for a couple months. I doubt people are going to mine at a loss for months. When those with higher mining costs end up having to stop mining, the difficulty adjustment goes down and it costs less to mine.
What a staggering waste of resources.

In a world where we try to build tech to do things more efficiently, use less resource, and waste less energy, I present to you bitcoin.
First, quite a bit of the energy used to mine Bitcoin comes from places with unused renewable energy, like hydro in Sichuan province, that would otherwise be wasted. But beyond that, just because you think Bitcoin is a waste of resources does not make it so. I happen to think, at the very least, it's an important hedge against a) the hyper-surveillance that will come with a cashless society, b) increasingly experimental monetary policy either being implemented (QE) or proposed (MMT) in developed nations and c) living under an authoritarian regime.

Edit to add that Bitcoin could be more efficient but you basically have to trade security/vulnerability for efficiency. If you think of Bitcoin as a base settlement layer with other layers built on top of it, you want it to be very secure. Then you let layer 2 solutions like Lightning increase efficiency, without sacrificing anything on the base layer.
Lightning just adds a bodge on top of the horrible inefficiency of bitcoin, and then loses the security.

And speaking of security, simple open source code shared can lead to massive fraud, as has occurred.

But in the bitcoin world there is no recourse.

It’s a complete mess.
Lightning adds a bodge on top of Bitcoin like Visa adds a layer on top of the USD. Not exactly like for like since Lightning is layer 2 and Visa is layer 3, but the point remains.

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Thu Feb 14, 2019 10:07 pm
by goeagles
.

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Thu Feb 14, 2019 10:10 pm
by bimboman
goeagles wrote:
bimboman wrote:
First, quite a bit of the energy used to mine Bitcoin comes from places with unused renewable energy, like hydro in Sichuan province, that would otherwise be wasted. But beyond that, just because you think Bitcoin is a waste of resources does not make it so. I happen to think, at the very least, it's an important hedge against a) the hyper-surveillance that will come with a cashless society, b) increasingly experimental monetary policy either being implemented (QE) or proposed (MMT) in developed nations and c) l
And you think that the authorities will let challenges go unmonitored ?
They'll try but I think the cat will be out of the bag by that time.

Theyll make the coin illegal in their countries if they have to.

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Thu Feb 14, 2019 10:16 pm
by Yourmother
bimboman wrote:
First, quite a bit of the energy used to mine Bitcoin comes from places with unused renewable energy, like hydro in Sichuan province, that would otherwise be wasted. But beyond that, just because you think Bitcoin is a waste of resources does not make it so. I happen to think, at the very least, it's an important hedge against a) the hyper-surveillance that will come with a cashless society, b) increasingly experimental monetary policy either being implemented (QE) or proposed (MMT) in developed nations and c) l
And you think that the authorities will let challenges go unmonitored ?
And the world just has all this excess unused energy to burn for this use, which can not be used for genuine energy consumption.

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Thu Feb 14, 2019 10:26 pm
by Yourmother
goeagles wrote:
Yourmother wrote:
goeagles wrote:
Yourmother wrote:
goeagles wrote:
It might cost more than $3500 in most places, but Bitcoin mining has been remarkably efficient at finding the cheapest unused power sources. Also, the price has been around this level for a couple months. I doubt people are going to mine at a loss for months. When those with higher mining costs end up having to stop mining, the difficulty adjustment goes down and it costs less to mine.
What a staggering waste of resources.

In a world where we try to build tech to do things more efficiently, use less resource, and waste less energy, I present to you bitcoin.
First, quite a bit of the energy used to mine Bitcoin comes from places with unused renewable energy, like hydro in Sichuan province, that would otherwise be wasted. But beyond that, just because you think Bitcoin is a waste of resources does not make it so. I happen to think, at the very least, it's an important hedge against a) the hyper-surveillance that will come with a cashless society, b) increasingly experimental monetary policy either being implemented (QE) or proposed (MMT) in developed nations and c) living under an authoritarian regime.

Edit to add that Bitcoin could be more efficient but you basically have to trade security/vulnerability for efficiency. If you think of Bitcoin as a base settlement layer with other layers built on top of it, you want it to be very secure. Then you let layer 2 solutions like Lightning increase efficiency, without sacrificing anything on the base layer.
Lightning just adds a bodge on top of the horrible inefficiency of bitcoin, and then loses the security.

And speaking of security, simple open source code shared can lead to massive fraud, as has occurred.

But in the bitcoin world there is no recourse.

It’s a complete mess.
Lightning adds a bodge on top of Bitcoin like Visa adds a layer on top of the USD. Not exactly like for like since Lightning is layer 2 and Visa is layer 3, but the point remains.
It’s like you’ve not read the post.

Visa adds security on top of transactions and lightning does the exact opposite.

USD / banks are accountable and will deal with hacks. Bitcoin blockchain, the money is gone despite authorities knowing its fraud. And susceptible to open source code hacks.

Transaction speed and costs are not exactly brilliant for such a recent technology. And not to mention they are designed to get more expensive over time:

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Thu Feb 14, 2019 11:22 pm
by A5D5E5
goeagles wrote:
sorCrer wrote:
goeagles wrote:
Azlan Roar wrote:It now costs more to make bitcoin than the cryptocurrency is worth according to an analysis by JP Morgan Chase, published in NS

It might cost more than $3500 in most places, but Bitcoin mining has been remarkably efficient at finding the cheapest unused power sources. Also, the price has been around this level for a couple months. I doubt people are going to mine at a loss for months. When those with higher mining costs end up having to stop mining, the difficulty adjustment goes down and it costs less to mine.
I see the US national debt surpassed $22 Trillion on the 12th. Quite staggering. https://treasurydirect.gov/NP/debt/current
It's only going to continue to go up. We've got MMT people that seem to be in the ascendancy on the left in the US and the GOP has long given up the ghost of being the party of fiscal responsibility. I'm very glad we have a hedge against this in the form of Bitcoin.
If I want to hedge my interest rate exposure, I don't buy a highly volatile asset that is uncorrelated to interest rates, stick £5 on #7 in the 3:30 at Kempton or give my money to somebody I've never met who has a nice website in Fukknowswhere and hope he doesn't run off with it. Bitcoin isn't a hedge against anything - except perhaps rational thought.

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Thu Feb 14, 2019 11:30 pm
by goeagles
Yourmother wrote:
It’s like you’ve not read the post.

Visa adds security on top of transactions and lightning does the exact opposite.

USD / banks are accountable and will deal with hacks. Bitcoin blockchain, the money is gone despite authorities knowing its fraud. And susceptible to open source code hacks.

Transaction speed and costs are not exactly brilliant for such a recent technology. And not to mention they are designed to get more expensive over time:
OK, except Visa is a 3rd layer solution. Banks are a 2nd layer. You cannot turn back the theft of base layer USD either.

Transaction speeds are pretty brilliant compared to base layer USD. I can send any amount of money anywhere in the world and the recipient will recieve it within an hour for pennies. How much would it cost and how long would it take to send that money in USD without using a bank, which is a second layer solution?

In any case, let's say you don't think that matters or is valid. Can you see a legitimate use for Bitcoin as a hedge for the cases I described above?

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Fri Feb 15, 2019 1:25 am
by kiwinoz
So Jamie "I'll sack anyone who trades in Cryptos" Dimon is now coming out with a JPM token. Please note the lying plum made his infamous crypto statement whilst in Euro desk was buying the dips.

Re: €100 of Bitcoin in 2010 = €70m today

Posted: Fri Feb 15, 2019 2:30 am
by goeagles
kiwinoz wrote:So Jamie "I'll sack anyone who trades in Cryptos" Dimon is now coming out with a JPM token. Please note the lying plum made his infamous crypto statement whilst in Euro desk was buying the dips.
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