But the 55% (and growing) are very very dissatisfied. CDU are at 32% (polls), compared to 42% (2012 GE) what is unusual that a party that didn't exist until just before the last election are at around 15%. What is more worrying is that party, the far right AfD (Loons) have been giving the CDU a kicking all over the country.paddyor wrote:dr dre2 wrote:Are you not keeping up with the situation there? Her approval rating is dropping like a stone, her party is getting beaten in to third place in the local elections by a bunch of far right loons, she's been un-invited from attending the convention of her sister party (an event it's traditional she attends) the sister party who are so close to her party they decide to only put one candidate forward between them (since ww2), that sister party's leader has publicly fallen out with her, there is talk of other member of her coalition dropping her and one of her ministers has come out in support of a policy against the party line. All while she ponders whether to run again or not in 10 months time. Yeah, she's probably not going to be there.paddyor wrote:It won't happen because any deal would require the approval of all 27 members of the EU.Rugby2023 wrote:Article 50 hasn't been activated. Bear in mind it was Davis's initiative to delay the activation of Article 50 in the first instance in order to prepare a negotiating team. I should imagine it remains the UK's intention to strike deals with Germany and France, whether Merkel and Hollande will still be in situ is another question.paddyor wrote:They've already broadcast their "red line" issues and it reamins to be seen how baked in they are.
The problem is in part that 2 strategys of post Ref Brexit have been debunked. The first, David Davis's big plan to side step the EU altogether and do a deal with Germany and France (not happening). And the second, preliminary talks before art 50 is triggered (nothing so far). Both of those would have given a fairly clear idea of what kind of deal could be expected before it happened.
You're probably right about Hollande (approval 5%) but Merkel has little opposition in Germany.She has been around a while, though that's hardly abnormal in German politics.According to the latest poll for the ARD-Tagesthemen media company, 45 percent of Germans are satisfied with Merkel’s work, her lowest poll rating since 2011.
When asked who they would vote for if the next parliamentary elections were on Sunday, only 33 percent of Germans backed Merkel’s Christian Democrats, down one point from last month. Meanwhile the AfD won two percentage points, leapfrogging the Green party as the third most popular party in the country for the second time this year, with 14 percent.Helmut Josef Michael Kohl (German: [ˈhɛlmuːt ˈjoːzɛf 'mɪçaʔeːl ˈkoːl]; born 3 April 1930) is a German retired politician and statesman, who served as Chancellor of Germany from 1982 to 1998 (of West Germany 1982–90 and of the reunited Germany 1990–98) and as the chairman of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) from 1973 to 1998.
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election (Merkel's own constituency) The AfD went from 0 seats to 18 pushing the CDU to 3rd place. And while not quite doing so well in other places have taken large chunks of seats everywhere. This is being pinned on Merkel's refugee policy and is a massive surge from a 3 year old party who are anti immigrant and anti EU. She is blaming Google and wants them to release their algo for scrutiny. And I've already listed the other event unfolding above. The shit only really started to hit the fan last month.